All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

Participants:
Search
Views: 302213
Posts: 8878
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3651

WILDCARDS  Jan 13:

W +3.0     TEXANS +8.5 -400                               *BB 3u
W +3.0     HOUSTON +7.5 -350                                 3u
 L -27.50    BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550         5u
W+10.0    LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110         10u
W +3.0    LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins win 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3u
W +3.0    1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3u
W +5.0    2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350                           5u
W +5.0    3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565    *BB 5u

= 7 - 1  +4.5u     (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3652

WILDCARDS  Jan 14:

W+3.0      LIVE BET early 2Q: Packers win 1h -695 *BB 3u
  L -2.8      K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
  L -3.0      K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB
  L -3.2      K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
W+3.0     3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250        *BB 3u
 L -2.70     LIVE BET with FGA pending.... 1stQ UNDER 10.5 -135 2u
W+2.0     LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 15+? Yes -450 2u
W+3.0     Early 2Q Lions lead 14 - 10...LIVE BET: LIONS -250 *BB 3u
W+3.0     LIVE HEDGE BET: RAMS +2.5 -105               *BB 3u
W+5.0     Late 4Q, 24 - 23 LIVE BET: LIONS -185       5u

= 6 - 4  +7.3u        (4 - 3 *Best Bets)

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3653

WILDCARDS  Jan 15:

L - 2.25      LIVE BET: 1stQ TDs under 1.5 -225
W +1.0     early 4thQ...TEAM to make NEXT SCORE? Steelers -163
W +1.0     LIVE: under 10 left...TEAM to make NEXT SCORE? BUFFY -185

W +1.0     next team to score BUCS -180   (winner on Safety!!)
W +2.0     LIVE BET game early 1stQ...BUCS +8.5 -400  *BB 2u
W +1.0     LIVE BET 2Q, 13 - 3....BUCS -320                    *BB
W +1.0     LIVE BET Mid-3Q: BUCS -280

=  6 - 1   +4.75u              (2 - 0 *Best Bets!)

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3654

Fubah's  NFL PLAYOFFS  to date:

Jan 13:  7 - 1  +4.50u      (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
Jan 14:  6 - 4  +7.30u      (4 - 3 *Best Bets!)
Jan 15:  6 - 1  +4.75u      (2 - 0 *Best Bets!)

       = 19 - 6  +16.55u    (10 - 3 *Best Bets!)

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3655

Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...

 

 

Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020]

the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS

 

This year, Ravens and 49ers fall into that category.surprised

 

Conversely,

the visiting +8 or better dogs  [this year it's Texans and Packers]

getting an avg ML of +350,  have staged 8 upsets!! moneybag

 

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3656

HOME teams in the divisionals, with much higher point differentials from reg season, are 15 - 5  su

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3657

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

HOME teams in the divisionals, with much higher point differentials from reg season, are 15 - 5  su
Yuck....squelch that....I was looking at the wrong column in my stats...

It should read:   40 - 16  su    for the homies owning a very wide margin in point differential (per end reg season)

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3658

I am leaning RAVENS but likely to wait for an ingame opp because when I saw the stats on heavy home favs of -8+  and they are only 8 -16 ATS  or a paltry 16 - 8 su at an average -450 moneyline...yikes! an_getaway....PASS on the pre-game bet there!!

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2021
Posts: 6070
Posted: #3659

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Fubah's  NFL PLAYOFFS  to date:

Jan 13:  7 - 1  +4.50u      (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
Jan 14:  6 - 4  +7.30u      (4 - 3 *Best Bets!)
Jan 15:  6 - 1  +4.75u      (2 - 0 *Best Bets!)

       = 19 - 6  +16.55u    (10 - 3 *Best Bets!)

Keep it going! an_cheers

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3660

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...

 

an_light Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020]

the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS

 

This year, Ravens  and 49ers  fall into that category.surprised

Despite that, the 49ers line has a slight move up from -9.5 to -10 in many books

 

Heavy underdogs (+8 pts and up) are 16 - 8 to cover ATS

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3661

Star  TE for RAVENS, Mark Andrews, was hoping to play this weekend but will not suit up.

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3662

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...   Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020] the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS   This year, Ravens  and 49ers  fall into that category. Despite that, the 49ers line has a slight move up from -9.5 to -10 in many books

Now the fav line on RAVENS has been edged over to -10 as well!

Will be interesting to see how this plays out with those two heavy home favs.  Ravens and Niners. Statistically the odds appear to be that at least one of them will fail to cover even -9.5,  let alone -10.

 

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 5502
Posted: #3663

Yes, one will definitely cover. Take Ravens now and slam Niners if Ravens don't cover. Simple enough game plan hahaha clover

A broken Rolex is right twice A-day hahaha
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3664

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...   Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020] the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS   This year, Ravens  and 49ers  fall into that category. Despite that, the 49ers line has a slight move up from -9.5 to -10 in many books Now the fav line on RAVENS has been edged over to -10 as well! Will be interesting to see how this plays out with those two heavy home favs.  Ravens and Niners. Statistically the odds appear to be that at least one of them will fail to cover even -9.5,  let alone -10.

