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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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    KellyM_1964
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    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3051

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3052

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3053

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3054

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3055

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3056

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3057

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3058

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3059

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
    MVP
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 16742
    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3060

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3061

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    KellyM_1964
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 3:47 AM ET #3062

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u
    great call 

     
    spockgato
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 6:50 AM ET #3063

    great call fubahmoneybag 

    wallstreetcappers craps in his draws and pees fuckin backwards from his vaj with a squirt.
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    great call fubahmoneybag 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 9:19 AM ET #3064

     

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u

     

    great call

    @KellyM_1964

     Thanks!  More to come ....

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: This week so far:   26 - 6   Drew Lock gets the start. Line moves up on Eagles. Now +5.5 on hometown Seahawks Anything can happen in football on any given game, but I like Drew's chances of being effective enough to keep this game close (barring unforeseen lucky breaks, injuries, horrible game changing calls, etc.)  All else being equal, Lock probably the better option, willing to sell out to get the downs.... and he is eager!  So are his fellow desperate Seahawks!  I'm thinking too that Jalen may still have lingering effects of his illness SEAHAWKS +6 -125 (@Bet365)  2u

     

    great call

    @KellyM_1964

     Thanks!  More to come ....

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 9:22 AM ET #3065

    an_lightWEEK 15 posted PRE-GAME bets: 

     

    W   BENGALS -163               *BB 3u
    W   Bengals -1 -150              *BB 2u
    W   Bengals -1.5 -143 buy pts
    W   Bengals -2.0 -135 buy pts
    W   COLTS -120                       3u
    W   LIONS -220                    *BB 5u
    W   Browns -144                  *BB 3u
    W   Browns -1.0 -132           *BB 2u
    W   Browns -1.5 -125
    W   Browns -2.0 -119
    W   Chiefs -3 -300               *BB 3u

    W   RAMS -285                    *BB 3u
    W   Rams -1 -275                 *BB

    W   Seahawks +6 -125           2u

    =  14 - 0       +31.0 units

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    an_lightWEEK 15 posted PRE-GAME bets: 

     

    W   BENGALS -163               *BB 3u
    W   Bengals -1 -150              *BB 2u
    W   Bengals -1.5 -143 buy pts
    W   Bengals -2.0 -135 buy pts
    W   COLTS -120                       3u
    W   LIONS -220                    *BB 5u
    W   Browns -144                  *BB 3u
    W   Browns -1.0 -132           *BB 2u
    W   Browns -1.5 -125
    W   Browns -2.0 -119
    W   Chiefs -3 -300               *BB 3u

    W   RAMS -285                    *BB 3u
    W   Rams -1 -275                 *BB

    W   Seahawks +6 -125           2u

    =  14 - 0       +31.0 units

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2023 - 10:33 AM ET #3066

    cool  Entered week 15 posted   176 - 80 

     

    with bets posted in this same thread, all season,

    for just over   +108 units!

     

    prior to  adding week 15's   27 - 7    an_2drinks

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    cool  Entered week 15 posted   176 - 80 

     

    with bets posted in this same thread, all season,

    for just over   +108 units!

     

    prior to  adding week 15's   27 - 7    an_2drinks

     
    Zeus4par
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2023 - 12:07 AM ET #3067

     Heck of a season!  Best on this forum by far!  an_worship 

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     Heck of a season!  Best on this forum by far!  an_worship 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 5:16 PM ET #3068

    Last week:

                     27 - 7     +12.53u     an_2drinks (13 - 1 *Best Bets)

     

    I will have a pre-game bet soon...

     

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    Last week:

                     27 - 7     +12.53u     an_2drinks (13 - 1 *Best Bets)

     

    I will have a pre-game bet soon...

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 7:05 PM ET #3069

    an_light All posted NFL bets from recent 5 weeks:

    Week 15:  27 - 7    +12.53u     (13 - 1 *Best Bets!)
    Week 14:  16 -10      -8.90u  (no*BBs as regression expected!)
    Week 13:  19 - 3    +18.63u     ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)
    Week 12:  24 - 7    +25.52u     (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)
    Week 11:  17 - 4     +45.80u     (10 - 1 *Best Bets!)

    recent 5 weeks  = 103 - 31    +93.58u

    I will have a pre-game bet soon...

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    an_light All posted NFL bets from recent 5 weeks:

    Week 15:  27 - 7    +12.53u     (13 - 1 *Best Bets!)
    Week 14:  16 -10      -8.90u  (no*BBs as regression expected!)
    Week 13:  19 - 3    +18.63u     ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)
    Week 12:  24 - 7    +25.52u     (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)
    Week 11:  17 - 4     +45.80u     (10 - 1 *Best Bets!)

    recent 5 weeks  = 103 - 31    +93.58u

    I will have a pre-game bet soon...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 7:13 PM ET #3070

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Recent 5 weeks 

    = 103 - 31    +93.58u

     

    Last 5 weeks:    45 - 7  *Best Bets!an_2drinks

     

    I will have a pre-game *Best bet soon...

