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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Tuesday WIZardry in The Sty

    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
    BrickShot
    Pablo2k1
    TheDrill
    kosmonaut
    knight703
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 13658
    Posts: 331
    «First Previous 567 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    BrickShot
    BrickShot
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #101

    3-0 unbelievable!!!
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    3-0 unbelievable!!!
     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:23 PM ET #102

    Real Madrid to advance (posted yesterday)

    Pay up
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    Real Madrid to advance (posted yesterday)

    Pay up
     
    TheDrill
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:32 PM ET #103

    thanks for that one Pablo...i added it to close out a 3 team parlay with 2 wins in the books!  
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    thanks for that one Pablo...i added it to close out a 3 team parlay with 2 wins in the books!  
     
    kosmonaut
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:34 PM ET #104

    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play


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    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play


     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:37 PM ET #105

    Quote Originally Posted by kosmonaut:

    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play




    It's funny how people bet this game and don't even know the rules... they need 5!
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    Quote Originally Posted by kosmonaut:

    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play




    It's funny how people bet this game and don't even know the rules... they need 5!
     
    knight703
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:41 PM ET #106

    MLB

    Rockies TT Over 4.5

    I dont like 4.5 or 5 for TT but you know my rockies chase.
    bolsinger rook going against heavy hitters lets see how he does he has never faced rockies. looking for rockies to score 5+ the over might be a look Rockies pitcher is not anything to worry about either.

    Angels TT Over 4
    Kluber sucks on the road going with the better team another game that I lean over weaver is medicore pitcher but going with the heavier bats


    NBA

    Wiz TT Over 45 1H / Over 44 -132
    Wiz TT Over 89 Full Game / 88 -133

    I know that is heavy juice and not a smart long term strategy to profit but like I said not even worried about letting the books possibly borrow some money will be getting it back if a loss.
    past three weeks have profited my bankroll is alright like I said I rather you fellas hold off this is a dangerous one.
    im diving in though

    open 8pt. teaser / 4 Teamer

    Wiz +12.5


    Good luck tonight fellas


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    MLB

    Rockies TT Over 4.5

    I dont like 4.5 or 5 for TT but you know my rockies chase.
    bolsinger rook going against heavy hitters lets see how he does he has never faced rockies. looking for rockies to score 5+ the over might be a look Rockies pitcher is not anything to worry about either.

    Angels TT Over 4
    Kluber sucks on the road going with the better team another game that I lean over weaver is medicore pitcher but going with the heavier bats


    NBA

    Wiz TT Over 45 1H / Over 44 -132
    Wiz TT Over 89 Full Game / 88 -133

    I know that is heavy juice and not a smart long term strategy to profit but like I said not even worried about letting the books possibly borrow some money will be getting it back if a loss.
    past three weeks have profited my bankroll is alright like I said I rather you fellas hold off this is a dangerous one.
    im diving in though

    open 8pt. teaser / 4 Teamer

    Wiz +12.5


    Good luck tonight fellas


     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:42 PM ET #107

    Quote Originally Posted by kosmonaut:

    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play


    i don't know a ton about soccer, but I played it for like 20 years... standard cliches.

    I just look at box scores and I watched the line on this, thinking, "they could do it again"... 3-0 though.

    no bettor's remorse on what appears to be a W at this point. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by kosmonaut:

    Real Madrid game is done. There is no way Bayern could come out of this, they would need 4(!!) goals. So I hope y'all had the balls to go big on this play


    i don't know a ton about soccer, but I played it for like 20 years... standard cliches.

    I just look at box scores and I watched the line on this, thinking, "they could do it again"... 3-0 though.

    no bettor's remorse on what appears to be a W at this point. 
     
    BrickShot
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:42 PM ET #108

    But they are all home goals so wouldn't they need more than 5?
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    But they are all home goals so wouldn't they need more than 5?
     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:43 PM ET #109

    I'm confused. what was the basis to go large on this? 
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    I'm confused. what was the basis to go large on this? 
     
    Hammersticks
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:44 PM ET #110

    Real Madrid 2h +1.5 
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    Real Madrid 2h +1.5 
     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:47 PM ET #111

    Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

    But they are all home goals so wouldn't they need more than 5?


    5>3+1

    only in case of an equal amount of goals scored by both teams, do away goals come into play. Hence, Bayern won't advance by scoring 4.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

    But they are all home goals so wouldn't they need more than 5?


