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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Rarely do I say Vegas knows more than I do but they must know something w/ Kings vs.Wizards. WRITEUP

    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
    scalabrine
    progambler13
    oneplayaday22
    Kaka123
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    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:17 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    BTW, Scal, what do you expect the Knicks/Pacers line will be?

    Knicks are on a 6 game winning streak in revenge spot.

    Pacers just won their 50th tied for the most in the league.

    Both hold a lot of weight when line setting.

    It's on the road and no matter who they play, the public loves the Knicks as every post I made this year moved against me up to 4.5 points when backing them.

    This has 4 at most written all over it as an opening line and will probably settle at 3 before tip. Wouldn't be surprised to see public love push it to 2.5 but that is asking a lot.

    If you get it early (you do), please drop that and Lakers Spurs in here.


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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    BTW, Scal, what do you expect the Knicks/Pacers line will be?

    Knicks are on a 6 game winning streak in revenge spot.

    Pacers just won their 50th tied for the most in the league.

    Both hold a lot of weight when line setting.

    It's on the road and no matter who they play, the public loves the Knicks as every post I made this year moved against me up to 4.5 points when backing them.

    This has 4 at most written all over it as an opening line and will probably settle at 3 before tip. Wouldn't be surprised to see public love push it to 2.5 but that is asking a lot.

    If you get it early (you do), please drop that and Lakers Spurs in here.


     
    progambler13
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:17 PM ET #52

    Cousins makes or breaks matchup... Wanted to pull the trigger on Wizards Moneyline but just can't seem to do it until Cousin's status is confirmed... However if he does play how does the over 202 sound? Sac can usually light it up at home and Washington is a top scoring team as well..?
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    Cousins makes or breaks matchup... Wanted to pull the trigger on Wizards Moneyline but just can't seem to do it until Cousin's status is confirmed... However if he does play how does the over 202 sound? Sac can usually light it up at home and Washington is a top scoring team as well..?
     
    oneplayaday22
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:22 PM ET #53

    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..
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    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:23 PM ET #54

    I don't play OU's but Cousins almost certainly has to play with this line.

    Aaron Gray is his replacement for god's sake. He'll give you two baskets on a good night. Cousins can give you a dozen if motivated.
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    I don't play OU's but Cousins almost certainly has to play with this line.

    Aaron Gray is his replacement for god's sake. He'll give you two baskets on a good night. Cousins can give you a dozen if motivated.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:25 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..

    Barring a late scratch for the Wiz, I'll bet you $10,000 the Kings will never be favored before tip.

    Deal?
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    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..

    Barring a late scratch for the Wiz, I'll bet you $10,000 the Kings will never be favored before tip.

    Deal?
     
    oneplayaday22
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:28 PM ET #56

    DEAL

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    DEAL

     
    Kaka123
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:31 PM ET #57

    Brick
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    Brick
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:32 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    DEAL



    I will forward you my paypal information shortly via PM. Please forward the money in 10 $1,000 payments as to not raise any eyebrows. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    DEAL



    I will forward you my paypal information shortly via PM. Please forward the money in 10 $1,000 payments as to not raise any eyebrows. 
     
    Kaka123
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:42 PM ET #59

    GL
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    GL
     
    BaggerVANCE
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 2:42 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



    Please forward the money in 10 $1,000 payments as to not raise any eyebrows. 

    always with the wisdom hahaha
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



    Please forward the money in 10 $1,000 payments as to not raise any eyebrows. 

    always with the wisdom hahaha
     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:21 PM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    Knicks are on a 6 game winning streak in revenge spot.

    Pacers just won their 50th tied for the most in the league.

    Both hold a lot of weight when line setting.

    It's on the road and no matter who they play, the public loves the Knicks as every post I made this year moved against me up to 4.5 points when backing them.

    This has 4 at most written all over it as an opening line and will probably settle at 3 before tip. Wouldn't be surprised to see public love push it to 2.5 but that is asking a lot.

    If you get it early (you do), please drop that and Lakers Spurs in here.



    Just got the Knicks at +4.5, Scal. The max I can bet on these early lines is 250-275, which I did. Lakers are getting 13.5 against Spurs. Do you have a take on that line? And I should I grab it?
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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    Knicks are on a 6 game winning streak in revenge spot.

