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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #8176

PACKERS were leading by 9 in 3Q, now trail by 8 as they approach the 2 min warning...

 
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Posted: #8177

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Seahawks will win SU of course.....but I dunno they cover 2 TDs....that's a lot vs any team let alone 1 top 5 team...  Will the HUGE 2 TD fav Seahawks cover that massive 2 TD spread today?     They are losing in the 4th and there's now a question if they will win SU! With about 7 mins left, Seahawks should have 2 possessions left... Seahawks take the lead late!   LIVE BET, late 4Q 15 - 13, Colts last chance: SEAHAWKS -240 @B365  *BB

Yikes!  Grandpa Rivers moves them within 15 yds of FGA range!!

Oh-Oh.....  

UGH!!!   60 yd  FG

WINNER!  an_boggienight 3rd *BB winner of the day!

 

Late game is a watch & wait for me...

 
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Posted: #8178

Quote Originally Posted by AtlantaGambler:

@fubah2  

Good Luck clover

coolTY, AG!   Hope your day is going well! peace_5

 
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Posted: #8179

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Horrible game from Bucs, but they still have over 50% chance of making playoffs. It's mind boggling. Possible.  But that porous Tampa defense will need to add a devastating edge rusher AND a dominant run stuffer or they will get blown in their only playoff game....assuming they even get there... Chances are they won't *IF* the surging Carolina Panthers take care of business on Sunday vs one of the WORST teams in the NFL.  IF Carolina beats the Saints, it is likely that all they need do is defeat TAMPA just once in their forthcoming home and home and the division title is theirs even if/when they lose to Seattle.

If Carolina blows their golden opportunity by LOSING to the bottom-dwelling SAINTS, then they MUST win both ends of the H&H with TAMPA....and in that case, Tampa would win the division IF their porous defense can somehow find GOOD defenders and defeat Miami on the road.

Carolina blew their golden opportunity . . . 

 
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Posted: #8180

SNF  key HT stats:  

 

an_lightEven number possessions (5 each)

Vikings have +11 more net yds

Drives of at least 40+ yds:  Vikings 3   vs   Dallas only 2

Vikings 6.9 ypp    vs   Dallas only 4.7 ypp

 

Tied at 17, DESPITE Dallas gaining the benefit of an early int leading to 7.

 
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Posted: #8181

Tight one peace

 
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Posted: #8182

Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

Tight one

 

Yep.   Days ago I had Dallas circled on my capping sheets as a preliminary lean worth a deeper look.  Nut upon further review I backed off.

So glad I did so.

 
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Posted: #8183

Sunday results:

 L   Pats +2.5 -107 @pinn
W  LIVE hedge BET, early 4Q, 21 - 24, Bills drive: BILLS +1.5 -115 @B365  *BB
W  LIVE BET very late-4Q, LAC 16 - 13, KC driving!: LAC -200 @B365        *BB
W  LIVE BET, late 4Q 15 - 13, Colts last chance: Seahawks -240 @B365    *BB

 

3 - 1   today  an_2drinks  [3 - 0 *BB]

 

 
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Posted: #8184

My 2025 NFL *BestBets posted PRE-GAME:

Week 01:   none 
Week 02:   Dal -233,  Det -272
Week 03:   Jags -117,  Wash -146,  LAC -142          ...pushed Buffy -10-140
Week 04:   Phil-2.5-153, Atla-150,  Dal+10.5-205          ...Carol+7.5-168
Week 05:   Indy-4-165,  Carol+1.0-106      ...LAR-3-200,   Sea-2.5-153,   LAC-2-128
Week 06:   none
Week 07:   Chic-2.5-161,  Cleve-2.5-103,  Dal -116
Week 08:   LAC-2.5-137,  NE-2.5-310                          ...Wash+14.5-184
Week 09:   none
Week 10:   none
Week 11:   none
Week 12:   Hou+6.0-134, Det-6.5-200, NE-4.0-163, KC-179, KC-190, Balt-6.5-340
Week 13:   TB-2.5-147, Mia-2.5-187, Carol+10.5-117    ...Philly -311,   Indy-2.5-135

Week 14:   none
Week 15:                             ...Tampa -265

           =  24 - 8      an_2drinks   

 

...lost juice from all  8  pre-game posted *BB losers is  -1544   vs   24 wins @100

 
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Posted: #8185

Look ahead to Week 16 . . . TNF: Seattle +1.5 -110 @pinn  *BBan_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #8186

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Look ahead to Week 16 . . . TNF: Seattle +1.5 -110 @pinn  *BB

