Everyone here knows my stance on portland. I've seen a lot of bets being placed on the blazers to win the West, well that's not going to happen. Good thing for them the Suns are even worse.
I am not a huge fan of laying big chalk like this, hence the 1u play. But here is the deal and how I see this game.
1. Phoenix had a good trip. Split the trip 2-2, winning in Boston and New York. Two teams with no rhythm to their offense.
2. Take a look at the Suns losses. I'll give you their margin of defeat....3, 6, 21, 11, and 16. I've said it all season, but Phoenix is garbage, plain and simple.
3. I watched their last roadie in Dallas and that was a double digit game 3/4 of the way. The flagrant in that game late really help phoenix crawl back in. My biggest take home on that game was they let the Mavs without Dirk score 93 on them. One thing Portland will do is push the ball, they do this well at home.
I remember the game in Phoenix where the blazers laid an egg, and it was no surprise, this team struggles on the road. They were also on a b2b, this time they are not.
Due to the size of the line is why I am only making a 1 unit play here. Portland had a close half with Memphis due to 14 turnovers, once they corrected that in the 2nd half it was a DD lead the rest of the way. Portland limits their turnovers and we should get the same result.
1-0 +1.0u
Season 49-27 +71.45
Easy one tonight guys, gotta love it when it plays out just like ya planned....
0
Quote Originally Posted by smartbets:
Season 48-27 +70.45
Portland -9 -110 1u
Everyone here knows my stance on portland. I've seen a lot of bets being placed on the blazers to win the West, well that's not going to happen. Good thing for them the Suns are even worse.
I am not a huge fan of laying big chalk like this, hence the 1u play. But here is the deal and how I see this game.
1. Phoenix had a good trip. Split the trip 2-2, winning in Boston and New York. Two teams with no rhythm to their offense.
2. Take a look at the Suns losses. I'll give you their margin of defeat....3, 6, 21, 11, and 16. I've said it all season, but Phoenix is garbage, plain and simple.
3. I watched their last roadie in Dallas and that was a double digit game 3/4 of the way. The flagrant in that game late really help phoenix crawl back in. My biggest take home on that game was they let the Mavs without Dirk score 93 on them. One thing Portland will do is push the ball, they do this well at home.
I remember the game in Phoenix where the blazers laid an egg, and it was no surprise, this team struggles on the road. They were also on a b2b, this time they are not.
Due to the size of the line is why I am only making a 1 unit play here. Portland had a close half with Memphis due to 14 turnovers, once they corrected that in the 2nd half it was a DD lead the rest of the way. Portland limits their turnovers and we should get the same result.
1-0 +1.0u
Season 49-27 +71.45
Easy one tonight guys, gotta love it when it plays out just like ya planned....
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