11/27/2009 CHARLOTTE v CLEVELAND Total: 185.5 (Previously 186.5)
In
their previous 2 Games against Toronto and Indiana, Charlotte have
scored 100+ and not conceded anywhere close to 100. Toronto and Indiana
are not defensive minded teams and get involved in a playground run and
gun ball.
Charlotte scored a lot of baskets from simple layups
and poor defense in the interior by Toronto and managed to draw alot of
fouls from poor positional play by defenders.
Prior to these 2 Games, Charlotte were scoring around 88 ppg either home or away.
Cleveland
have opted to throw away playing Defense this year and have told Lebron
James to win them Games since everyone else on the team appear they are
still on a vacation are can't be ****ed earning their money.
The
Cleveland team is ripe to bet against. Why? Because apart from James,
the other players do not contribute regularly and normally when someone
contributes, 4 other players don't. This is legitimately a case of
James carrying the team and there is no arguments about that.
Cleveland
average 95 ppg away from Home and don't always shoot well. I think they
will struggle for points against Charlotte because as much as Charlotte
have improved offensively, they are still the same Charlotte when it
comes to defense.
The
key to this game is how intense Cleveland will play Defense. I think
the Cavs will want to win this one and they will have to defend well to
do it. This game has every chance of going to the wire and I don't
expect it will get any trash-time.
Scoreline like 83-79 is what I would forecast. I took the 186.5 an hour after opening but I would still be happy to play 185.5.
Consider
Charlotte on the line at +5. They will keep it there if they hang in.
Cleveland are not exactly blowing anyone's houses down are they?!?!
Play: Under 185.5
0
11/27/2009 CHARLOTTE v CLEVELAND Total: 185.5 (Previously 186.5)
In
their previous 2 Games against Toronto and Indiana, Charlotte have
scored 100+ and not conceded anywhere close to 100. Toronto and Indiana
are not defensive minded teams and get involved in a playground run and
gun ball.
Charlotte scored a lot of baskets from simple layups
and poor defense in the interior by Toronto and managed to draw alot of
fouls from poor positional play by defenders.
Prior to these 2 Games, Charlotte were scoring around 88 ppg either home or away.
Cleveland
have opted to throw away playing Defense this year and have told Lebron
James to win them Games since everyone else on the team appear they are
still on a vacation are can't be ****ed earning their money.
The
Cleveland team is ripe to bet against. Why? Because apart from James,
the other players do not contribute regularly and normally when someone
contributes, 4 other players don't. This is legitimately a case of
James carrying the team and there is no arguments about that.
Cleveland
average 95 ppg away from Home and don't always shoot well. I think they
will struggle for points against Charlotte because as much as Charlotte
have improved offensively, they are still the same Charlotte when it
comes to defense.
The
key to this game is how intense Cleveland will play Defense. I think
the Cavs will want to win this one and they will have to defend well to
do it. This game has every chance of going to the wire and I don't
expect it will get any trash-time.
Scoreline like 83-79 is what I would forecast. I took the 186.5 an hour after opening but I would still be happy to play 185.5.
Consider
Charlotte on the line at +5. They will keep it there if they hang in.
Cleveland are not exactly blowing anyone's houses down are they?!?!
This
is an interesting Total since 8 of the last 10 meetings between the
franchises have resulted in points being well below 198.
Washington
have been playing absolutely no Defense in their past 3 Games and have
conceded over 100 points in these contests while allowing opponents to
shoot a large number of shots.
Miami
have been the same and conceded 100+ points in 2 of their last 3
although it would have been 3/3 except Orlando missed a couple of free
throws in their Game (glad I didn't bet on that one).
I
have a feeling these teams will be getting back on the Defensive
aspects here. It will all be based on whether there will be one bad Qtr
where the scoring falls. Both teams are prone to these type of Qtrs and
for that reason and the fact that Washington don't do well against
Miami and only average 90 ppg away in 2009/10, I am leaning for Under
198.
Miami average
96 ppg at home and are not the best shooting team going around. I
expect Washington to play solid Defense here and both teams will know each other better since they have already met twice this year.
Antawn
Jamison who is the main scoring threat here doesn't do well against
Miami defense as he only averages 19 ppg against them.
