Only 8 points scored in the final 4:20 of the GS/Cle game last night...That killed the Over, as it missed (pushing for me by 6 points)...But still, it's my fault as I have had a lot of bad decisions...Not the Over on the game total, I'd play that every time as it looked fine with 4+ minutes to go...But I had capped the game as Over in the 1Q, Over in the 1H (both winners) and Under in the 4Q (another winner), but did not bet the 1Q or 1H Overs...2 years ago, for PHOE or GS totals, I often bet the 1Q, 1H and game total Over on the games i thought would fly Over...I haven't done that yet this year, even though I have been thinking about it constantly...Last night again, at the last second, I decided not to pull the trigger...Cost me 2 wins...I haven't lost a 1Q bet yet and in the games I bet the 1Q over, had I also bet the game and 1H over, I'd be 6-2 with those bets...Also, with game totals that I bet Over that I almost pulled the trigger on the 1Q and 1H Overs, I would have been 6-0 with those...An additional 12-2 to my record (and almost 10 units) would be helping me through this tough spell where I am 17-17 on the year (and down a little less than 3 units)...Still waiting to get over the hump...Hopefully it will happen this year, and IF it does happen at all, hopefully it'll be sooner rather than later...A bit frustrating right now, but this is only Day 33 of a 170-day regular season...If I do heat up, hopefully I'll be able to recognize when it's happening because you'll see a lot of Level 2 bets while I am riding the wave...
I passed on the SA/Hou Under...They have gone Under h2h 23 of their last 29 meetings...But I wonder about the pace of Rockets' games...Yes, they have been Under 6 of their 7 Home games (in regulation), but the pace last time out vs. Indy was quick...it's just that both teams shot very poorly, especially HOU, shooting 34% from the floor that game...Parker back for SA and Ginobili has been back and what if T-Mac does play?...
Season-high 5 plays tonight (4 of the bets at MatchBook)...
#1 GS ov 224.5 #2 Hou un 179.5 #3 Char iun 179.5 #4 Sac ov 207.5 #5 NJ ov 209 #6 Atl ov 200 #7 Ind un 202.5 #8 Den un 201 #9 OKC ov 198 #10 LAC ov 191 #11 Cle un 195
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
0
================================================== ===================== Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ===================== Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection... ================================================== ===================== Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7 ================================================== ===================== Bets record: ================================================== ===================== Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0 Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530 Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 17-16, -$177.50 ================================================== ===================== Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link ============================== Sides: 108-122-5 #1 picks: 18-14
Only 8 points scored in the final 4:20 of the GS/Cle game last night...That killed the Over, as it missed (pushing for me by 6 points)...But still, it's my fault as I have had a lot of bad decisions...Not the Over on the game total, I'd play that every time as it looked fine with 4+ minutes to go...But I had capped the game as Over in the 1Q, Over in the 1H (both winners) and Under in the 4Q (another winner), but did not bet the 1Q or 1H Overs...2 years ago, for PHOE or GS totals, I often bet the 1Q, 1H and game total Over on the games i thought would fly Over...I haven't done that yet this year, even though I have been thinking about it constantly...Last night again, at the last second, I decided not to pull the trigger...Cost me 2 wins...I haven't lost a 1Q bet yet and in the games I bet the 1Q over, had I also bet the game and 1H over, I'd be 6-2 with those bets...Also, with game totals that I bet Over that I almost pulled the trigger on the 1Q and 1H Overs, I would have been 6-0 with those...An additional 12-2 to my record (and almost 10 units) would be helping me through this tough spell where I am 17-17 on the year (and down a little less than 3 units)...Still waiting to get over the hump...Hopefully it will happen this year, and IF it does happen at all, hopefully it'll be sooner rather than later...A bit frustrating right now, but this is only Day 33 of a 170-day regular season...If I do heat up, hopefully I'll be able to recognize when it's happening because you'll see a lot of Level 2 bets while I am riding the wave...
I passed on the SA/Hou Under...They have gone Under h2h 23 of their last 29 meetings...But I wonder about the pace of Rockets' games...Yes, they have been Under 6 of their 7 Home games (in regulation), but the pace last time out vs. Indy was quick...it's just that both teams shot very poorly, especially HOU, shooting 34% from the floor that game...Parker back for SA and Ginobili has been back and what if T-Mac does play?...
Season-high 5 plays tonight (4 of the bets at MatchBook)...
