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Interesting info about the Heat's 12-0 ATS trend that might be useful tonight in Game 6

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Legend
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Posted: #76
no doubt it isnt about the number of fouls or FTs...in thats When, Where and Who factor.....easily can manipulate a game with critical call...and just as easily call a few meaningless fouls later on to balance out the scoresheet
 
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Posted: #77
oh no, the dreaded Bator write up that makes perfect sense.

These spell trouble.

GL
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Just heard this:

For Lebron prop bet backers: 

Lebron is averaging 31.5 ppg in playoff elimination games, the highest average in NBA history.

For Spurs backers:

Popovich is 19-5 in games in which his team had a chance to close out a playoff series on the road (second best all-time behind Tommy Heinson of the Celtics with a record of 8-1).

In 16 NBA Finals games as a Heat, Lebron has scored more than his regular season ave just 3 times. His reg season ave is 26.8 pts.

In 1 game he went over by 1 pt and by 3 pts in another leaving just 1 of 16 games he scored more than 3  pts over his regular season ave.

He shot 51%, 53.1%, 56.5% in the 3 reg seasons. In 16  NBA Finals games he has shot over 50% just 4 times.

He must of been doing alot of scoring in the 1st and 2cd rounds VS 8 and 4 seeds.................................................................

 
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Posted: #79

Mr. Bator thanks for your time  love your reads

If the Spurs don't win tonight then they're not winning game #7

Hope we get a new champion tonight   take the points

 

 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by ICAPSports:

no doubt it isnt about the number of fouls or FTs...in thats When, Where and Who factor.....easily can manipulate a game with critical call...and just as easily call a few meaningless fouls later on to balance out the scoresheet
well said

 
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Posted: #81
good info as always but I for one am banking on Bator being as far off tonight as the 2008 Super Bowl  (my apologies for dredging that up Mr. Bator)....also being against the trend 3 times in a row and then doing a sudden about face and belatedly jumping on the bandwagon is not something that normally has the best results in my experience ....really for me, my eyes and my gut tell me this is Spurs series to lose...and they don't want to sniff a Game 7...tonights their night...Gl all and enjoy
 
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Posted: #82
um what about the trend.. about heat scoring 100+ previous game they are 0-6 ats next game??
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by sailing58:

Mr. Bator thanks for your time  love your reads

If the Spurs don't win tonight then they're not winning game #7

Hope we get a new champion tonight   take the points

 

LOL..I think MR Bator is on Heats to win series

I dont think he wants a new champ tonight..

 
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Posted: #84
HiHoldem, the ideal scenario I want to see tonight is a double-digit Heat win, which will set up a monster play on the Spurs moneyline in Game 7.
 
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Posted: #85
Thaistix is correct, lol.
 
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Posted: #86

Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

I placed small bet on the Heat -6.5 -110 and ML -285.

 

Why the moneyline Bator???? I like them by ten or more........thought you did also???

 
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Posted: #87
Great write up Bator, I'm rolling with the Heat, plus it doesn't hurt that Joey Crawford is one of the refs tonight. I know everyone says that was in 2007 when he ejected Duncan for laughing while sitting on the bench, but I was at one of the Memphis games this year in the playoffs that he called and believe me he thinks the majority of the crowd came to see him blow his whistle, just ask Chris Paul.

Heat -6.5
 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

HiHoldem, the ideal scenario I want to see tonight is a double-digit Heat win, which will set up a monster play on the Spurs moneyline in Game 7.

  go heat

 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by iceman67:

In line with that, for the 21 playoff games Lebron has been in this year he has put up under 15.5 reb + asst.  seventeen times and gone over only 4   As of right now the under 15.5 line is juiced @ +130.,,,  
I have to do this.  

Interesting 
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

In 16 NBA Finals games as a Heat, Lebron has scored more than his regular season ave just 3 times. His reg season ave is 26.8 pts.

In 1 game he went over by 1 pt and by 3 pts in another leaving just 1 of 16 games he scored more than 3  pts over his regular season ave.

He shot 51%, 53.1%, 56.5% in the 3 reg seasons. In 16  NBA Finals games he has shot over 50% just 4 times.

He must of been doing alot of scoring in the 1st and 2cd rounds VS 8 and 4 seeds.................................................................


That puts the 31.5 in perspective for sure.
 
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Posted: #91
Quote Originally Posted by rastad:

 

Why the moneyline Bator???? I like them by ten or more........thought you did also???

In big gms it never hurts to dabble on the ML...

Joey Crawford was the ref for gm 6 Lakers/Kings back in the day when Sac had a 3-2 lead going back to LAL...The Lakers shot 21 (Twenty f'n One) 4TH QTR FREE THROWS and eventually won the gm and the NBA got their gm 7...Could definatley see that happening tonight.

GL Gentlemen

 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by ICAPSports:

good info as always but I for one am banking on Bator being as far off tonight as the 2008 Super Bowl  (my apologies for dredging that up Mr. Bator)....also being against the trend 3 times in a row and then doing a sudden about face and belatedly jumping on the bandwagon is not something that normally has the best results in my experience ....really for me, my eyes and my gut tell me this is Spurs series to lose...and they don't want to sniff a Game 7...tonights their night...Gl all and enjoy

Wow....bringing up the '08 SB?


Classless...
 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Wow....bringing up the '08 SB?


Classless...

said in mirror no doubt
 
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Posted: #94
This thread has gone Miller Time on The Factor....Heat bt DD's....sorry NSA supporters...Crawford in for Game 7 people  
 
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Posted: #95
 
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Posted: #96
Good Luck!

Go Heat!

 
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Posted: #97

In the 2-3-2 format, when the road team has taken a 3-2 lead, they are 5-6 SU and a very nice 9-2 ATS in games 6 and 7.

No team has lost both 6 and 7 ATS.

They are 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS in game 6.....................................

 
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Posted: #98
rastad, the -285 moneyline I laid was a tiny bet. I only did it because of the cheap price. I'm still looking for a Heat double-digit win, and if they don't deliver, I will hate them.


Wait, I already hate them. Okay, I'll just hate them even more.
 
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Posted: #99

Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

rastad, the -285 moneyline I laid was a tiny bet. I only did it because of the cheap price. I'm still looking for a Heat double-digit win, and if they don't deliver, I will hate them.


Wait, I already hate them. Okay, I'll just hate them even more.

 

 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by iceman67:

In line with that, for the 21 playoff games Lebron has been in this year he has put up under 15.5 reb + asst.  seventeen times and gone over only 4   As of right now the under 15.5 line is juiced @ +130.,,,  
I have to do this.  
Added a third more to this under when it touched +160,

MB,  maybe I'm missing something, but wouldn't it make a little more sense to take SA and the points it it comes to a game 7, rather than ML taking into account your Heat series bet?
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