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Recent 5 weeks 

    = 103 - 31    +93.58u

     

    Last 5 weeks:    45 - 7  *Best Bets!an_2drinks

     

    I will have a pre-game *Best bet soon...

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 7:51 PM ET #3071

    Fubah's view:  Saints @RAMS


    Both teams 7 - 7.   But that is deceptive!


    A lot of people put too much stock in those w/L records and in this case think this is an even game. Well, it might very well turn out that way. Lucky breaks can swing things sideways in a hurry and upset the best laid plans.
    But the way I approach any game is too consider my chances ASSUMING roughly even breaks on each side - and in that even which is the better team. I judge that by things like pt diff, the venues they played and WHO they played, and the venue tonight. ALL STATS must be judged in light of WHO THEY PLAYED to achieve them -- including their W/L record.
    So let's look:
    Saints played bottom rated teams a whopping 7 times....and padded their W/L with 6 wins from that. They actually LOST one of those and narrowly escaped 2 others. But equally important is: How many times did they face TOP TIER teams (single digit rated)? Only one. And they lost to Detroit at home....
    Thus, their 7 wins are padded by winning 6 against bottom dwellers, and escaped more than 7 losses by only facing ONE top tier squad!

    Compare that to Rams (who are 100% healthy now btw!!)
    Rams only got to pad their WIN total playing just 3 bottom dwellers - but won all 3 by at least 8+ pts -- never coming close to actually losing to them, which Saints did ONCE and almost 2 more times!
    Further, the Rams loss column is dominated by being forced to face not just ONE top tier squad like the fortunate Saints, but FIVE! They managed to win one of those and took Ravens to OT in another!
    In short, RAMS faced a far tougher SoS than Saints but achieved the same 7 wins!
    And they are at HOME! Venue matters! Rams are better at home!

    Rams have looked GOOD in their recent 5 games - winning 4 and taking Ravens to OT in the other (losing on a fluky kick return TD)
    Saints are feeling comfortable coming off 3 consecutive home games - winning the recent 2 but against weakass teams (Carolina and Giants) Now they hit the road FINALLY.
    They lost their last 2 road games to mediocre opps by at least 8 pts each....Rams are easily better than those two teams....
    But like I always say NOTHING is GUARANTEED. Breaks can quickly flip the game, no doubt...

    Fubah's WEEK 16:
    from Pinnacle
    Rams -198            *Best Bet 3u
    Rams -1.0 -188      *Best Bet 2u
    Rams -1.5 -177

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    Fubah's view:  Saints @RAMS


    Both teams 7 - 7.   But that is deceptive!


    A lot of people put too much stock in those w/L records and in this case think this is an even game. Well, it might very well turn out that way. Lucky breaks can swing things sideways in a hurry and upset the best laid plans.
    But the way I approach any game is too consider my chances ASSUMING roughly even breaks on each side - and in that even which is the better team. I judge that by things like pt diff, the venues they played and WHO they played, and the venue tonight. ALL STATS must be judged in light of WHO THEY PLAYED to achieve them -- including their W/L record.
    So let's look:
    Saints played bottom rated teams a whopping 7 times....and padded their W/L with 6 wins from that. They actually LOST one of those and narrowly escaped 2 others. But equally important is: How many times did they face TOP TIER teams (single digit rated)? Only one. And they lost to Detroit at home....
    Thus, their 7 wins are padded by winning 6 against bottom dwellers, and escaped more than 7 losses by only facing ONE top tier squad!

    Compare that to Rams (who are 100% healthy now btw!!)
    Rams only got to pad their WIN total playing just 3 bottom dwellers - but won all 3 by at least 8+ pts -- never coming close to actually losing to them, which Saints did ONCE and almost 2 more times!
    Further, the Rams loss column is dominated by being forced to face not just ONE top tier squad like the fortunate Saints, but FIVE! They managed to win one of those and took Ravens to OT in another!
    In short, RAMS faced a far tougher SoS than Saints but achieved the same 7 wins!
    And they are at HOME! Venue matters! Rams are better at home!

    Rams have looked GOOD in their recent 5 games - winning 4 and taking Ravens to OT in the other (losing on a fluky kick return TD)
    Saints are feeling comfortable coming off 3 consecutive home games - winning the recent 2 but against weakass teams (Carolina and Giants) Now they hit the road FINALLY.
    They lost their last 2 road games to mediocre opps by at least 8 pts each....Rams are easily better than those two teams....
    But like I always say NOTHING is GUARANTEED. Breaks can quickly flip the game, no doubt...