#1 GS ov 224.5 #2 Hou un 179.5 #3 Char iun 179.5 #4 Sac ov 207.5 #5 NJ ov 209 #6 Atl ov 200 #7 Ind un 202.5 #8 Den un 201 #9 OKC ov 198 #10 LAC ov 191 #11 Cle un 195
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
Level 1 -- Golden State/New York over 224.5, laying $257.50 to win $250 (MatchBook) -- This line is still out there...This game has to be treated like a GS/PHOE game from the past 2 years...Ok, these two current teams don't have shooters as good as those teams had the past 2 seasons, but I am talking about pace of the game along with the amount of points scored...The last 6 games (and 7 of 8) between GS and the D'Antoni-run offense at PHOE all went Over the game and the 1Q totals...The last 6 game totals all were over 230...The pace will not be an issue here...We need these teams to hit close to 50% for the game and get to the FT line...GS and NY are 29th & 30th, respectively in points allowed (in a 30-team league) and GS is 24th and NY is 30th in FG% allowed...225 doesn't scare me one bit here...
Level 1 -- Golden State/New York over 57.5, 1Q, laying $275 to win $250 -- The last 6 games (and 7 of 8) between GS and the D'Antoni-run offense at PHOE all went Over the game and the 1Q totals...The last 6 1Q totals in those games all went Over 57.5, and 4 of those were over 70 in the 1Q...I am looking for 65 to 70 tonight in the 1Q...I am passing on the 1H bet (and may regret it), only because in those GS games against a D'Antoni-run PHOE offense, there were a lot of 2Q slow-downs, similar to last night when GS played at CLE...
Level 1 -- Golden State Warriors -2, laying $257.50 to win $250 -- Warriors playing their 4th game in 5 nights...GS wrapping up this 5-game road trip and are 0-4 thus far...They would like to go Home with a win under their belts...Knicks banged up and Marbury has got to be a bit of a distraction at this point...GS the better team...Knicks 3-6 SU their last 9 and those wins were against MEMP (4-12), OKC (1-16) & WAS (2-11)...I look for Stephen Jackson to bounce back big from his 2-for-11 last night and I look for the Warriors to finish this road trip strong...
Level 1 -- Los Angeles Clippers -2, laying $250 to win $262.50 -- A let-down spot here for Miami, pure and simple...The heat could not look any better on a nationally televised game last night, as they thrashed PHOE and Wade put up 43...Clips are bad, I know, but are 3-2 ATS their last 5 after their 1-9 ATS start...Third home game in a row and they have 2 days rest, catching the Heat in a let-down spot...If you like fading the public, I am quite sure they will be all over Miami tonight although I haven't even looked yet -- well, I don't need to look, I know who the squares will be on)...
Level 1 -- Houston Rockets -3, laying $272.50 to win $250 -- Yes, Parker is back and Ginobili has been back...Yes, HOU is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at Home...But Houston has a revenge spot here as they took SA too lightly 2 weeks ago...T-Mac may play (questionable) and if he does, that'll be a bonus and the line will probably go up...I like the Rockets regardless...They have had 2 days to stew over that loss to Indy where they totally blew the game in the 2H...Spurs on a back-ender...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
GL...
0
BETS:
Level 1 -- Golden State/New York over 224.5, laying $257.50 to win $250 (MatchBook) -- This line is still out there...This game has to be treated like a GS/PHOE game from the past 2 years...Ok, these two current teams don't have shooters as good as those teams had the past 2 seasons, but I am talking about pace of the game along with the amount of points scored...The last 6 games (and 7 of 8) between GS and the D'Antoni-run offense at PHOE all went Over the game and the 1Q totals...The last 6 game totals all were over 230...The pace will not be an issue here...We need these teams to hit close to 50% for the game and get to the FT line...GS and NY are 29th & 30th, respectively in points allowed (in a 30-team league) and GS is 24th and NY is 30th in FG% allowed...225 doesn't scare me one bit here...
Level 1 -- Golden State/New York over 57.5, 1Q, laying $275 to win $250 -- The last 6 games (and 7 of 8) between GS and the D'Antoni-run offense at PHOE all went Over the game and the 1Q totals...The last 6 1Q totals in those games all went Over 57.5, and 4 of those were over 70 in the 1Q...I am looking for 65 to 70 tonight in the 1Q...I am passing on the 1H bet (and may regret it), only because in those GS games against a D'Antoni-run PHOE offense, there were a lot of 2Q slow-downs, similar to last night when GS played at CLE...