    5>3+1

    only in case of an equal amount of goals scored by both teams, do away goals come into play. Hence, Bayern won't advance by scoring 4.
     
    SourSausage
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:49 PM ET #112

    Quote Originally Posted by Hammersticks:

    Real Madrid 2h +1.5 

    Oh man, what is the juice on that play? Gotta be ridic
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hammersticks:

    Real Madrid 2h +1.5 

    Oh man, what is the juice on that play? Gotta be ridic
     
    BrickShot
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:50 PM ET #113

    See I don't know rules very well either. Or at all
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    See I don't know rules very well either. Or at all
     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:53 PM ET #114

    Just some friendly advice: before betting on a sport (and I don't mean tailing, but even then) LEARN the sport before betting on it
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    Just some friendly advice: before betting on a sport (and I don't mean tailing, but even then) LEARN the sport before betting on it
     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:54 PM ET #115

    Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

    I'm confused. what was the basis to go large on this? 


    I posted earlier I played Real to advance as a big play, but the ML no way that would be a big play.
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    Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

    I'm confused. what was the basis to go large on this? 


    I posted earlier I played Real to advance as a big play, but the ML no way that would be a big play.
     
    Sneakykebin
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:57 PM ET #116

    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:

    Real Madrid to advance (posted yesterday)

    Pay up

    thanks pablo 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:

    Real Madrid to advance (posted yesterday)

    Pay up

    thanks pablo 
     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 3:58 PM ET #117

    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:



    I posted earlier I played Real to advance as a big play, but the ML no way that would be a big play.
    oh. yeah I didn't even see that but I have to admit I only look for moneylines or spreads as that's all I have listed.

    anyway. I played +.5 at +105. nothing massive. small/medium. figured a draw, not an outright drubbing. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:



    I posted earlier I played Real to advance as a big play, but the ML no way that would be a big play.
    oh. yeah I didn't even see that but I have to admit I only look for moneylines or spreads as that's all I have listed.

    anyway. I played +.5 at +105. nothing massive. small/medium. figured a draw, not an outright drubbing. 
     
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:00 PM ET #118

    Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

    oh. yeah I didn't even see that but I have to admit I only look for moneylines or spreads as that's all I have listed.

    anyway. I played +.5 at +105. nothing massive. small/medium. figured a draw, not an outright drubbing. 


    Either way, good call
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    Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

    oh. yeah I didn't even see that but I have to admit I only look for moneylines or spreads as that's all I have listed.

    anyway. I played +.5 at +105. nothing massive. small/medium. figured a draw, not an outright drubbing. 


    Either way, good call
     
    BrickShot
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:00 PM ET #119

    I hear ya Pablo. Appreciate the play & advice.
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    I hear ya Pablo. Appreciate the play & advice.
     
    henrymethbreath
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:03 PM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:



    Either way, good call
    well i figured there was something to you calling the advancement... 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo2k1:



    Either way, good call
    well i figured there was something to you calling the advancement... 
     
    dontknowhowtobe
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:04 PM ET #121

    Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:


    THIS i highlighted is  classic handicapping TRAP thinking....it supposes the bulls werent really trying to defend the first 4....the bulls were indeed trying to defend.... their numbers on defense that out them near the top of the league were a composite of playing against all teams, even those that dont score a lot...such as charlotte and memphis...and others....if you extrapolated out the games of just the good offensive teams the bulls played, you would probably see the bulls were not really a very good defensive team. the bulls do not have the players to match up with the wiz. at guards...2 young phenoms...beal and wall and behind them, martell webster, a player that could start for most NBA teams.  the bulls dont even start their best guard augustine....gortat is bigger and stronger than boozer, and at this stage of his career, a better player....whats boozer done in the series?. in 4 games he has 11,5,14, and 8...a 9 1/2 pt avg... trevor arizza raining threes all over...the bulls barely know what a 3 is..did you know the wizards score 10 more pts a game off 3s than the bulls?.... the bulls will have to score to keep up with the wiz, which means a faster game, especially in 2 H.. and as far as being rigged. i see that crap all the time in other threads, we dont use that excuse in the sty, and as for the players, its a lot easier to rig a side, and the officials are under such scrutiny after the earlier incident a few years ago, that in the playoffs with everyone watching, it would be almost unthinkable for an official to try and throw a total.. BUT they do have tendencies, just like players and teams..
    if the bulls could defend the wiz, it would already have happened.