Most likely a 100-90 or 95- 85 type contest.
Play: Under 198
0
11/27/2009 MIAMI v WASHINGTON Total: 198
This
is an interesting Total since 8 of the last 10 meetings between the
franchises have resulted in points being well below 198.
Washington
have been playing absolutely no Defense in their past 3 Games and have
conceded over 100 points in these contests while allowing opponents to
shoot a large number of shots.
Miami
have been the same and conceded 100+ points in 2 of their last 3
although it would have been 3/3 except Orlando missed a couple of free
throws in their Game (glad I didn't bet on that one).
I
have a feeling these teams will be getting back on the Defensive
aspects here. It will all be based on whether there will be one bad Qtr
where the scoring falls. Both teams are prone to these type of Qtrs and
for that reason and the fact that Washington don't do well against
Miami and only average 90 ppg away in 2009/10, I am leaning for Under
198.
Miami average
96 ppg at home and are not the best shooting team going around. I
expect Washington to play solid Defense here and both teams will know each other better since they have already met twice this year.
Antawn
Jamison who is the main scoring threat here doesn't do well against
Miami defense as he only averages 19 ppg against them.
11/27/2009 HOUSTON v SAN ANTONIO Total: 194.5 (Previously 201)
“There wasn’t any defense, We didn’t even get
close enough to them to even foul them in the first half. I don’t know what
happened.” Rick Adelmann after the loss to Dallas.
Is this guy a simple moron or a complex moron?
What
a complete and utter ignorant comment to make. The Rockets have played
F-All Defense all year. For your info Mr Adelmann, here is how well
your team defends:
106 vs Sacramento (H) 105 vs Atlanta (A) 111 vs Phonix (H) 109 vs Sacramento (A) 121 vs Dallas (A)
Houston at Home concede on average 104 ppg in 2009/10.
Pattern
of play is that they win one and lose one. This has happened in the
past 10 Games. I think Houston is unraveling as a 43-39 type team and
not the 50+ winning team they had been.
Houston play at a very
high tempo and this leads to opponents taking advantage of fast break
baskets as when the Rockets miss, they do not get back on Defense.
Teams exploit the Rockets on the Offensive glass as well and get easy
put backs. This is why their opponents shoot 47-48% so far in 2009/10.
Spurs
have scored 100+ in their past 3 contests. Tony Parker is back and
their is a good compliment of outside shooters. In contrast, the Spurs
are a 55-27 team and their record at 7-6 is not an accurate reflection
of this team.
They do average 90 ppg away from home but that's
normal as many kep players have been missing. They play at a balance
level away from home and I expect this will increase to around 95-97 by
the end of the Season.
Houston will be broken by the Spurs who
will beat them on the boards. Duncan will destroy the Rockets from the
post and the Spurs will completely turn this game into trash time
before 3 Qtrs is up. I am leaning towards OVER 194.5 but my main play
is the Spurs to win this baby easy.
Play: Over 194.5
0
11/27/2009 HOUSTON v SAN ANTONIO Total: 194.5 (Previously 201)
“There wasn’t any defense, We didn’t even get
close enough to them to even foul them in the first half. I don’t know what
happened.” Rick Adelmann after the loss to Dallas.
Is this guy a simple moron or a complex moron?
What
a complete and utter ignorant comment to make. The Rockets have played
F-All Defense all year. For your info Mr Adelmann, here is how well
your team defends:
106 vs Sacramento (H) 105 vs Atlanta (A) 111 vs Phonix (H) 109 vs Sacramento (A) 121 vs Dallas (A)
Houston at Home concede on average 104 ppg in 2009/10.
Pattern
of play is that they win one and lose one. This has happened in the
past 10 Games. I think Houston is unraveling as a 43-39 type team and
not the 50+ winning team they had been.
Houston play at a very
high tempo and this leads to opponents taking advantage of fast break
baskets as when the Rockets miss, they do not get back on Defense.
Teams exploit the Rockets on the Offensive glass as well and get easy
put backs. This is why their opponents shoot 47-48% so far in 2009/10.
Spurs
have scored 100+ in their past 3 contests. Tony Parker is back and
their is a good compliment of outside shooters. In contrast, the Spurs
are a 55-27 team and their record at 7-6 is not an accurate reflection
of this team.