    Fubah's WEEK 16:
    from Pinnacle
    Rams -198            *Best Bet 3u
    Rams -1.0 -188      *Best Bet 2u
    Rams -1.5 -177

     
    Zeus4par
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 7:58 PM ET #3072

    @fubah2

     Good luck tonite.  I'm on the RAMS ml too!  an_cheers

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    @fubah2

     Good luck tonite.  I'm on the RAMS ml too!  an_cheers

     
    Zeus4par
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 8:08 PM ET #3073

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Fubah's view:  Saints @RAMS Both teams 7 - 7.   But that is deceptive! A lot of people put too much stock in those w/L records and in this case think this is an even game. Well, it might very well turn out that way. Lucky breaks can swing things sideways in a hurry and upset the best laid plans.But the way I approach any game is too consider my chances ASSUMING roughly even breaks on each side - and in that even which is the better team. I judge that by things like pt diff, the venues they played and WHO they played, and the venue tonight. ALL STATS must be judged in light of WHO THEY PLAYED to achieve them -- including their W/L record.So let's look:Saints played bottom rated teams a whopping 7 times....and padded their W/L with 6 wins from that. They actually LOST one of those and narrowly escaped 2 others. But equally important is: How many times did they face TOP TIER teams (single digit rated)? Only one. And they lost to Detroit at home....Thus, their 7 wins are padded by winning 6 against bottom dwellers, and escaped more than 7 losses by only facing ONE top tier squad! Compare that to Rams (who are 100% healthy now btw!!)Rams only got to pad their WIN total playing just 3 bottom dwellers - but won all 3 by at least 8+ pts -- never coming close to actually losing to them, which Saints did ONCE and almost 2 more times!Further, the Rams loss column is dominated by being forced to face not just ONE top tier squad like the fortunate Saints, but FIVE! They managed to win one of those and took Ravens to OT in another!In short, RAMS faced a far tougher SoS than Saints but achieved the same 7 wins!And they are at HOME! Venue matters! Rams are better at home! Rams have looked GOOD in their recent 5 games - winning 4 and taking Ravens to OT in the other (losing on a fluky kick return TD)Saints are feeling comfortable coming off 3 consecutive home games - winning the recent 2 but against weakass teams (Carolina and Giants) Now they hit the road FINALLY.They lost their last 2 road games to mediocre opps by at least 8 pts each....Rams are easily better than those two teams....But like I always say NOTHING is GUARANTEED. Breaks can quickly flip the game, no doubt... Fubah's WEEK 16:from PinnacleRams -198            *Best Bet 3uRams -1.0 -188      *Best Bet 2u Rams -1.5 -177

    Interesting take. thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Fubah's view:  Saints @RAMS Both teams 7 - 7.   But that is deceptive! A lot of people put too much stock in those w/L records and in this case think this is an even game. Well, it might very well turn out that way. Lucky breaks can swing things sideways in a hurry and upset the best laid plans.But the way I approach any game is too consider my chances ASSUMING roughly even breaks on each side - and in that even which is the better team. I judge that by things like pt diff, the venues they played and WHO they played, and the venue tonight. ALL STATS must be judged in light of WHO THEY PLAYED to achieve them -- including their W/L record.So let's look:Saints played bottom rated teams a whopping 7 times....and padded their W/L with 6 wins from that. They actually LOST one of those and narrowly escaped 2 others. But equally important is: How many times did they face TOP TIER teams (single digit rated)? Only one. And they lost to Detroit at home....Thus, their 7 wins are padded by winning 6 against bottom dwellers, and escaped more than 7 losses by only facing ONE top tier squad! Compare that to Rams (who are 100% healthy now btw!!)Rams only got to pad their WIN total playing just 3 bottom dwellers - but won all 3 by at least 8+ pts -- never coming close to actually losing to them, which Saints did ONCE and almost 2 more times!Further, the Rams loss column is dominated by being forced to face not just ONE top tier squad like the fortunate Saints, but FIVE! They managed to win one of those and took Ravens to OT in another!In short, RAMS faced a far tougher SoS than Saints but achieved the same 7 wins!And they are at HOME! Venue matters! Rams are better at home! Rams have looked GOOD in their recent 5 games - winning 4 and taking Ravens to OT in the other (losing on a fluky kick return TD)Saints are feeling comfortable coming off 3 consecutive home games - winning the recent 2 but against weakass teams (Carolina and Giants) Now they hit the road FINALLY.They lost their last 2 road games to mediocre opps by at least 8 pts each....Rams are easily better than those two teams....But like I always say NOTHING is GUARANTEED. Breaks can quickly flip the game, no doubt... Fubah's WEEK 16:from PinnacleRams -198            *Best Bet 3uRams -1.0 -188      *Best Bet 2u Rams -1.5 -177

    Interesting take. thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 8:16 PM ET #3074

    Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

    @fubah2  Good luck tonite.  I'm on the RAMS ml too!

    @Zeus4par

    Thanks!   peace_5

    I really, REALLY hope YOU win your bet on Rams! an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

    @fubah2  Good luck tonite.  I'm on the RAMS ml too!

    @Zeus4par

    Thanks!   peace_5

    I really, REALLY hope YOU win your bet on Rams! an_cheers

     
     
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2023 - 8:17 PM ET #3075

    @fubah2

    Al Michaels just mentioned, Los Angeles Rams are on the upsurging, they are a dangerous team now.  Good luck, Fubah! clover

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    @fubah2

    Al Michaels just mentioned, Los Angeles Rams are on the upsurging, they are a dangerous team now.  Good luck, Fubah! clover

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