    That's just not the way gambling works.
    You think, you "think" you know the game.
    All previous games pointing out to how it should be.
    Let's just wait a few more hours and see.

    Sports bettors are even bigger "geniuses" in analyzing games after the games are over than are horse race bettors in analyzing races after the races are over. Horse race bettors usually quickly forget about the race that was just lost and then move on to the next race. Sports bettors sometimes will mull over the game that was just played. They will think about the various situations and problems that happened in the game that caused the bet to win or lose. They may reflect on the game for some weeks, months or longer believing that this may help to handicap another game down the road. They may even remember the game for next season or for years to come, thinking this may help to evaluate the game plans of a coach or the tendencies of a team. This is a form of Monday morning quarterbacking. The expression "Monday morning quarterback" got this name because most professional football games are played on Sundays. Then on Monday after the games are over, everyone is a game analysis expert when they have all of the game scores. When the games are over, only then is any sports bettor a sports handicapping expert.

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    Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:


    THIS i highlighted is  classic handicapping TRAP thinking....it supposes the bulls werent really trying to defend the first 4....the bulls were indeed trying to defend.... their numbers on defense that out them near the top of the league were a composite of playing against all teams, even those that dont score a lot...such as charlotte and memphis...and others....if you extrapolated out the games of just the good offensive teams the bulls played, you would probably see the bulls were not really a very good defensive team. the bulls do not have the players to match up with the wiz. at guards...2 young phenoms...beal and wall and behind them, martell webster, a player that could start for most NBA teams.  the bulls dont even start their best guard augustine....gortat is bigger and stronger than boozer, and at this stage of his career, a better player....whats boozer done in the series?. in 4 games he has 11,5,14, and 8...a 9 1/2 pt avg... trevor arizza raining threes all over...the bulls barely know what a 3 is..did you know the wizards score 10 more pts a game off 3s than the bulls?.... the bulls will have to score to keep up with the wiz, which means a faster game, especially in 2 H.. and as far as being rigged. i see that crap all the time in other threads, we dont use that excuse in the sty, and as for the players, its a lot easier to rig a side, and the officials are under such scrutiny after the earlier incident a few years ago, that in the playoffs with everyone watching, it would be almost unthinkable for an official to try and throw a total.. BUT they do have tendencies, just like players and teams..
    if the bulls could defend the wiz, it would already have happened.



    That's just not the way gambling works.
    You think, you "think" you know the game.
    All previous games pointing out to how it should be.
    Let's just wait a few more hours and see.

    Sports bettors are even bigger "geniuses" in analyzing games after the games are over than are horse race bettors in analyzing races after the races are over. Horse race bettors usually quickly forget about the race that was just lost and then move on to the next race. Sports bettors sometimes will mull over the game that was just played. They will think about the various situations and problems that happened in the game that caused the bet to win or lose. They may reflect on the game for some weeks, months or longer believing that this may help to handicap another game down the road. They may even remember the game for next season or for years to come, thinking this may help to evaluate the game plans of a coach or the tendencies of a team. This is a form of Monday morning quarterbacking. The expression "Monday morning quarterback" got this name because most professional football games are played on Sundays. Then on Monday after the games are over, everyone is a game analysis expert when they have all of the game scores. When the games are over, only then is any sports bettor a sports handicapping expert.

     
    Hammersticks
    Hammersticks
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:04 PM ET #122

    Sour it was -160 
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    Sour it was -160 
     
    Pablo2k1
    Pablo2k1
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    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:13 PM ET #123

    Quote Originally Posted by Hammersticks:

    Sour it was -160 


    and that's my cut off point
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hammersticks:

    Sour it was -160 


    and that's my cut off point
     
    henrymethbreath
    henrymethbreath
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    Posts: 7546
    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:13 PM ET #124

    Quote Originally Posted by dontknowhowtobe:



    That's just not the way gambling works.
    You think, you "think" you know the game.
    All previous games pointing out to how it should be.
    Let's just wait a few more hours and see.

