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Johnson's NBA Picks - Wednesday 12/8

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Posted: #26
BOL
 
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Posted: #27
Thanks guys


 
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Doin a GREAT job bro..
 
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Posted: #29
Cleveland Cavaliers +2 1st Quarter

The Bulls are only averaging 21 points in the first quarter on the road this year...while the Cavs are putting up 24.  They have been on a slide as of late, but should be able to hang tough early on in this one.

Prediction:  Cavs 24  Bulls 23
Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
 
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Posted: #30
I always enjoy reading your daily trends.  Excellent info.  Best of luck today CMJ.


 
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Posted: #31
BOL
 
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Best of luck today all your plays scared me.  I might call today a break.  What the hell 1 unit of pacers all im doing.  14-2 run that incredible but also scary at the same time.  All runs come to an end.  Hope you beat the statistics and crush it today.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by makaveli23:

I always enjoy reading your daily trends.  Excellent info.  Best of luck today CMJ.






Thanks Mak...right back at ya.  One of the rare few that actually give insight instead of just plays.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:

Best of luck today all your plays scared me.  I might call today a break.  What the hell 1 unit of pacers all im doing.  14-2 run that incredible but also scary at the same time.  All runs come to an end.  Hope you beat the statistics and crush it today.




My own picks scare me sometimes.  That's what I tend to do when I do go on a big run is limit my plays.  I don't want to mess up the run!!  The Pacers seem like a good pick...but the Bucks have been at home for a while now, nice and rested....therefore....

Milwaukee Bucks 1st Quarter PK

The Pacers on the road in the 1st quarter give up 28 points on average...and have a point differential of -46 overall.  The Bucks are pretty much the complete opposite of that...they put up 25.9 points in the 1st and have a difference of +47.  A little deceiving however because of that huge 41-19 quarter against the Knicks a few weeks back.  Either way, the Bucks have been at home for a while, and I think they start this one off on the right foot.

Prediction:  Bucks 29  Pacers 24
Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
 
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Posted: #36
Denver Nuggets vs. Boston Celtics UNDER 51.5 1st Quarter

The Nuggets have only seen a 52 point 1st quarter twice on the road, and the Celtics have only seen it once.  I know there are some injury questions with the Celtics right now...but I really can't see them giving up many points to this team on their back to back.  2nd and 3rd quarter is where the Nuggers really put up their points.

Prediction:  Celtics 25 Nuggets 23
Risk:  1.2 units to win 1 unit
 
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Posted: #37
Tonight is one of the rare occasions where most of the lines/totals are set just about where they should be.  I can easily see a couple push bets tonight.
 
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Posted: #38

Bulls moneyline is my play of the night.... the cavs are definitely one of the worst teams in the NBA right now since Lebron left them stranded without any hope.... like you stated though.... PRIDE might keep them in it early....

BOL

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by tlsmasher002:

Bulls moneyline is my play of the night.... the cavs are definitely one of the worst teams in the NBA right now since Lebron left them stranded without any hope.... like you stated though.... PRIDE might keep them in it early....

BOL



Best of luck to ya...I think this is a Cavs ML play myself.
 
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Posted: #40
bol CM
 
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Thanks guys...that might have to be it for me tonight.

I LIKE NOTHING!!!
 
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Posted: #44
hey cmj, where do u get those trends from? do u have a site or do you just mark them down by hand when the game are over each night?
 
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Posted: #45
dont agree when you say if GS can hang with dallas they can hang with SA.

not really true...SA is a more skilled team than Dallas is in general, they know how to blow out GS...they already did it on GS's home floor. Not only is SA more skilled than Dallas...but Dallas at home ATS are undeniably crappy. Dallas can not play well in their arena for whatever reason.
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by BillyHoyle21:

hey cmj, where do u get those trends from? do u have a site or do you just mark them down by hand when the game are over each night?


I have my own spreadsheets that I track different stats on.


 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by The_Ace:

dont agree when you say if GS can hang with dallas they can hang with SA.

not really true...SA is a more skilled team than Dallas is in general, they know how to blow out GS...they already did it on GS's home floor. Not only is SA more skilled than Dallas...but Dallas at home ATS are undeniably crappy. Dallas can not play well in their arena for whatever reason.


This is true, but that was a game in which David Lee was still getting used to the playing time...Timmy Duncan went nuts...and the Spurs got some generous calls and had a huge free throw advantage. 

I have to assume Duncan won't have another triple double tonight, and the Spurs won't take 3x as many free throws as the Warriors.

Still pending on that play however...it's one of the few that I actually am looking at as far as a full game.
 
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Posted: #48
thanks again CM!
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by robbypark:

thanks again CM!



 
 
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