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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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    fubah2
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    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:36 PM ET #3176

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two UNFORCED errors by the CHIEFS deep in their own end hands the VERY LUCKY RAIDERS an unlikely 10 pt lead...And a 3rd UNFORCED error to end the half with a missed chipshot FGA.....all to benefit the very LUCKY Raiders.... The score by the offenses is  7 - 3 CHIEFS. Offensively the HT stats are more or less even. It would be a 10 - 3 CHIEFS lead right now at HT if not for those 3 HUGE LUCKY BREAKS (all UNforced) going in Raiders' favor....

    With just a few left in the 3rdQ  Mahommes and the CHIEFS will have just 4 possessions to score 2 TDs and hold the Raiders O off the board or to a FG at most - which they have been successful at doing thus far.... FOUR possessions and they MUST score 2 TDs.......

    Early 4thQ Chiefs are moving into Raider end....this is their 2nd of final 4 possessions...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two UNFORCED errors by the CHIEFS deep in their own end hands the VERY LUCKY RAIDERS an unlikely 10 pt lead...And a 3rd UNFORCED error to end the half with a missed chipshot FGA.....all to benefit the very LUCKY Raiders.... The score by the offenses is  7 - 3 CHIEFS. Offensively the HT stats are more or less even. It would be a 10 - 3 CHIEFS lead right now at HT if not for those 3 HUGE LUCKY BREAKS (all UNforced) going in Raiders' favor....

    With just a few left in the 3rdQ  Mahommes and the CHIEFS will have just 4 possessions to score 2 TDs and hold the Raiders O off the board or to a FG at most - which they have been successful at doing thus far.... FOUR possessions and they MUST score 2 TDs.......

    Early 4thQ Chiefs are moving into Raider end....this is their 2nd of final 4 possessions...

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:40 PM ET #3177

    Where u getting these odds its LV -1600 ML no way dude.

     

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    Where u getting these odds its LV -1600 ML no way dude.

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:42 PM ET #3178

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two UNFORCED errors by the CHIEFS deep in their own end hands the VERY LUCKY RAIDERS an unlikely 10 pt lead...And a 3rd UNFORCED error to end the half with a missed chipshot FGA.....all to benefit the very LUCKY Raiders.... The score by the offenses is  7 - 3 CHIEFS. Offensively the HT stats are more or less even. It would be a 10 - 3 CHIEFS lead right now at HT if not for those 3 HUGE LUCKY BREAKS (all UNforced) going in Raiders' favor.... With just a few left in the 3rdQ  Mahommes and the CHIEFS will have just 4 possessions to score 2 TDs and hold the Raiders O off the board or to a FG at most - which they have been successful at doing thus far.... FOUR possessions and they MUST score 2 TDs....... Early 4thQ Chiefs are moving into Raider end....this is their 2nd of final 4 possessions...

    So....20 - 7 for the very, VERY fortunate Raiders.....and KC just blew their 2nd of 4 final possessions..

    With 10 mins left. usually this means 2 final possessions EACH.....or possibly a third possession for the team starting with the ball now....Raiders....

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two UNFORCED errors by the CHIEFS deep in their own end hands the VERY LUCKY RAIDERS an unlikely 10 pt lead...And a 3rd UNFORCED error to end the half with a missed chipshot FGA.....all to benefit the very LUCKY Raiders.... The score by the offenses is  7 - 3 CHIEFS. Offensively the HT stats are more or less even. It would be a 10 - 3 CHIEFS lead right now at HT if not for those 3 HUGE LUCKY BREAKS (all UNforced) going in Raiders' favor.... With just a few left in the 3rdQ  Mahommes and the CHIEFS will have just 4 possessions to score 2 TDs and hold the Raiders O off the board or to a FG at most - which they have been successful at doing thus far.... FOUR possessions and they MUST score 2 TDs....... Early 4thQ Chiefs are moving into Raider end....this is their 2nd of final 4 possessions...

    So....20 - 7 for the very, VERY fortunate Raiders.....and KC just blew their 2nd of 4 final possessions..