Level 1 -- Golden State Warriors -2, laying $257.50 to win $250 -- Warriors playing their 4th game in 5 nights...GS wrapping up this 5-game road trip and are 0-4 thus far...They would like to go Home with a win under their belts...Knicks banged up and Marbury has got to be a bit of a distraction at this point...GS the better team...Knicks 3-6 SU their last 9 and those wins were against MEMP (4-12), OKC (1-16) & WAS (2-11)...I look for Stephen Jackson to bounce back big from his 2-for-11 last night and I look for the Warriors to finish this road trip strong...
Level 1 -- Los Angeles Clippers -2, laying $250 to win $262.50 -- A let-down spot here for Miami, pure and simple...The heat could not look any better on a nationally televised game last night, as they thrashed PHOE and Wade put up 43...Clips are bad, I know, but are 3-2 ATS their last 5 after their 1-9 ATS start...Third home game in a row and they have 2 days rest, catching the Heat in a let-down spot...If you like fading the public, I am quite sure they will be all over Miami tonight although I haven't even looked yet -- well, I don't need to look, I know who the squares will be on)...
Level 1 -- Houston Rockets -3, laying $272.50 to win $250 -- Yes, Parker is back and Ginobili has been back...Yes, HOU is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at Home...But Houston has a revenge spot here as they took SA too lightly 2 weeks ago...T-Mac may play (questionable) and if he does, that'll be a bonus and the line will probably go up...I like the Rockets regardless...They have had 2 days to stew over that loss to Indy where they totally blew the game in the 2H...Spurs on a back-ender...
Again, at Level 1, I am betting to win 2.5% of that starting bankroll...If the bankroll changes a bit as the season progresses, then the betting amount will change...
Clippers match up well vs Miami. Miami tends to struggle vs teams with a big man. Kaman and Camby should dominate the boards. What do u think about the Cavs tonight?
0
Good Luck Brewers!
Clippers match up well vs Miami. Miami tends to struggle vs teams with a big man. Kaman and Camby should dominate the boards. What do u think about the Cavs tonight?
Clippers match up well vs Miami. Miami tends to struggle vs teams with a big man. Kaman and Camby should dominate the boards. What do u think about the Cavs tonight?
Sorry, just saw this...Only a lean to CLE...They may blow them out though as I feel MILW is way overdue to get murdered...
0
Quote Originally Posted by NbAsFiNeSt8:
Good Luck Brewers!
Clippers match up well vs Miami. Miami tends to struggle vs teams with a big man. Kaman and Camby should dominate the boards. What do u think about the Cavs tonight?
Sorry, just saw this...Only a lean to CLE...They may blow them out though as I feel MILW is way overdue to get murdered...
I could rant all day about that Clippers loss yesterday...I'd be back in the black right now...2-unit swing...Murphy's Law there...Everything that could go wrong, did...The line moved 4.5 points 20 minutes after I bet it...Shouldn't have mattered...Clips up 8 with 1:20 left...How many teams win or lose by in an NBA game when down 8 with 1:20 left during the season?...LAC with a missed FT, Heat with a trey with 7 seconds left to cut it to 1...No problem, right?...Clips will get fouled, 1 FT gives me a push and 2 gives me a win...Nope, baron davis turns it over and MIA gets the ball abck and misses and there is no time left to foul, game over...Toughest loss in 2 years for me for a few reasons...But hey, I just hope it evens out over the course of the season...
A lot of customers in today, so I am running late and despite liking DET and the Under a lot, I didn't have time to bet them...I may bet Houston yet, but haven't decided...It's a classic fade the Home team playing their 4th game in 5 nights...
Sides:
#1 Det -4 #2 Hou +4 #3 Phi -6 #4 NJ +9 #5 Tor +12
Totals:
#1 Det un 186 #2 Tor ov 206 #3 Phi un 195 #4 Hou un 193 #5 NJ un 206.5
NO BETS...
GL...
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
0
================================================== ===================== Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ===================== Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection... ================================================== ===================== Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7 ================================================== ===================== Bets record: ================================================== ===================== Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0 Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530 Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 17-16, -$177.50 ================================================== ===================== Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link ============================== Sides: 115-126-5 #1 picks: 18-15
I could rant all day about that Clippers loss yesterday...I'd be back in the black right now...2-unit swing...Murphy's Law there...Everything that could go wrong, did...The line moved 4.5 points 20 minutes after I bet it...Shouldn't have mattered...Clips up 8 with 1:20 left...How many teams win or lose by in an NBA game when down 8 with 1:20 left during the season?...LAC with a missed FT, Heat with a trey with 7 seconds left to cut it to 1...No problem, right?...Clips will get fouled, 1 FT gives me a push and 2 gives me a win...Nope, baron davis turns it over and MIA gets the ball abck and misses and there is no time left to foul, game over...Toughest loss in 2 years for me for a few reasons...But hey, I just hope it evens out over the course of the season...
