It’s a cruel world out there. We admit that even if we cashed a ticket with Milwaukee on Saturday, we’d still cart them to the guillotine tonight. The setup is reversed for the Bucks here as they fi nd themselves on the back end of same-season triple revenge, as the Cavs have shot down the Bucks in all three meetings this season. That’s not a good thing either, not this time of the season where unrested .500 or greater NBA home teams seeking triple revenge-exact are just 12-18 SUATS. That won’t work against a Cleveland crew that’s 7-1 SUATS the last eight versus Milwaukee when the Bucks enter with a win percentage fewer than .667. Instead, we’ll ride with the team boasting the best overall and road record in the league against one that struggles in this series... and the team whose overall win differential is the best in the Eastern Conference. Best of all, the Cavs come highly recommended by THE CLINCHER: Unrested .500 or greater NBA home teams with triple revenge are 2-12 ATS versus rested foes from Game 52 out.
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It’s a cruel world out there. We admit that even if we cashed a ticket with Milwaukee on Saturday, we’d still cart them to the guillotine tonight. The setup is reversed for the Bucks here as they fi nd themselves on the back end of same-season triple revenge, as the Cavs have shot down the Bucks in all three meetings this season. That’s not a good thing either, not this time of the season where unrested .500 or greater NBA home teams seeking triple revenge-exact are just 12-18 SUATS. That won’t work against a Cleveland crew that’s 7-1 SUATS the last eight versus Milwaukee when the Bucks enter with a win percentage fewer than .667. Instead, we’ll ride with the team boasting the best overall and road record in the league against one that struggles in this series... and the team whose overall win differential is the best in the Eastern Conference. Best of all, the Cavs come highly recommended by THE CLINCHER: Unrested .500 or greater NBA home teams with triple revenge are 2-12 ATS versus rested foes from Game 52 out.
Memphis over NEW ORLEANS by 13 In 2013, the New Orleans / Oklahoma City Hornets franchise morphed into the New Orleans Pelicans in order to “better connect with the city.” We’re not sure how that’s going but we can report the team has gone a less-than-inspiring 848-982 (.463) since the name change. But after winning 49 games last season and reaching the playoffs, the current edition could change their name to ‘Trumps’ and it wouldn’t help a hugely disappointing squad that’s won only 17 games at press time. We go right to the Well-Oiled Machine for this call as it notes that unrested home dogs in the NBA with same-season triple revenge, are a meager 13- 33-3 ATS taking on rested foes. Also concerning for the Pelicans here is their 8-15 SU and 9-14 ATS mark in this series when seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 8-plus points. The last meeting between these two saw the Grizz emerge with a 139-126 win, and Memphis stands 20-7 SU and 18-9 ATS this campaign against foes they toppled in their last meeting, including 6-0 SUATS the last six versus .250 or fewer foes. And if you’re adverse to road chalk this last in the season, you might want to check out this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 2.
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Memphis over NEW ORLEANS by 13 In 2013, the New Orleans / Oklahoma City Hornets franchise morphed into the New Orleans Pelicans in order to “better connect with the city.” We’re not sure how that’s going but we can report the team has gone a less-than-inspiring 848-982 (.463) since the name change. But after winning 49 games last season and reaching the playoffs, the current edition could change their name to ‘Trumps’ and it wouldn’t help a hugely disappointing squad that’s won only 17 games at press time. We go right to the Well-Oiled Machine for this call as it notes that unrested home dogs in the NBA with same-season triple revenge, are a meager 13- 33-3 ATS taking on rested foes. Also concerning for the Pelicans here is their 8-15 SU and 9-14 ATS mark in this series when seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 8-plus points. The last meeting between these two saw the Grizz emerge with a 139-126 win, and Memphis stands 20-7 SU and 18-9 ATS this campaign against foes they toppled in their last meeting, including 6-0 SUATS the last six versus .250 or fewer foes. And if you’re adverse to road chalk this last in the season, you might want to check out this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 2.