They do average 90 ppg away from home but that's
normal as many kep players have been missing. They play at a balance
level away from home and I expect this will increase to around 95-97 by
the end of the Season.
Houston will be broken by the Spurs who
will beat them on the boards. Duncan will destroy the Rockets from the
post and the Spurs will completely turn this game into trash time
before 3 Qtrs is up. I am leaning towards OVER 194.5 but my main play
is the Spurs to win this baby easy.
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up
and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on
offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest
the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
0
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up
and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on
offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest
the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up
and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on
offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest
the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
Actually Danny Granger and Mike Dunleavy are playing. This sheds a different light.
I would now say Over 201.5 is the play. Will leave for game time decision if I bet here.
0
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up
and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on
offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest
the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
Actually Danny Granger and Mike Dunleavy are playing. This sheds a different light.
I would now say Over 201.5 is the play. Will leave for game time decision if I bet here.
Hey i already put my ML bet in 290 to win 200 for the Dallas game. What would you recommend me doing now? Should i just let it ride because the juice is so high? Thanks
0
Hey i already put my ML bet in 290 to win 200 for the Dallas game. What would you recommend me doing now? Should i just let it ride because the juice is so high? Thanks
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
Tough game to predict.
0
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:
The Dallas at -145 is surely as good as a Xmas present all warpped up and ready to open. Indiana showed how much they miss the balance on offense and I expect that Dallas will want to get clear early and rest the starters for their back2back meeting against Cleveland.
Play: Dallas on the ML or line -2.5.
The line is too hard to call. Just depends on how points Indiana gets and how much tempo Dallas dictates.
Hey i already put my ML bet in 290 to win 200 for the Dallas game. What would you recommend me doing now? Should i just let it ride because the juice is so high? Thanks
Yah - let it ride. Dallas have come in huge. I think they will win. Possible that either Granger will not play or maybe Dunleavy is out. Either way, I don't see Dunleavy doing anything and the balance at Indiana is not right except for them to score.
BOL. I think you're on a winner anyway. Dallas too tough and too good a bench to worry bout the Pacers (who btw are my team in NBA).
0
Quote Originally Posted by LMONEY:
Hey i already put my ML bet in 290 to win 200 for the Dallas game. What would you recommend me doing now? Should i just let it ride because the juice is so high? Thanks
Yah - let it ride. Dallas have come in huge. I think they will win. Possible that either Granger will not play or maybe Dunleavy is out. Either way, I don't see Dunleavy doing anything and the balance at Indiana is not right except for them to score.
BOL. I think you're on a winner anyway. Dallas too tough and too good a bench to worry bout the Pacers (who btw are my team in NBA).
hey sly im with the dallas man and under at cleveland but cleveland are playing good at the moment the score is above 99 on 1st half
Yeah this game is done. Cleveland are absolutely Effing me these clowns. The fact is they have changed their style from last year and are not taking care of the ball - look at it like this - they are losing by 20+ against Charlotte.
Like the saying goes - "if it ain't broke, don't fix it". Well they have gone away from their normal style of last year and are trying to play too much one on one crap. I hate to say it but apart from Lebron, that team has no talent players. Mo Williams is scary thinking he is that good. Definite team identity crisis.
They are wasting their time thinking they are going to win a Championship with this performance.
Nuff said.
0
Quote Originally Posted by compaqq:
hey sly im with the dallas man and under at cleveland but cleveland are playing good at the moment the score is above 99 on 1st half
Yeah this game is done. Cleveland are absolutely Effing me these clowns. The fact is they have changed their style from last year and are not taking care of the ball - look at it like this - they are losing by 20+ against Charlotte.
Like the saying goes - "if it ain't broke, don't fix it". Well they have gone away from their normal style of last year and are trying to play too much one on one crap. I hate to say it but apart from Lebron, that team has no talent players. Mo Williams is scary thinking he is that good. Definite team identity crisis.
They are wasting their time thinking they are going to win a Championship with this performance.
i just came across this thread and i find it hypocritical to say people think systems are fool proof and pick blindly and blah blah blah....
and then go on to say that you are selecting games off of a couple factors and gonna hit 75-90 percent?...
i mean WHAT DO YOU THINK A SYSTEM DOES?
it filters plays based on certain factors...lol...
bol to you nonetheless...
