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Johnson's NBA Plays - Tuesday 2-8

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Legend
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Posted: #1

OVERALL RECORD:  289-214-10 (+57.00 units)

SIDES:  81-58-4  (+30.35 units)

TOTALS:  100-99-2  (-18.35 units)

ML PLAYS:  63-33-3  (+20.40 units)

PROPS:  24-17-1  (+0.55 units)

PARLAYS: 15-6  (+19.05 units)

NCAA BB PLAYS:  22-16

Tuesday Trends:

37 overs 35 unders
Home Teams are 36-37 ATS and 48-26 SU
Favorites are 38-35 ATS
East @ West is 12-4 ATS and 8-8 SU
West @ East is 6-5 ATS and 6-5 SU
Double Digit Favorites are 4-5 ATS
Home Underdogs are 11-12 ATS and 10-13 SU
______________________________________________________________________________________________________

Another fantastic day on Monday...going 4-1 and hitting a nice parlay.  6-1 for the week...up some solid units.  My nemesis for the past month has been Tuesdays, so I gotta buckle down and focus.

Line Projections:

LA Clippers @ Orlando (-6)  O/U 202.5
Philadelphia @ Atlanta (-5)  O/U 195
Indiana @ Miami (-8.5)  O/U 194
San Antonio (-7) @ Detroit  O/U 190
Memphis @ Oklahoma City (-5.5)  O/U 201.5
Toronto @ Milwaukee (-4.5)  O/U 185
Minnesota @ Houston (-6)  O/U 212

 
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Posted: #2
how do you come up with line projections? Is there a math model you follow or its just a gut shot in the dark?
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
i like the over in the houston/minnesota game.
 
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Initial Leans:

LA Clippers +9

They match up fairly well against Orlando...and its been a while since they have played two straight terrible games.  Might wait and see if we can get this as a double digit line.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City UNDER 206

With the Grizzlies coming off a tough loss against the Lakers, I can see the motivation being slightly lower.

Indiana vs Miami UNDER 198.5

The Heat play great defense...and I dont like the way the Pacers match up against them.  I really can't see them putting up over 90 points or so...and I cant see the Heat putting up 108+

Toronto vs. Milwaukee UNDER 193

The Bucks have been putting up points lately...which as thrown most of my shit off...but I still have a feeling this stays under.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Pho_Q_Pay_Me:

how do you come up with line projections? Is there a math model you follow or its just a gut shot in the dark?


1.  Away SU record and Home SU record

2.  Schedule (B2B, road trip, home stand, etc.)

3.  ATS spread record in past ten home/away games

4.  Previous matchups this season

5.  Injuries


 
Legend
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Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

i like the over in the houston/minnesota game.


I wouldn''t take it at 217...seems just about right.  I can see a 110-107 final.
 
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And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!

 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!

Only been a part of the ride for the last few miles but congrats and BOL to you.  
 
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I love my covers brothers from several other mothers
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
any suggestions for  parlay?

 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!


woo, congrats in about 3 posts..
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:



1.  Away SU record and Home SU record

2.  Schedule (B2B, road trip, home stand, etc.)

3.  ATS spread record in past ten home/away games

4.  Previous matchups this season

5.  Injuries


Thank you, will take note of that
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by G01:

any suggestions for  parlay?



The parlay is one of the last things I put together...and only if I see something I really like
 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Initial Leans:

LA Clippers +9

They match up fairly well against Orlando...and its been a while since they have played two straight terrible games.  Might wait and see if we can get this as a double digit line.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City UNDER 206

With the Grizzlies coming off a tough loss against the Lakers, I can see the motivation being slightly lower.

Indiana vs Miami UNDER 198.5

The Heat play great defense...and I dont like the way the Pacers match up against them.  I really can't see them putting up over 90 points or so...and I cant see the Heat putting up 108+

Toronto vs. Milwaukee UNDER 193

The Bucks have been putting up points lately...which as thrown most of my shit off...but I still have a feeling this stays under.


Keep up the sold work CMJ, clipper line now at 9.5 and still very early....... May jump to 10 gametime...
All about the chase
 
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Posted: #19

So in your leans, it sounds like your forseeing blowouts in the Miami and OKC games...

You think those are solid plays???

 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!


Come on it, we got room in the club for you!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!

 
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

And today should be the day Mr. Johnson moves into the Hall of Fame level.  It's been a ride for sure!!

Read your thread almost everyday.

 
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you are one of the finest here at covers
 
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