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Posted: #26
Blazers
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by dkite22:

Hey Smartbets, sorry to bother you with this question but I was curious as to how you have done historically with the NBA.  I have followed the NBA forum at Covers for a few years and I just don't remember your name.  It's a little disappointing how you don't get mentioned very often when people talk about good NBA cappers but it's obvious you are very solid.  I am not able to make the Live-in play bets but I still think your plays can be profitable just playing the full games that you put out here.  What are your thoughts on this?
across the board the last 7 seasons, 50u a season would be the off the top of my head avg. Of course my full game plays would be profitable, I don't make that many live bets. Most of the time it's just me betting both sides at plus money for a guaranteed profit.


 
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Posted: #28
 This should be a winner. Thx Smartbets! BOL.
 
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One thing that I just wanted to point it and if anyone has been reading the thread where mkbini talks about patterns, well I think we have one of them tonight.

Notice Wednesday how "off" vegas was. A lot of DD lines and a lot of dogs won SU. That doesn't happen often....tonight, we have a 15.5, 10, 9.5, 11, 11 and 12. I don't forsee a lot of the same happening.....

Just my thoughts....
 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by smartbets:

One thing that I just wanted to point it and if anyone has been reading the thread where mkbini talks about patterns, well I think we have one of them tonight.

Notice Wednesday how "off" vegas was. A lot of DD lines and a lot of dogs won SU. That doesn't happen often....tonight, we have a 15.5, 10, 9.5, 11, 11 and 12. I don't forsee a lot of the same happening.....

Just my thoughts....

That is good insight. Seems like a correction back to the mean is in order. I noticed all those dogs covering Wednesday and winning outright and immediately jumped on the Nuggets that night as decent size road faves because the faves were due that day. Houston/Wizards could be another example, seems like that might be a 20+ point blowout tonight after Hou couldn't win/cover vs. the Bucks that day as large home faves.

 
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Posted: #32
 
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Posted: #33
who wins the west
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by coolfool:

who wins the west
don't know, don't care.
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by smartbets:

across the board the last 7 seasons, 50u a season would be the off the top of my head avg. Of course my full game plays would be profitable, I don't make that many live bets. Most of the time it's just me betting both sides at plus money for a guaranteed profit.




I was wondering about your plus money strategy..excuse me if i'm wrong but wouldn't you lose juice on it and if i'm wrong can you please give me an example of today's game?
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by safeace:



I was wondering about your plus money strategy..excuse me if i'm wrong but wouldn't you lose juice on it and if i'm wrong can you please give me an example of today's game?
it's on live bets. Where you think there is going to be lead changes, you can buy each team at a dog price.


 
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Posted: #38
Portland Trailblazers 

Great pick sir! 
 
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Posted: #39
Nice write up
Best of luck tonight
 
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Posted: #40
Good Luck!! I`m on it,
 
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Posted: #41
Portland.  
 
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Posted: #42

awesome ytd smart!!  keep it up!!  gl tonite 

 
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Posted: #43
Washington +9.5 is the play tonight!!!
 
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Posted: #44
 Tomorrow looks like a good spot to Phade Phoenix too
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by gamebreaker22:

Washington +9.5 is the play tonight!!!
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by BigJohnStud:

awesome ytd smart!!  keep it up!!  gl tonite 

 
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Posted: #47
good luck
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by smartbets:

One thing that I just wanted to point it and if anyone has been reading the thread where mkbini talks about patterns, well I think we have one of them tonight.

Notice Wednesday how "off" vegas was. A lot of DD lines and a lot of dogs won SU. That doesn't happen often....tonight, we have a 15.5, 10, 9.5, 11, 11 and 12. I don't forsee a lot of the same happening.....

Just my thoughts....


I agree with you sir, but I feel it's always important not to always ride dogs or always ride favorites, but to have a balance so when the lines are close like that I try to pick a few faves and a few dogs to and keep both sides balanced. BOL. Knicks are looking great tonight and smaller plays on the wiz and raptors but take faves for the other gameS!!
 
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Posted: #49
gL...
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by tomherst:



I agree with you sir, but I feel it's always important not to always ride dogs or always ride favorites, but to have a balance so when the lines are close like that I try to pick a few faves and a few dogs to and keep both sides balanced. BOL. Knicks are looking great tonight and smaller plays on the wiz and raptors but take faves for the other gameS!!
i was simply pointing it out, because there is often a balancing act that takes place. I'm not riding any pattern, it was simply an observation.
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