The Limits (Or Are There?) of Fading

i'm a big big sports fan, nba in particular, but had never really paid any attention to the gambling universe until about 5 weeks ago. i make picks, pretty remarkably, on sportsplays.com, but haven't placed an actual real life $$ pick yet, because, yeah, I want to try to improve before (if I even do) start betting for real life bucks that don't approach the, alleged, 10k and more sums being bet on by some of you. but enough about me (and you), and your daughter. and your cousin too.

Probably being a huge novice here, and probably because one of my favorite movie characters of all time is Max Bialystock but fading strikes me as an interesting strategy. An amateur handicapper who is SUCH A FLOP THAT HE'S A HIT. Find someone who makes a lot of bets, and is consistently awful, and bet the opposite on every damn spankin one of their ATS and O/U picks, equal units on each. There's a lot of guys like this on sportsplays because, right, it isn't real money, so no reason for them to not keep the fresh garbage flowing, right? 

is this completely half baked or could it work, at least for awhile? Please discuss this, and whether or not my use of gambling slang i learned two weeks ago is mildly irritating or not in this thread.

I mean, yeah, they'll obviously, within the scenario of them making 4-5 total ATS and O/U NBA picks a night, there's gonna be some 4-1 nights sprinkled in there, but could they go under 47.62% for the year or is that just as difficult as going over 52.38??

i don't have a math degree over here, but just wondering, because I've been tracking a couple guys on there who have made a good 70-80 picks total who hover around the 37-39 accuracy rate.

question about possible gamblers paradox for you folks who bet real $$: say hypothetically, you made money this way,just fading one guy for equal units each pick, and made no picks of your own. would this take thrill out of it because you've denied yourself agency, even though you'd be cashing in? I'm interested in psyche of gambler, what do you guys think?

Go to the covers consensus, find which ever games covers members like the most, and fade them.