    Pacers just won their 50th tied for the most in the league.

    Both hold a lot of weight when line setting.

    It's on the road and no matter who they play, the public loves the Knicks as every post I made this year moved against me up to 4.5 points when backing them.

    This has 4 at most written all over it as an opening line and will probably settle at 3 before tip. Wouldn't be surprised to see public love push it to 2.5 but that is asking a lot.

    If you get it early (you do), please drop that and Lakers Spurs in here.



    Just got the Knicks at +4.5, Scal. The max I can bet on these early lines is 250-275, which I did. Lakers are getting 13.5 against Spurs. Do you have a take on that line? And I should I grab it?
     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:34 PM ET #62

    That Knicks line moved to +3.5 within minutes.
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    That Knicks line moved to +3.5 within minutes.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:35 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    Just got the Knicks at +4.5, Scal. The max I can bet on these early lines is 250-275, which I did. Lakers are getting 13.5 against Spurs. Do you have a take on that line? And I should I grab it?

    Wow. Both lines will have to drop. It will open at no higher than 4 on bovada and that is a dog site. I don't know how betonline.com allows this exposure.

    Sharps hit the lines very early if they are favorable and will drop and late if they will rise. These are the highest possible lines for dogs allowing sharps to get in 36 hours early. Squares sit on their money and react later.

    I am pretty surprised the books opened the lakers at 13.5. That is fairly high. Even OKC opened at 11.5 vs the Lakers last Sunday and this is 2 points higher. Points over 10 are quite valuable. 

    I am going to have a write-up if I have the time for either lakers/spurs or Knicks/pacers, again if time allows, and I see a better side. But for the laker game that line can only drop and you'd know what side I'd be on, but I still have some research to do if I write it up at all instead of the Knicks game. I was even considering the Spurs at certain points this week so I'm trying to get a better grasp on it. This game has differences in comparison to the OKC victory, fairly substantial ones.
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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


    Just got the Knicks at +4.5, Scal. The max I can bet on these early lines is 250-275, which I did. Lakers are getting 13.5 against Spurs. Do you have a take on that line? And I should I grab it?

    Wow. Both lines will have to drop. It will open at no higher than 4 on bovada and that is a dog site. I don't know how betonline.com allows this exposure.

    Sharps hit the lines very early if they are favorable and will drop and late if they will rise. These are the highest possible lines for dogs allowing sharps to get in 36 hours early. Squares sit on their money and react later.

    I am pretty surprised the books opened the lakers at 13.5. That is fairly high. Even OKC opened at 11.5 vs the Lakers last Sunday and this is 2 points higher. Points over 10 are quite valuable. 

    I am going to have a write-up if I have the time for either lakers/spurs or Knicks/pacers, again if time allows, and I see a better side. But for the laker game that line can only drop and you'd know what side I'd be on, but I still have some research to do if I write it up at all instead of the Knicks game. I was even considering the Spurs at certain points this week so I'm trying to get a better grasp on it. This game has differences in comparison to the OKC victory, fairly substantial ones.
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:35 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    That Knicks line moved to +3.5 within minutes.

    That's why you're a sharp bettor getting it a point higher
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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    That Knicks line moved to +3.5 within minutes.

    That's why you're a sharp bettor getting it a point higher
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:36 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:


    always with the wisdom hahaha

    If you want a piece of the 10K, you can have in.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:


    always with the wisdom hahaha

    If you want a piece of the 10K, you can have in.
     
    Dr_Baseball
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:49 PM ET #66

    Sounds like Vegas knew Cousins would play based on the quote from Malone 2 days ago, so I don't think they were posting a line without a decent idea of if Cousins is going to play.  

    Washington not having Nene in the middle to guard Cousins isn't going to help them.
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    Sounds like Vegas knew Cousins would play based on the quote from Malone 2 days ago, so I don't think they were posting a line without a decent idea of if Cousins is going to play.  

    Washington not having Nene in the middle to guard Cousins isn't going to help them.
     
    Dr_Baseball
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:51 PM ET #67

    As you said Scal, Cousins is key for Sac.  If Sac's playing a team without someone who can guard him they're going to have a chance to win.  
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    As you said Scal, Cousins is key for Sac.  If Sac's playing a team without someone who can guard him they're going to have a chance to win.  
     
