Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early lean to Ravens again And Cleveland Been struggling lately.....this may very well be another regression week fro me....Probably good fade material.... BROWNS -340
Flacco playing well for a recycled veteran.
He's got them up 34 -20 late....Force to reckon with in the playoffs!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early lean to Ravens again And Cleveland Been struggling lately.....this may very well be another regression week fro me....Probably good fade material.... BROWNS -340
Flacco playing well for a recycled veteran.
He's got them up 34 -20 late....Force to reckon with in the playoffs!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early lean to Ravens again And Cleveland Been struggling lately.....this may very well be another regression week fro me....Probably good fade material....
BROWNS -340
good call
"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early lean to Ravens again And Cleveland Been struggling lately.....this may very well be another regression week fro me....Probably good fade material....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ... BROWNS -340 Week 17 WINNER! Last week 16 - 7 This week starts with a win. Updated YTD, after TNF: 220 - 94 +120.98u (113 - 40 *Best Bets!!)
GL this week
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ... BROWNS -340 Week 17 WINNER! Last week 16 - 7 This week starts with a win. Updated YTD, after TNF: 220 - 94 +120.98u (113 - 40 *Best Bets!!)
Fubah's week 17 super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Fubah's week 17 super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Fubah's week 17 super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Fubah, do you think 49ers are ahead of Ravens in your sequence ranking or not?
Hi Europa! It's really close, maybe tied. What do you think?
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Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Fubah's week 17 super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Vast majority of NFL writers have Ravens at #1 ranking after Baltimore decisively defeated San Francisco in last week, rightfully so I guess. Are these two teams playing again in the Super Bowl? That's the question, we are more interested from the wagering perspective.
Oddsmaker is still in favor of 49ers (+230) over Ravens (+380) to win the Super Bowl (SB). 49ers may be -2 against Ravens in the hypothetical rematch at SB. San Francisco is a very good team but got physically dominated in last week, quite often the dominantly physical team wins the big game, such as Chicago in Super Bowl (1986) Dallas (1993), Baltimore (2000), NY Giants in (2008 and 2012), Denver (2016).
We won't be worried about the rematch here if they do not meet again in next February.
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@fubah2
Vast majority of NFL writers have Ravens at #1 ranking after Baltimore decisively defeated San Francisco in last week, rightfully so I guess. Are these two teams playing again in the Super Bowl? That's the question, we are more interested from the wagering perspective.
Oddsmaker is still in favor of 49ers (+230) over Ravens (+380) to win the Super Bowl (SB). 49ers may be -2 against Ravens in the hypothetical rematch at SB. San Francisco is a very good team but got physically dominated in last week, quite often the dominantly physical team wins the big game, such as Chicago in Super Bowl (1986) Dallas (1993), Baltimore (2000), NY Giants in (2008 and 2012), Denver (2016).
We won't be worried about the rematch here if they do not meet again in next February.
@fubah2 Vast majority of NFL writers have Ravens at #1 ranking after Baltimore decisively defeated San Francisco in last week, rightfully so I guess. Are these two teams playing again in the Super Bowl? That's the question, we are more interested from the wagering perspective. Oddsmaker is still in favor of 49ers (+230) over Ravens (+380) to win the Super Bowl (SB). 49ers may be -2 against Ravens in the hypothetical rematch at SB. San Francisco is a very good team but got physically dominated in last week, quite often the dominantly physical team wins the big game, such as Chicago in Super Bowl (1986) Dallas (1993), Baltimore (2000), NY Giants in (2008 and 2012), Denver (2016). We won't be worried about the rematch here if they do not meet again in next February.
Yeah! Good points, Europa!
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Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
@fubah2 Vast majority of NFL writers have Ravens at #1 ranking after Baltimore decisively defeated San Francisco in last week, rightfully so I guess. Are these two teams playing again in the Super Bowl? That's the question, we are more interested from the wagering perspective. Oddsmaker is still in favor of 49ers (+230) over Ravens (+380) to win the Super Bowl (SB). 49ers may be -2 against Ravens in the hypothetical rematch at SB. San Francisco is a very good team but got physically dominated in last week, quite often the dominantly physical team wins the big game, such as Chicago in Super Bowl (1986) Dallas (1993), Baltimore (2000), NY Giants in (2008 and 2012), Denver (2016). We won't be worried about the rematch here if they do not meet again in next February.
Two GOOD teams face off. It should be quite a scrap.
Some key points: ** Pt. differential is a key indicator of performance (minus any obvious skewing) and in this regard Dallas has +165 vs Detroit +57
** You've read me say here many times that "venue is important" - not just in providing an edge to the home team in a given game but in understanding previous games' results in lieu of where they were playing and against whom! Never accept published stats at face value. All of them are affected by and skewed by who they played and at what venue.