Fair enough. I don't have a system like the mathematical ones or the A+B-C divided by 6 etc etc. Mine is simply looking at the Game as it will be played and also seeing whether teams will cope or not based on styles they will face.
Sure sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't on the otals but what I try and get is consistency with the Team and the selection. Cleveland is the one team that blows the whole thing apart but most teams conform.
NBA is a tough game to bet on and I love it. Give me NBA anytime. Sure the 75% is going to be tough but no harm in trying. I averaged 85% in the main Australian codes like football and rugby.
Maybe I will downgrade the conception of 75% but lets see how we go at year end as this is my first serious year after watching the Game for 2-3 years. I'm still learning.
BOL to you too.
0
Quote Originally Posted by scamallama:
i hope you do well and all....bol to you
BUT
i just came across this thread and i find it hypocritical to say people think systems are fool proof and pick blindly and blah blah blah....
and then go on to say that you are selecting games off of a couple factors and gonna hit 75-90 percent?...
i mean WHAT DO YOU THINK A SYSTEM DOES?
it filters plays based on certain factors...lol...
bol to you nonetheless...
Fair enough. I don't have a system like the mathematical ones or the A+B-C divided by 6 etc etc. Mine is simply looking at the Game as it will be played and also seeing whether teams will cope or not based on styles they will face.
Sure sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't on the otals but what I try and get is consistency with the Team and the selection. Cleveland is the one team that blows the whole thing apart but most teams conform.
NBA is a tough game to bet on and I love it. Give me NBA anytime. Sure the 75% is going to be tough but no harm in trying. I averaged 85% in the main Australian codes like football and rugby.
Maybe I will downgrade the conception of 75% but lets see how we go at year end as this is my first serious year after watching the Game for 2-3 years. I'm still learning.
Fair enough. I don't have a system like the mathematical ones or the A+B-C divided by 6 etc etc. Mine is simply looking at the Game as it will be played and also seeing whether teams will cope or not based on styles they will face.
Sure sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't on the otals but what I try and get is consistency with the Team and the selection. Cleveland is the one team that blows the whole thing apart but most teams conform.
NBA is a tough game to bet on and I love it. Give me NBA anytime. Sure the 75% is going to be tough but no harm in trying. I averaged 85% in the main Australian codes like football and rugby.
Maybe I will downgrade the conception of 75% but lets see how we go at year end as this is my first serious year after watching the Game for 2-3 years. I'm still learning.
BOL to you too.
great response....respect and luck to you my brotha....
0
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:
Fair enough. I don't have a system like the mathematical ones or the A+B-C divided by 6 etc etc. Mine is simply looking at the Game as it will be played and also seeing whether teams will cope or not based on styles they will face.
Sure sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't on the otals but what I try and get is consistency with the Team and the selection. Cleveland is the one team that blows the whole thing apart but most teams conform.
NBA is a tough game to bet on and I love it. Give me NBA anytime. Sure the 75% is going to be tough but no harm in trying. I averaged 85% in the main Australian codes like football and rugby.
Maybe I will downgrade the conception of 75% but lets see how we go at year end as this is my first serious year after watching the Game for 2-3 years. I'm still learning.
BOL to you too.
great response....respect and luck to you my brotha....
Indiana will be pushing the plays and I cannot see Dallas having a choice but to go with it as much as they may conserve for tomorrow's game against Cleveland.
The Pacers need to find some better shots and they seem to be taking it inside where they are getting the buckets.
Dunleavy looks great in his 1st Game back. All the best to him. He is a good player.
Possible Indiana pick at -2 but my money is loaded on Dallas anyway.
Play: Over 99.5
0
11/27/2009 INDIANA v DALLAS 2nd Half Total: 99.5
Indiana will be pushing the plays and I cannot see Dallas having a choice but to go with it as much as they may conserve for tomorrow's game against Cleveland.
The Pacers need to find some better shots and they seem to be taking it inside where they are getting the buckets.
Dunleavy looks great in his 1st Game back. All the best to him. He is a good player.
Possible Indiana pick at -2 but my money is loaded on Dallas anyway.
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