SUNDAY, March 9th... Denver @ OKLAHOMA CITY – Denv: 0-6 ATS w/ road game next day, 4-1 OU L5 as division dogs / OKC: 5-0 OU on Sundays, 4-0 OU L4 division home games... Phoenix @ DALLAS – Phoe: 0-6 OU L6 vs Mavs, 1-4 OU w/ road game next day, 1-4 OU before Grizzlies / Dal: 0-4 OU before Spurs, 1-5 OU home w/ road game next day, 1-5 OU L6 home vs PAC Division... Memphis @ NEW ORLEANS – 1* ‘BONUS’ Best Bet ‘OVER the Total’ – Memph: 6-1 OU away vs unrested opp / 6-1 OU L7 vs .333 < opp / 6-1 OU away w/ home game next day / 5-1 OU on Sundays // New Orl: 7-1-1 OU L9 vs > .600 opp / 5-1 OU w/ no rest vs division opp / 8-2 OU Sunday home games / 3-1 OU L4 vs Grizzlies... Utah @ PHILADELPHIA – Utah: 6-1 ATS in 1/2 rest situation, 4-1 OU w/ road game next day / Phil: 0-6 ATS home vs .333 < opp TY, 8-2 OU in 2/1 rest situation... Cleveland @ MILWAUKEE – Clev: 6-1 ATS away in 1/0 rest situation, 5-1 OU Sunday road games / Milw: 1-6 ATS home in 0/1 rest situation, 6-0 OU on Sundays... San Antonio @ MINNESOTA – San Ant: 6-1 ATS L7 vs T’Wolves, 7-1 ATS away w/ home game next day / Minn: 3-18 ATS home in 1/1 rest situation, 4-1 OU Sunday home games... Detroit @ PORTLAND – Det: 6-0 OU vs NW Division TY, 4-1 OU in 0/1 rest situation / Port: 8-1 ATS L9 vs Pistons, 5-0 OU home w/ road game next day... Sacramento @ LA CLIPPERS – Sac: 0-4 OU w/ double division revenge, 2-8 OU w/ non-conference home game next day / LAC: 0-5 OU L5 vs Kings (209.8) / 1-4 OU L5 division home games.
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SUNDAY, March 9th... Denver @ OKLAHOMA CITY – Denv: 0-6 ATS w/ road game next day, 4-1 OU L5 as division dogs / OKC: 5-0 OU on Sundays, 4-0 OU L4 division home games... Phoenix @ DALLAS – Phoe: 0-6 OU L6 vs Mavs, 1-4 OU w/ road game next day, 1-4 OU before Grizzlies / Dal: 0-4 OU before Spurs, 1-5 OU home w/ road game next day, 1-5 OU L6 home vs PAC Division... Memphis @ NEW ORLEANS – 1* ‘BONUS’ Best Bet ‘OVER the Total’ – Memph: 6-1 OU away vs unrested opp / 6-1 OU L7 vs .333 < opp / 6-1 OU away w/ home game next day / 5-1 OU on Sundays // New Orl: 7-1-1 OU L9 vs > .600 opp / 5-1 OU w/ no rest vs division opp / 8-2 OU Sunday home games / 3-1 OU L4 vs Grizzlies... Utah @ PHILADELPHIA – Utah: 6-1 ATS in 1/2 rest situation, 4-1 OU w/ road game next day / Phil: 0-6 ATS home vs .333 < opp TY, 8-2 OU in 2/1 rest situation... Cleveland @ MILWAUKEE – Clev: 6-1 ATS away in 1/0 rest situation, 5-1 OU Sunday road games / Milw: 1-6 ATS home in 0/1 rest situation, 6-0 OU on Sundays... San Antonio @ MINNESOTA – San Ant: 6-1 ATS L7 vs T’Wolves, 7-1 ATS away w/ home game next day / Minn: 3-18 ATS home in 1/1 rest situation, 4-1 OU Sunday home games... Detroit @ PORTLAND – Det: 6-0 OU vs NW Division TY, 4-1 OU in 0/1 rest situation / Port: 8-1 ATS L9 vs Pistons, 5-0 OU home w/ road game next day... Sacramento @ LA CLIPPERS – Sac: 0-4 OU w/ double division revenge, 2-8 OU w/ non-conference home game next day / LAC: 0-5 OU L5 vs Kings (209.8) / 1-4 OU L5 division home games.
Based on this game’s moneyline, the Timberwolves’ implied win probability is 81.4%. Minnesota has a record of 7-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -437 or shorter (winning 77.8%). The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Minnesota (-10.5).
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Based on this game’s moneyline, the Timberwolves’ implied win probability is 81.4%. Minnesota has a record of 7-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -437 or shorter (winning 77.8%). The Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Minnesota (-10.5).
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