** Cowboys are dominant at HOME with a perfect 7 - 0 and a whopping +171 pt diff ** to oppose that, the Lions are 6 - 2 on the ROAD for just +6 pt diff.
** The Cowboys have dominated at home often by wide margins, albeit against a slightly weaker sched than the LIONS have faced on the road. Still, lots of teams play weak schedules too and no other comes anywhere remotely close to Dallas Top scoring HOME teams: +171 pt diff in Dallas +66 pt diff in SF +61 pt diff in Detroit +30 pt diff in Atlanta +28 pt diff in LA Rams
** another key is performance against similar opps (at specific venue of course) Detroit faced an elite (very high rated) team in game one of the season and beat KC by 1 pt. But that that was eons ago. I dismiss games that far away in the sched. The only other time they faced an elite team on the ROAD was Oct 22, when they were routed by RAVENS 6 - 38! Their last 8 games have all been either weakss or mediocre opponents, losing 2 and barely winning 4 others. The only top tier squad Dallas faced AT HOME, was Nov 5, when they whupped the Eagles by 20!
** Finally a subjective but key intangible which has served me well in my capping over the past 30 yrs - schedule momentum. The roadie, tonight, Detroit, is coming off 2 consecutive wins - albeit vs mediocre opps. They are riding a high, but it's back down to Earth time, now finally they face a very good team who is undeniably the best HOME team in the league! Dallas, meanwhile is in a spot I call "Money!" (most of the time) ....An elite team coming off 2 consecutive road losses, finally returns home - where they are dominant - with a chance to redeem themselves in primetime!
Game tonight is poised for a Cowboys win SU in Dallas. I give them maybe a 55% shot at
Of course, anything can happen in football.....this is not a lock by any stretch!
But MY money says: K'Boys -225 *BB 2u K'Boys -1.0 - 200 *BB K'Boys -1.5 - 190
2
Lions @K'BOYS
Two GOOD teams face off. It should be quite a scrap.
Some key points: ** Pt. differential is a key indicator of performance (minus any obvious skewing) and in this regard Dallas has +165 vs Detroit +57
** You've read me say here many times that "venue is important" - not just in providing an edge to the home team in a given game but in understanding previous games' results in lieu of where they were playing and against whom! Never accept published stats at face value. All of them are affected by and skewed by who they played and at what venue.
** Cowboys are dominant at HOME with a perfect 7 - 0 and a whopping +171 pt diff ** to oppose that, the Lions are 6 - 2 on the ROAD for just +6 pt diff.
** The Cowboys have dominated at home often by wide margins, albeit against a slightly weaker sched than the LIONS have faced on the road. Still, lots of teams play weak schedules too and no other comes anywhere remotely close to Dallas Top scoring HOME teams: +171 pt diff in Dallas +66 pt diff in SF +61 pt diff in Detroit +30 pt diff in Atlanta +28 pt diff in LA Rams
** another key is performance against similar opps (at specific venue of course) Detroit faced an elite (very high rated) team in game one of the season and beat KC by 1 pt. But that that was eons ago. I dismiss games that far away in the sched. The only other time they faced an elite team on the ROAD was Oct 22, when they were routed by RAVENS 6 - 38! Their last 8 games have all been either weakss or mediocre opponents, losing 2 and barely winning 4 others. The only top tier squad Dallas faced AT HOME, was Nov 5, when they whupped the Eagles by 20!
** Finally a subjective but key intangible which has served me well in my capping over the past 30 yrs - schedule momentum. The roadie, tonight, Detroit, is coming off 2 consecutive wins - albeit vs mediocre opps. They are riding a high, but it's back down to Earth time, now finally they face a very good team who is undeniably the best HOME team in the league! Dallas, meanwhile is in a spot I call "Money!" (most of the time) ....An elite team coming off 2 consecutive road losses, finally returns home - where they are dominant - with a chance to redeem themselves in primetime!
Game tonight is poised for a Cowboys win SU in Dallas. I give them maybe a 55% shot at
Of course, anything can happen in football.....this is not a lock by any stretch!
But MY money says: K'Boys -225 *BB 2u K'Boys -1.0 - 200 *BB K'Boys -1.5 - 190
Updated YTD, after TNF:
Philly,Miami,Detroit,Buffy ..... KC, Cleve, .........Tampa,
Rams,NOR,Houston,Cinci,Minny,Jags,Indy,Sea,Pitts,GB,
Atlanta, LV, Denver, Chicago, Tenn, .... LAC, Jets,
AZ, NYG, Wash, NE, Carolina
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