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NBA TUE 031009 early thoughts - value hunting

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Posted: #201

 Hey AX got ripped off last night with that LAL/Port game could of went 3-0, but it's all good at 2-1. Here are the lastest numbers

 

Updated at 6:20:31 PM EST

 

CLEV/LA Clipp   open 192    curent 195

48% over

52% under

Oh sorry AX have you found that info concerning NHL hockey . Emailed you yesterday Thanks GL tonight like the play by the way

 
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Posted: #202
Quote Originally Posted by poorguy:

What's the points cushion for safety in this game? :)


4 possessions
 
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Posted: #203
Quote Originally Posted by grindstone:

 Hey AX got ripped off last night with that LAL/Port game could of went 3-0, but it's all good at 2-1. Here are the lastest numbers

 

Updated at 6:20:31 PM EST

 

CLEV/LA Clipp   open 192    curent 195

48% over

52% under

Oh sorry AX have you found that info concerning NHL hockey . Emailed you yesterday Thanks GL tonight like the play by the way


oh yes...thank you so much for reminding me...I'm old and forget easily.   Anyone else I owe that hockey info to...I'm sorry, I get tons of emails and requests...please remind me with a PM...Sorry guys...
 
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Posted: #204
Ax im with you on the Under CLE/LA 194.5. BOL Bro, I see this game at 101 - 88.
 
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Posted: #205
axpiota I'm afraid of your thread tomorrow. 4 lines are out already and there's a game I like sooo much
 
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Posted: #206
BOL ax !         
 
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Posted: #207
Under Cavs 195.  
Thank you, Ax.
 
 
 
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Posted: #208
Clev line rising o/u 196, hold on boys we can get a better number
 
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Posted: #209
so whats the verdict ax?............have an under yet??
 
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Posted: #210
Now 62% on the under at 196
 
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Posted: #211
It just hit 196 at betus... O_o should we be scared? :)
 
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Posted: #212
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

so whats the verdict ax?............have an under yet??

He took Clev/ LAClipp under 195

 
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Posted: #213
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

so whats the verdict ax?............have an under yet??

Believe he is on Clippers under 195... I see 196 at some places now so might be better off waiting a bit
 
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Posted: #214
it may go even to 196,5 interesting
 
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Posted: #215
thank you axp.
 
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Posted: #216
Game was at 196.5 at Pinnacle but they took it off the board
 
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Posted: #217
loving the pick ax, i am going to throw some money at it as well. good luck
 
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Posted: #218
uth/ind over214
cle/lac under193.5
 
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Posted: #219
For those joining late ---- Ax took Cleveland / LA Under as play of day.
 
I got it in at U196 for 1 unit.
 
My side play is Utah -3.5 @ Indiana for 1 unit.
 
Awesome thread, great group of guys here.  Beautiful thing when everyone can check their egos at the door and work together. 
 
Let's get paid!!!!
 
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Posted: #220

Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:



When capping a game, and end up not being able to squeeze the trigger, I often look for these situations for 2nd halves. If there is a ton of scoring in the first half, we might even get an inflated 2nd half total to go under.


My take exactly. 2H plays can have an extreme amount of value. The natural reaction for the public is that the game will continue to go on just as it did in the 1st half, thus giving a great opportunity to cash in. Done very well with these, myself - even better than full game plays. Great point, Gambleholic. 

 
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Posted: #221
Got to think the rise is due to Camby's status, right?

Holding out for 196 or better, but I'm on this one.
 
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Posted: #222

Quote Originally Posted by Gambleholic:



It's easier to just specialize in one type of play. Some argue there is more value to be found on unders as the public tends to bet overs. Ax's cup of tea is unders

I think Ax referred to it as the law of physics, and the "tractor pull" analogy. Grasshopper remember what Ax said.  

 
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Posted: #223
Quote Originally Posted by t20boss:

I think Ax referred to it as the law of physics, and the "tractor pull" analogy. Grasshopper remember what Ax said.  


You are absolutely amazing...I cannot believe you remember that.  I am speechless...I never ever thought anyone read that stuff I write...I tend to go off on a tangent but I happen to think they are great analogies...I must have written that over a month ago.  Man, thank you boss, thank you for reading my rants...that means alot to me.  I swear I am speechless.  
 
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Posted: #224
Oh, before I forget...to my Hockey friends and that system...they cannot be separated...the two have to go hand-in-hand or you won't turn a profit.  

I promise...no more hockey talk...
 
 
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Posted: #225
Bought in at 196 as the peak value was reached.

BOLTA!!! Let's get this, guys!
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