    With 10 mins left. usually this means 2 final possessions EACH.....or possibly a third possession for the team starting with the ball now....Raiders....

     

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:44 PM ET #3179

    Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. new_heavy_cry

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    Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. new_heavy_cry

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:46 PM ET #3180

    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You:

    Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet.

    whats it to u ???

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You:

    Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet.

    whats it to u ???

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:50 PM ET #3181

    All this is so fake, nobody in there right mind would play odds like that. LV ML odds have never been below -750 since Half time. No way -250 or -300 fubah get.

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    All this is so fake, nobody in there right mind would play odds like that. LV ML odds have never been below -750 since Half time. No way -250 or -300 fubah get.

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:54 PM ET #3182

    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You:

    All this is so fake, nobody in there right mind would play odds like that. LV ML odds have never been below -750 since Half time. No way -250 or -300 fubah get.

    on bet365 where many of us wager live it was down to -280 last kc drive into the red zone

    and it was -320 when kc took possession (previous drive )

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You:

    All this is so fake, nobody in there right mind would play odds like that. LV ML odds have never been below -750 since Half time. No way -250 or -300 fubah get.

    on bet365 where many of us wager live it was down to -280 last kc drive into the red zone

    and it was -320 when kc took possession (previous drive )

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:56 PM ET #3183

    right now after  the chiefs td   the line plunged to -330 on lv raiders then up to -550   now back down to -480 all in the matter of maybe 40 seconds 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    right now after  the chiefs td   the line plunged to -330 on lv raiders then up to -550   now back down to -480 all in the matter of maybe 40 seconds 

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:57 PM ET #3184

    -450 now on raiders as they start drive

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    -450 now on raiders as they start drive

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:58 PM ET #3185

    thats not a bet i made tho

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    thats not a bet i made tho

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:59 PM ET #3186

    Good points Kelly.....

    Meanwhile CHIEFS should have one more drive if they can hold Raiders.

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    Good points Kelly.....

    Meanwhile CHIEFS should have one more drive if they can hold Raiders.

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 3:59 PM ET #3187

    FD is -20000

     

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    FD is -20000

     

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:00 PM ET #3188

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    -450 now on raiders as they start drive

    raiders break a long run into fg position with time running and now the line baloons way up to -8000 lv or more as i type this

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    -450 now on raiders as they start drive

    raiders break a long run into fg position with time running and now the line baloons way up to -8000 lv or more as i type this

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:02 PM ET #3189

    Why post , by the time anyone sees the odds change drastically. Nobody can get down on them?? 

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    Why post , by the time anyone sees the odds change drastically. Nobody can get down on them?? 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:03 PM ET #3190

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Good points Kelly..... Meanwhile CHIEFS should have one more drive if they can hold Raiders.

    And they couldn't stop the run game so LUCKY Raiders can either run out the clock or kick a FG to end it......

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Good points Kelly..... Meanwhile CHIEFS should have one more drive if they can hold Raiders.

    And they couldn't stop the run game so LUCKY Raiders can either run out the clock or kick a FG to end it......

     

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:04 PM ET #3191

    GL, I've said my piece. Im otta here.

     

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    GL, I've said my piece. Im otta here.

     

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:04 PM ET #3192

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ???

    For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ???

    For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful. 

     
    Win4You
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:10 PM ET #3193

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ??? For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful.

    KUDOS!!!!!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ??? For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful.

    KUDOS!!!!!!!

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:12 PM ET #3194

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    right now after  the chiefs td   the line plunged to -330 on lv raiders then up to -550   now back down to -480 all in the matter of maybe 40 seconds

    Exactly. peace_5  The odds at BET365 change every play and then often move up or down depending on bettors grabbing LIVE BETS to move the lines even more.....often gotta be quick or back off and wait for another opp .....  The lines were accurate at the time I grabbed them, then allow about 20 seconds or so from the time I bet through the typing time and submit to post.....doesn't happen in a blink of an eye.....everyone who is a seasoned bettor knows this....

    Anyway, the game sucked as CHIEFS drop to a pathetic 8 - 6.  Pacheco was a non-factor and apparently they really did miss TONEY in the receiving corp as Mahommes rarely found anyone open.