    Sports bettors are even bigger "geniuses" in analyzing games after the games are over than are horse race bettors in analyzing races after the races are over. Horse race bettors usually quickly forget about the race that was just lost and then move on to the next race. Sports bettors sometimes will mull over the game that was just played. They will think about the various situations and problems that happened in the game that caused the bet to win or lose. They may reflect on the game for some weeks, months or longer believing that this may help to handicap another game down the road. They may even remember the game for next season or for years to come, thinking this may help to evaluate the game plans of a coach or the tendencies of a team. This is a form of Monday morning quarterbacking. The expression "Monday morning quarterback" got this name because most professional football games are played on Sundays. Then on Monday after the games are over, everyone is a game analysis expert when they have all of the game scores. When the games are over, only then is any sports bettor a sports handicapping expert.

    i just let the numbers talk. by the way, you should cite things.


    team = Wizards and o:team = Bulls and season = 2013
    SU:5-2 (2.29, 71.4%)
    ATS:4-3-0 (2.50, 57.1%)  avg line: 0.2
    O/U:6-1-0 (7.57, 85.7%)  avg total: 182.7
    FGPctFTPct3sPctBLKSO-RBNDRBNDFoulsASTTOversQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
    Team37.0045.815.8668.56.4338.55.5710.5740.2920.7122.0011.1426.423.022.922.696.3
    Opp35.0044.416.4375.27.5735.83.7111.7141.0020.4322.1413.4323.124.923.721.194.0
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by dontknowhowtobe:



    That's just not the way gambling works.
    You think, you "think" you know the game.
    All previous games pointing out to how it should be.
    Let's just wait a few more hours and see.

    Sports bettors are even bigger "geniuses" in analyzing games after the games are over than are horse race bettors in analyzing races after the races are over. Horse race bettors usually quickly forget about the race that was just lost and then move on to the next race. Sports bettors sometimes will mull over the game that was just played. They will think about the various situations and problems that happened in the game that caused the bet to win or lose. They may reflect on the game for some weeks, months or longer believing that this may help to handicap another game down the road. They may even remember the game for next season or for years to come, thinking this may help to evaluate the game plans of a coach or the tendencies of a team. This is a form of Monday morning quarterbacking. The expression "Monday morning quarterback" got this name because most professional football games are played on Sundays. Then on Monday after the games are over, everyone is a game analysis expert when they have all of the game scores. When the games are over, only then is any sports bettor a sports handicapping expert.

    i just let the numbers talk. by the way, you should cite things.


    team = Wizards and o:team = Bulls and season = 2013
    SU:5-2 (2.29, 71.4%)
    ATS:4-3-0 (2.50, 57.1%)  avg line: 0.2
    O/U:6-1-0 (7.57, 85.7%)  avg total: 182.7
    FGPctFTPct3sPctBLKSO-RBNDRBNDFoulsASTTOversQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
    Team37.0045.815.8668.56.4338.55.5710.5740.2920.7122.0011.1426.423.022.922.696.3
    Opp35.0044.416.4375.27.5735.83.7111.7141.0020.4322.1413.4323.124.923.721.194.0
     
     
    tuck321
    tuck321
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    Posts: 20165
    Posted: Apr. 29, 2014 - 4:19 PM ET #125

    A few details on the Seattle game

      I use days rest.
    Sabathia on 4 days rest this season
    is 1-1 with an ERA of 5.54
    His last 2 games 5 and 6 days rest he is back on 4 tonight
    Young this season gave no runs on his first game 2 innings no runs
    Had 6 days rest and gave 6 innings no runs and his last 2 starts were on 4 days rest and gave up 7 runs and is back on 5 days rest which I think may help him
    Seattle this season playing off 1 day off is 4-0
    Seattle last 10 at NY is 5-5
    Batter vs Pitcher shows Ichiro and McCann as the only ones that have really seen and hit him
    Sabathia last 10 at home is 6-4
    Have played first 5 and looking very hard at game


    Reply
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    A few details on the Seattle game

      I use days rest.
    Sabathia on 4 days rest this season
    is 1-1 with an ERA of 5.54
    His last 2 games 5 and 6 days rest he is back on 4 tonight
    Young this season gave no runs on his first game 2 innings no runs
    Had 6 days rest and gave 6 innings no runs and his last 2 starts were on 4 days rest and gave up 7 runs and is back on 5 days rest which I think may help him
    Seattle this season playing off 1 day off is 4-0
    Seattle last 10 at NY is 5-5
    Batter vs Pitcher shows Ichiro and McCann as the only ones that have really seen and hit him
    Sabathia last 10 at home is 6-4
    Have played first 5 and looking very hard at game


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