As long as Lamar Jackson does not turn over the ball more than once, the Ravens should prevail SU.

But a defensive or SpT score against coupled with another lucky break to the Texans and the Ravens would not only fail to cover but could lose SU. an_speechless Ravens are the stronger team definitely at this venue.  But it didn't work out so well for Dallas and they were even stronger at home than Ravens are here!

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3665

Quote Originally Posted by 2goodhahaha:

Yes, one will definitely cover. Take Ravens now and slam Niners if Ravens don't cover. Simple enough game plan hahaha

The odds of a SU moneyline win for the heavy underdog in the same span is 8 winners vs. just 16 losers, with an average moneyline on the dog of around +350....seems like a good deal too!

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 42690
Posted: #3666

@fubah2

Good luck in this round! clover 

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 16755
Posted: #3667

 

wifi test  

 

greetings from vegas !an_2drinks

the 6 of us are all at the MGM for the first game  if anyone in the area wanna stop by

were easy to spot   look for the old guy who brought his whole damn desktop computer an_wink fubah !!

 

just got my ticket on ravens

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 42690
Posted: #3668

@KellyM_1964

Have fun in Vegas, and win some money, baby! an_cheers 

 

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3669

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by 2goodhahaha: Yes, one will definitely cover. Take Ravens now and slam Niners if Ravens don't cover. Simple enough game plan hahaha The odds of a SU moneyline win for the heavy underdog in the same span is 8 winners vs. just 16 losers, with an average moneyline on the dog of around +350....seems like a good deal too!
Game #1 of Divisionals...1stQ, Ravens lead 3 - 0: Ravens ball 2nd poss ...LIVE BET: TEXANS 1stQ +3.5 -334 *BB 3u

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3670

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@fubah2 Good luck in this round!

@Europa

Thanks!  BoL with your bets today!!! an_cheers

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3671

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by 2goodhahaha: Yes, one will definitely cover. Take Ravens now and slam Niners if Ravens don't cover. Simple enough game plan hahaha The odds of a SU moneyline win for the heavy underdog in the same span is 8 winners vs. just 16 losers, with an average moneyline on the dog of around +350....seems like a good deal too!Game #1 of Divisionals...1stQ, Ravens lead 3 - 0: Ravens ball 2nd poss ...LIVE BET: TEXANS 1stQ +3.5 -334 *BB 3u
Score now tied to end 1stQ....but Texans had opening possession so this possession/stats by Ravens - now over their own 40 after QB dash - will even up the possessions at 3 apiece in the stats.......and at least in the early going here the game looks dead even on the field.... no turnovers yet....

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3672

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by 2goodhahaha: Yes, one will definitely cover. Take Ravens now and slam Niners if Ravens don't cover. Simple enough game plan hahaha The odds of a SU moneyline win for the heavy underdog in the same span is 8 winners vs. just 16 losers, with an average moneyline on the dog of around +350....seems like a good deal too!Game #1 of Divisionals...1stQ, Ravens lead 3 - 0: Ravens ball 2nd poss ...LIVE BET: TEXANS 1stQ +3.5 -334 *BB 3u Score now tied to end 1stQ....but Texans had opening possession so this possession/stats by Ravens - now over their own 40 after QB dash - will even up the possessions at 3 apiece in the stats.......and at least in the early going here the game looks dead even on the field.... no turnovers yet....
After the TD, RAVENS are -1000 moneyline......but a turnover could tie the game!! No way does it look like Ravens are 10 to 1 better than Texans!

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 42690
Posted: #3673

@fubah2 

 good luck!

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 53336
Posted: #3674

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Interesting DIVISIONAL playoffs stat...   Dating back to 2002, [and obviously excluding the covid year 2020] the HEAVY HOME FAVs of  -8 and higher are just  8 - 16 ATS   This year, Ravens  and 49ers  fall into that category. Despite that, the 49ers line has a slight move up from -9.5 to -10 in many books Now the fav line on RAVENS has been edged over to -10 as well! Will be interesting to see how this plays out with those two heavy home favs.  Ravens and Niners. Statistically the odds appear to be that at least one of them will fail to cover even -9.5,  let alone -10. As long as Lamar Jackson does not turn over the ball more than once, the Ravens should prevail SU. But a defensive or SpT score against coupled with another lucky break to the Texans and the Ravens would not only fail to cover but could lose SU. an_speechless  Ravens are the stronger team definitely at this venue.  But it didn't work out so well for Dallas and they were even stronger at home than Ravens are here!
Added Live bet, score tied at 10 apieace:  TEXANS +14.5 -275 alt-line  *BB 4u

 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 16755
Posted: #3675

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@KellyM_1964 Have fun in Vegas, and win some money, baby!

@Europa

 peace_5 thanks europa .it would b more fun if the ravens were leading by 20 right now . this one is looking really tough . 4 of our group  bought tickets on ravens spread , one took texans and one passed

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.