    But, that said, glad I made those 2 hedge bets when I saw this going irrepairably bad even though KC could still have pulled it out in the 4thQ, but ultimately they failed to overcome all those horrific bad breaks that cost them 17 points in a 6 pt loss.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    right now after  the chiefs td   the line plunged to -330 on lv raiders then up to -550   now back down to -480 all in the matter of maybe 40 seconds

    Exactly. peace_5  The odds at BET365 change every play and then often move up or down depending on bettors grabbing LIVE BETS to move the lines even more.....often gotta be quick or back off and wait for another opp .....  The lines were accurate at the time I grabbed them, then allow about 20 seconds or so from the time I bet through the typing time and submit to post.....doesn't happen in a blink of an eye.....everyone who is a seasoned bettor knows this....

    Anyway, the game sucked as CHIEFS drop to a pathetic 8 - 6.  Pacheco was a non-factor and apparently they really did miss TONEY in the receiving corp as Mahommes rarely found anyone open.

    But, that said, glad I made those 2 hedge bets when I saw this going irrepairably bad even though KC could still have pulled it out in the 4thQ, but ultimately they failed to overcome all those horrific bad breaks that cost them 17 points in a 6 pt loss.

     

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:16 PM ET #3195

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ??? For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful.

     

    what the hell is it to u what i bet or what fubah bets or what anyone on the forum bets ? 

     its actually none of your business !!

     

     

     

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by Win4You: Blood Bath, minus $18,240.00 on early bets. Your buddy doing worse stands to lose $24,500.00 on his 50U bet. whats it to u ??? For the same reason I commented in your thread (hmmm near identical bets, always talk to each other - if you were the same people I wouldn’t be surprised in the least) this is god damn gambling site for helping people make money. How in the hell are bad bets with bad odds making anyone money. Awful.

     

    what the hell is it to u what i bet or what fubah bets or what anyone on the forum bets ? 

     its actually none of your business !!

     

     

     

     

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:17 PM ET #3196

    L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB
    L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BB
    L -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485
    L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQ
    W+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6u
    W+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u

    = 2 - 4    - 7.24u

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    L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB
    L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BB
    L -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485
    L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQ
    W+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6u
    W+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u

    = 2 - 4    - 7.24u

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:18 PM ET #3197

    @KellyM_1964

    If it’s none of our business don’t post. Plain and simple. Dude your posts aren’t helping a damn person anyway. At these odds you will eventually lose it all as you saw personally today. 

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    @KellyM_1964

    If it’s none of our business don’t post. Plain and simple. Dude your posts aren’t helping a damn person anyway. At these odds you will eventually lose it all as you saw personally today. 

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:19 PM ET #3198

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BBL -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQW+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6uW+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u = 2 - 4    - 7.24u

     

    This is like the exact opposite of arbitrage betting and by its design will always lose in the long run. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BBL -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQW+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6uW+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u = 2 - 4    - 7.24u

     

    This is like the exact opposite of arbitrage betting and by its design will always lose in the long run. 

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:24 PM ET #3199

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BBL -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQW+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6uW+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u = 2 - 4    - 7.24u   This is like the exact opposite of arbitrage betting and by its design will always lose in the long run.

    so  what  ??  whats it to u how others bet ?? 

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: L -5.10 CHIEFS -1.0 -510   *BB L -4.95 CHIEFS -1.5 -495   *BBL -4.85 CHIEFS -2.0 -485L -3.34 CHIEFS -334 1stQW+6.0 Raiders -290           *BB 6uW+5.0 Raiders -300                 5u = 2 - 4    - 7.24u   This is like the exact opposite of arbitrage betting and by its design will always lose in the long run.

    so  what  ??  whats it to u how others bet ?? 

     

     
     
    lordbettington
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2023 - 4:24 PM ET #3200

    @jesron1269

     Nobodies business, but It's posted on a public forum for some reason?

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    @jesron1269

     Nobodies business, but It's posted on a public forum for some reason?

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