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Leans and discussion for tomorrow night......

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Posted: #1
Fellas, Lets get some discussion going, enough with fucking around.....I lost by one point tonight. I am pissed but I see one game tomorrow that I really like.  Your opinons?  I am going to the old lady's house but can post every once in a while...Lets take one game and see what you guys think...The matchup I was looking at is:
 
Kings/warriors over 221
 
i think this goes WAY over...
 
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Posted: #2
I agree.
 
 
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Posted: #3
oops, its 223.5  I capped it at 228....
 
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Posted: #4

Defense Warriors

  Record Rank
Points/G 107.2 30
Field Goal % 46.0 22
3-Point % 36.6 20
Free Throw % 75.4 16
Rebounds/G 30.1 17

Defense KINGS

  Record Rank
Points/G 102.4 24
Field Goal % 46.2 24
3-Point % 37.3 25
Free Throw % 75.9 19
Rebounds/G 29.6 23
Full Statistics
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
Kings ML parlayed with with O?
 
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Posted: #6

Offense KINGS

  Record Rank
Points/G 100.2 10
Field Goal % 45.6 12
3-Point % 37.1 9
Free Throw % 79.2 5
Rebounds/G 10.1 22
 
 

Offense WARRIORS

  Record Rank
Points/G 109.6 2
Field Goal % 45.5 13
3-Point % 35.5 16
Free Throw % 75.3 16
Rebounds/G 12.1 10
 
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Posted: #7
over...I've been looking foward to this one all week
 
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Posted: #8
The C-Web factor scares me a bit...
B2B should technically benefit the over...but the Kings won't get bailed out on the road by the referees...40 FT's...yet 41 would've been much sweeter.
 
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Posted: #9
the only thing that scares me is fg% for warriors.  They have been missing lots of shots, but Kings defense is terrible.  I have had this matchup circled along with the Kings over tonight for two weeks.
 
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Posted: #10
travel time is 2 hours so its not a factor, lets throw fatigue and B2B theories out the window....
 
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Posted: #11
Hey Falcon

I thought you would be on this total. But sadly, I can't take this side right now.  The problem with this game is that both kings play run n gun & shoot the 3 like mad.  But at this high of a line, each quarter needs to average 56 pts.  Both teams are extremely streaky when it comes to shooting and one bad streak can make this total very close.

I'm not saying it WONT hit, but I personally would watch the 1st H and get a good feel for the 2H O/U before making a BIG bet.  Remember that GSW usually has bad 1st Q, so if they dont hit you'll need a Sac team taht just played a long time tonight.  The fact that K-Mart sat for 90% of the 4th is good though, so he should have his legs tomorrow.

The warriors will definitely play HARD tomorrow night to avenge that Bulls loss the other night.  But sometimes too much energy leads to alot of TO's (common tonight as well) and missed shots.

I am almost certain Baron will revert back to this B. Diddy status and light it up for 25 pts or more. Esp with Bibby guarding him. lol

Be prepared for a barrage of 3's ---- hit or miss.....

Save more $$$$ for the 2H bet!


 
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Posted: #12
you know the warriors love them 3's too...but if they're missing them all night...
 
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Posted: #13
The Warriors will score at least 115 to 120.  Now all we need is Sac to contribute 100 to 105..with these two teams, I just can't take the UNDER..I guarantee you that Stephen Jackson won't have a bad shooting night again..or Baron Davis going one one one a lot with Bibby..and  you know Monta Ellis will do his thang ..just my opinion guys  GL
 
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Posted: #14
i thought for sure that youre big play would be the hornets memphis over 203.  oh well at least it doesnt cost me any money being wrong about that. 
 
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Posted: #15
make that guarantee regarding S. jackson not having another bad shooting night! He shoots as much if not more than anyone in the league and after the bulls games Thursday, he's averaging 39% from the field and 30% from 3 pt land. His percentages are f*cking pathetic considering how much he shoots. Throw all the NBA stats away regarding the Warriors over/under because the total will almost always come down to GS shooting. They don't play defense...they will allow 100+ tomorrow night...thats a guarantee! Just hope their shooting percentage gives them 115+ points for the game..GL
 
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Posted: #16
I meant to say that I wouldn't make that guarantee regarding S. Jackson not having another bad shooting night...referring to Sammy629 comment...sorry!
 
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Posted: #17
Couple of strong leans for tomorrow :
I LOVE the OVER on Sac/Warr. This should fly well OVER 230! ..
Atlanta Hawks to cover against Rockets. I'm expecting the jo blow unsuspecting public to get screwed big time on this one. The line will keep going up by game time! I will wait till it goes, say, 10!
Later and best wishes 
AUSSIE 
 
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Posted: #18

Early leans for tom

Air force +2.5.. I love home dogs in the mountain

Colorado st +20... I love my Rebels but it just seems like this line is inflated.

Nba

Sixers -7... Clippers should have lost last night, there hot shooting streak won't carry over tommorow

Houston -8.5... Just feel like there the better team

Other leans

Kentucky -6.5...

I'll watch for the line movement in the rockets game. Hate to go against Aussie.

 
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Posted: #19
Tim Thomas is questionable tomorrow with a sore bakc, I would go with the Sixers -7.
 
 
 
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Posted: #20
Just a strong lean thus far jacdy, haven't pulled the trigger yet :) so haven't gone against me....YET! 
Cheers buddy, Let's make $$$$$ tgth.
Best wishes
AUSSIE
 
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Posted: #21
STASH, where are you brother???? give me a shout... (if you see this, that is!)
AUSSIE
 
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Posted: #22
A piece on ESPN regarding the ATL-HOU matchup.
 
---
 
Coach Rick Adelman would like to see the Houston Rockets put together a long winning streak at home. They've certainly done that against the Atlanta Hawks.

Having won five in a row overall, the Rockets look to win their ninth straight home game against the Hawks when the teams meet on Saturday night for the first time this season.

Houston (29-20) is on perhaps its best run of the season, having won nine of its last 10. But five of those victories have been on the road, where the Rockets have taken eight straight. A 92-77 win over Cleveland on Thursday night was the Rockets' second straight at home, where they haven't won more than three in a row all season and are 13-9.

Houston has won eight straight at home against Atlanta since a 93-87 loss on Feb. 25, 1999. Before that defeat, the Rockets won their previous six at home versus the Hawks.
 
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Posted: #23
https://www.nba.com/news/referee.html
 
Prospect
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Posted: #24
What is the deal with the Ref assignments Falcon?
 
 
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Posted: #25
Falcon, what are your thoughts on ATL-HOU matchup?
Does the back to back factor affect Atlanta?
Im leaning towards houston but some people here like ATL..
Just want to hear your thoughts..
Thanks! Love your discussions and opinions!

GL guys!
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