A lot of customers in today, so I am running late and despite liking DET and the Under a lot, I didn't have time to bet them...I may bet Houston yet, but haven't decided...It's a classic fade the Home team playing their 4th game in 5 nights...
Sides:
#1 Det -4 #2 Hou +4 #3 Phi -6 #4 NJ +9 #5 Tor +12
Totals:
#1 Det un 186 #2 Tor ov 206 #3 Phi un 195 #4 Hou un 193 #5 NJ un 206.5
NO BETS...
GL...
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
I blinked and the Mia/GS total went up 2 points to 215...I am betting the 1Q now and will wait and see if I am going to bet the game total now after it jumped up...I still may bet it over...
Sides:
#1 Mia -2 #2 Bos -8.5 #3 Char -3.5
Totals:
#1 Mia ov 215 #2 Bos un 189.5 #3 Char un 184.5
BET:
Level 1 -- Miami/Golden State over 53.5, laying $275 to win $250 -- After Miami 1Q's were almost all Under to start the season, 7 of their last 8 games have gone Over in the 1Q...GS 5-2 to the Over at Home in the 1Q this season...GS went Over their last 4 straight 1Q's overall (all on the Road)...Teams just get sucked into the GS pace and the 1Q's are usually very frenetic...Still debating a bet on the game total Over, but I worry about a close game, and then Nellie goes to a zone in the 4Q and the game slows down...
GL...
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
0
================================================== ===================== Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ===================== Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection... ================================================== ===================== Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7 ================================================== ===================== Bets record: ================================================== ===================== Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0 Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530 Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 20-18, +$65 ================================================== ===================== Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link ============================== Sides: 116-130-5 #1 picks: 18-16
I blinked and the Mia/GS total went up 2 points to 215...I am betting the 1Q now and will wait and see if I am going to bet the game total now after it jumped up...I still may bet it over...
Sides:
#1 Mia -2 #2 Bos -8.5 #3 Char -3.5
Totals:
#1 Mia ov 215 #2 Bos un 189.5 #3 Char un 184.5
BET:
Level 1 -- Miami/Golden State over 53.5, laying $275 to win $250 -- After Miami 1Q's were almost all Under to start the season, 7 of their last 8 games have gone Over in the 1Q...GS 5-2 to the Over at Home in the 1Q this season...GS went Over their last 4 straight 1Q's overall (all on the Road)...Teams just get sucked into the GS pace and the 1Q's are usually very frenetic...Still debating a bet on the game total Over, but I worry about a close game, and then Nellie goes to a zone in the 4Q and the game slows down...
GL...
================================================== ===================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ================================================== ===================== Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample ================================================== ===================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot... Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose... Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint... Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble… Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional… ================================================== =====================
Level 1 -- Miami/Golden State over 53.5, 1Q, laying $275 to win $250 -- After Miami 1Q's were almost all Under to start the season, 7 of their last 8 games have gone Over in the 1Q...GS 5-2 to the Over at Home in the 1Q this season...GS went Over their last 4 straight 1Q's overall (all on the Road)...Teams just get sucked into the GS pace and the 1Q's are usually very frenetic...Still debating a bet on the game total Over, but I worry about a close game, and then Nellie goes to a zone in the 4Q and the game slows down...
GL...
0
1st quarter bet, to clarify...
BET:
Level 1 -- Miami/Golden State over 53.5, 1Q, laying $275 to win $250 -- After Miami 1Q's were almost all Under to start the season, 7 of their last 8 games have gone Over in the 1Q...GS 5-2 to the Over at Home in the 1Q this season...GS went Over their last 4 straight 1Q's overall (all on the Road)...Teams just get sucked into the GS pace and the 1Q's are usually very frenetic...Still debating a bet on the game total Over, but I worry about a close game, and then Nellie goes to a zone in the 4Q and the game slows down...
hey brewer been reading your posts and i have to say i really appreciate the time you put in this and share it on here. really like your word of advice and for the haters that bet once and expect a 100% win are all ignorant. keep up the good work buddy will be following up on your updates! BOL this season
0
hey brewer been reading your posts and i have to say i really appreciate the time you put in this and share it on here. really like your word of advice and for the haters that bet once and expect a 100% win are all ignorant. keep up the good work buddy will be following up on your updates! BOL this season
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