Adding: daaaaaaBEARS +3.5 -160 alt@pinn *BB

 
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Posted: #8187

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Look ahead to Week 16 . . . TNF: Seattle +1.5 -110 @pinn  *BB Adding: daaaaaaBEARS +3.5 -160 alt@pinn *BB
Adding: Titans +3.5 -110 @FD; Panthers +3.5 -150 alt@pinn; Ravens -139 *BB @pinn; Colts +7 -144 alt@pinn *BB

 
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Posted: #8188

 Posted by fubah2  Week 16 . . . TNF: Seattle +1.5 -110   *BB ..........BEARS +3.5 -160 alt*BB ........ Titans +3.5 -110 ........ Panthers +3.5 -150 alt............. Ravens -139 *BB  ...........Colts +7 -144 alt *BB    (thinks about right)    good luck    an_popcorn

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #8189

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

Posted by fubah2  Week 16 . . . TNF: Seattle +1.5 -110   *BB ..........BEARS +3.5 -160 alt*BB ........ Titans +3.5 -110 ........ Panthers +3.5 -150 alt............. Ravens -139 *BB  ...........Colts +7 -144 alt *BB    (thinks about right)    good luck

Yes, 6 bets in (4 *BBs!) so far for week 16 with LEANS to Buffy, LAC, Detroit and possibly Miami if they play well tonight (win or lose) AND escape injury free to key players.

My *BBs on HOME DOGS! Seattle, Chicago and Indy are my top bets, while my RAVENS *BB is just made the cut. I may play ML on each of these during LIVE play as well, or hedge bet if forced to....

Carolina (another home dog!) just missed the cut for *BB status.

 

an_police an_refCAVEAT/warning:  ...and very important!... I am 24 - 8 with pre-game posted *BBs for solid profit, but this presents a problem for anyone wishing to follow - I AM DUE FOR REGRESSION AT SOME POINT AND WEEK 16 COULD BE IT!an_nailbiter Seriously! Some of these lines look almost "too good to be true!"

I've risked a considerable sum on some of these but followers should NOT! an_shake Tail if you wish but please DO NOT increase your usual bet size. Keep it smallish and your losses will be minimized should regression hit me this coming week

 
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Posted: #8190

GL clover on your plays @fubah2 peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #8191

This a big game for the Seahawks on the upcoming TNF. Here are the things on stake for Seattle, NFC West leader, almost guaranteed Wildcard berth with a win and revenge.

Amazon Prime gets a good game, this game should look like playoff game, especially from the Seattle's perspective.

Few years back, I can recall in a session finale game. Bears have already clinched. NFC North Division title and home field advantage thru out the NFC playoffs. They went to play at Packers. Packers have had to beat Bears in order to clinch the playoff berth. Bears played all of the staters through out that game tried kick the Packers out of the playoffs, but they failed.

Few weeks later, Aaron Rodgers and Packers beat the Bears in the NFC Championship at Soldier Field. 

 
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Posted: #8192

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

This a big game for the Seahawks on the upcoming TNF. Here are the things on stake for Seattle, NFC West leader, almost guaranteed Wildcard berth with a win and revenge. Amazon Prime gets a good game, this game should look like playoff game, especially from the Seattle's perspective. Few years back, I can recall in a session finale game. Bears have already clinched. NFC North Division title and home field advantage thru out the NFC playoffs. They went to play at Packers. Packers have had to beat Bears in order to clinch the playoff berth. Bears played all of the staters through out that game tried kick the Packers out of the playoffs, but they failed. Few weeks later, Aaron Rodgers and Packers beat the Bears in the NFC Championship at Soldier Field.

 

cool Battle of the titans then, and another Battle of the titans this Thursday!

                                   an_popcorn

 

It's a bonafide coin-flipper, but the homies are getting pts *AND* one of RAMS top WR is out!

 
 
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Posted: #8193

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: This a big game for the Seahawks on the upcoming TNF. Here are the things on stake for Seattle, NFC West leader, almost guaranteed Wildcard berth with a win and revenge. Amazon Prime gets a good game, this game should look like playoff game, especially from the Seattle's perspective. Few years back, I can recall in a session finale game. Bears have already clinched. NFC North Division title and home field advantage thru out the NFC playoffs. They went to play at Packers. Packers have had to beat Bears in order to clinch the playoff berth. Bears played all of the staters through out that game tried kick the Packers out of the playoffs, but they failed. Few weeks later, Aaron Rodgers and Packers beat the Bears in the NFC Championship at Soldier Field.    Battle of the titans then, and another Battle of the titans this Thursday!                                       It's a bonafide coin-flipper, but the homies are getting pts *AND* one of RAMS top WR is out!

Wrong team favored TNF going in......of course turnovers and other lucky breaks can easily flip the game on its head for either team, but in an even matchup like this is (with a RAM top WR OUT!!) the homies should then be favored by 3 - 4 pts...

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