    Dr_Baseball
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 3:53 PM ET #68

    Scal - I responded to your PM.
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    Scal - I responded to your PM.
     
    GeneCam27
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:10 PM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..
    You're over thinking this. They can't possibly make them a favorite because statistically they can't. 

    And if you take into account the situational play washington will become a heavier favorite. They are night and day defensively and giving you a soft line on Washington. 


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    Quote Originally Posted by oneplayaday22:

    NOT SURE AS TO WHAT UR SEEING.. BUT LINE IS CLEARLY MOVING DOWN FOR PUBLIC TO CONTINUE POUNDING WIZ.. THIS GAME IS ALREADY PLAYED.. THE KINGS WIN.. THERE WILL BE REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT IN THIS GAME.. LINE IS GOING TO CONTINUE DROPPING.. WOULDNT BE SUPRISED IF BY GAME TIME KINGS ARE FAVORED.. COUSINS IS LIKELY TO PLAY.. ONCE HE BECOMES ACTIVE LINE WILL FAVOR KINGS.. LINE SHOULD NOT BE -1 AT ALLL EVEN WITH WIZ ON THE ROAD..
    You're over thinking this. They can't possibly make them a favorite because statistically they can't. 

    And if you take into account the situational play washington will become a heavier favorite. They are night and day defensively and giving you a soft line on Washington. 


     
    SPIDERWEBB
    SPIDERWEBB
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:12 PM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    Barring a late scratch for the Wiz, I'll bet you $10,000 the Kings will never be favored before tip.

    Deal?

     HEY   HEY  GUY'S LET DO IT THIS  WAY. SCAL IF YOU LOOSE YOU GIVE ME THE $,000.00 AND  ONEPLAY A DAY IF YOU LOOSE YOU GIVE ME THE $10,000.00 THAT MORE THAN FEAR RIGHT

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    Barring a late scratch for the Wiz, I'll bet you $10,000 the Kings will never be favored before tip.

    Deal?

     HEY   HEY  GUY'S LET DO IT THIS  WAY. SCAL IF YOU LOOSE YOU GIVE ME THE $,000.00 AND  ONEPLAY A DAY IF YOU LOOSE YOU GIVE ME THE $10,000.00 THAT MORE THAN FEAR RIGHT

     

     
    oneplayaday22
    oneplayaday22
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:13 PM ET #71

    AND GO TO SCHOOL AND GET SOME GRAMMAR EDUCATION? SURE WHY NOT
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    AND GO TO SCHOOL AND GET SOME GRAMMAR EDUCATION? SURE WHY NOT
     
    timdogs17
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:16 PM ET #72

    Oneplay...
    The question is this, are you going to pay up if you lose the bet? I assume as a gambler on a "gambling" website you would stick to your "Deal".. Better keep track of that line movement .
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    Oneplay...
    The question is this, are you going to pay up if you lose the bet? I assume as a gambler on a "gambling" website you would stick to your "Deal".. Better keep track of that line movement .
     
    oneplayaday22
    oneplayaday22
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:19 PM ET #73

    TIMDOGS

    U WORRY BOUT URSELF. NEVER WAS TAUGHT THAT?

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    TIMDOGS

    U WORRY BOUT URSELF. NEVER WAS TAUGHT THAT?

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:23 PM ET #74

    Well, one thing about Spurs /Lakers is that there is a lot of history there. Lakers have broken the Spurs collective hearts many times in the playoffs. Also, and this is pure conjecture, I get the feeling Pop does not like D'Antoni or his brand of B-ball, since his Suns days. Otherwise, how to explain the Spurs running up the score on the hapless Lakers but not the Bulls?
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    Well, one thing about Spurs /Lakers is that there is a lot of history there. Lakers have broken the Spurs collective hearts many times in the playoffs. Also, and this is pure conjecture, I get the feeling Pop does not like D'Antoni or his brand of B-ball, since his Suns days. Otherwise, how to explain the Spurs running up the score on the hapless Lakers but not the Bulls?
     
     
    venezolanisimo
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2014 - 4:39 PM ET #75

    I AGREE KINGS +1.5 
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    I AGREE KINGS +1.5 
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