Math will put the edge in my favor and not the books... the way you beat them using math is with large volume over a long period of time... of course anything can happen in any one particular game but play hundreds and math will win....
how would you like it if your edge was 55% plus......
Falcon
Record for Mathematical Formula: 7-2 (78%)
nba: 6-2 (sides 3-1)(totals 3-1)
ncaaf: 1-0 (totals 1-0)
NHL Totals: 0-0
plays for wednesday nov 25
10. ott/nj Over 5
11. bos/minn Over 5
12. nash/col Over 5.5
13. car/ana Over 5.5
14. clippers +5.5
15. sixers +13
16. bos/phil Over 188
17. cle/det Over 183.5
18. nuggets -8
19. den/minn Under 202
20. milwaukee +3
21. mil/NO Under 202
22. warriors +13.5
23. warriors/spurs Under 214
24. memphis +11
25. mem/phx Under 221
26. portland -12.5
27. port/nets Over 182.5
28. knicks/sac Under 217.5
that will be all for today.....
Falcon
Over time with numerous plays you won't be hitting close to 55%, you will be very close to 50% and so if you always keep your wagers the same amount you will be losing. The only way you could win being at 50% would be if you vary your wagers using a progressive wagering system.
Because you have a 50% chance of hitting everytime you make a pick on a matchup and after numerous upon numerous of wagers your winning pct. will be very close to 50% and this is because of a mathematical law called THE LAW OF AVERAGES.
bobtheking: i cant comment on the nba favorites tonight... all the selections above were flat bet, to win $50, which is about 1/5th of what i normally bet on a game...
i have 18 wagers for tonight, in this thread... i will be pleased with a 10-8 night.... my goal remains (55%) for this thread, because the volume will be huge...
early play for Thanksgiving, unsure what time ill post tomorrow..
29. Packers Over 47.5
Falcon
going to go ahead and play all 3 nfl totals tomorrow. all the totals were plays, based on poor lines set by the books, none of the sides were plays, they were spot on..
plays for Thanksgiving..
29. packers Over 47.5
30. cowboys Under 40 (this is a very strong play)
31. giants Over 42
there are some NHL and NBA tomorrow, ill post them sometime tomorrow...
it wont take long for the plays to add up and you can see if the Power Of A Mathematical Formula can set a better line than the Perceived Line that the Oddsmakers set.
Falcon
SirJohn, you are sadly mistaken.... i have a minimum of a (3pt) advantage in every selection.... the edge has shifted from the books to my Mathematical Formula..
Falcon
The only way to prove I'm right is for you to keep an on going record like how I do. Now you are going to always keep your wagers the same amount right? If so you will see thru time you will be at 50% and losing.
SirJohn, yes this thread, all wagers will be flat bet.... i will gradually raise the flat bet however...
im not going to get into a conflict over this, im merely showing you that a True Mathematical Formula can set a better Line than the books Perceived Line.... this will be proven over a large number of plays and a longer length of time....
i should come in at 55% over a very large number of plays....
if you try and single out any of the plays, they could always be the loser that your selecting...
i never said this was the only way that i bet... i said, im showing you this, in this particular thread..
why would you not believe that a (more accurate Line) will win out..
Falcon
You will gradually raise the flat bet...well believe me you're going to need to do that eventually when you start to see losses provided you have the bank to raise the level.
Why would I not believe that a more accurate line will win out? Because in gambling it's not about the line, it's about the money that you have. Money will win out always and so that's why I said you need a progressive wagering system and there will be no need to win at 55% of the time, 50% will do because your wagers won't be a fixed amount, it will vary.
Besides who is to say what line is more accurate and just because you feel you have an accurate line that doesn't mean you will always be on the right side 55% of the time. In the long run you will be on the right side very close to 50% of the time regardless that you believe you are dealing with a more accurate line that you have whipped up. Ok I won't say no more but good luck to you and make sure you keep accurate records on your experiment.
SirJohn, i see your not a believer in Mathematics.... based on your assumption, one should play an endless Martingale...
lets see who is right after 100 plays... small sample but it will give us a little insight.... then we can look again at 200 plays..
you seem to think that ill be at 50%, i think ill be at 55%...
the wagers and lines are posted in this thread, for you or anyone else to check out...
18 plays going tonight, 7-2 record last night... lets see how we look Thanksgiving morning, shall we..
Falcon
Established in 1995,
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