Funk's NBA bets - 2013/2014

damn OT

Spurs/Knicks - Under 195
5 units (to win 4.55)
--------------------------------------------------------
Wizards/Thunder - Under 204
5 units (to win 4.55)

ATS: 12 - 9 = 57.1 %
O/U: 13 - 10 = 56.5 %
Overall: 25 - 19 = 56.8 %

Units: + 16.30

Early monday play:

Hawks - 2.5
5.5 units (to win 5)

I have doubts that this line will go to -3 or -4 tonight (there will be no love for Cats) so i'll take it right now... i hope i'm right. Here i don't think is need to write some review. I just pick the better team. We have:

1) Unique combination of Al Horford and Paul Milsap (who fits well in Hawks team in my opinion) under the dash.
2) One of the best right now PG's in the league Jeff Teague + top 5 league 3 point shooter Kyle Korver.
3) Hawks are 8-0 winning streak against Cats (Including 4-0 at road) and every win is with more spread then 2.5

Early monday leanings (almost sure plays):

Grizzlies/Pacers - Under 194
Timbewolves/Clippers - Under (if the line is set around 205 or more... expect something like 207-208 which would be pleasure for bet to me)

If Pacers game drop to 193 i'll take it immediately.

Leanings (probably no play on them):

Pistons/Blazers - Over  197.5
Cavs + 8

GL

Love the hawks play.. But i think i want the over more wat do u think? The ind was 184.5 and now 183.5 

Pacers is 183.5 at my books not 194.  

Clippers game at 208.5 and 209 on espn odds site.  Has not listed at my books yet though 

Clippers game is pure under in my opinion and i've got a feeling that the public will hit hard over because both teams are with good offenses... Maybe i've got a shot to hit the under on 210 or more... we'll see. Pacers are 184.5 now at my bookie.... this is strange movement.

Tigers if you will place bet of Aldridge... don't forget that Pistons have more good big men (Smith, Drummond, Monroe...) compared to Kings (Cousins) and are one of the best teams in the league in off rebounds and points in paint stats. Aldridge could have problems with them tonight. I don't play props but GL what you decide.

Agree that Aldridge will find it harder against pistons big men.  Game totals in pistons game also moving down to 197 so hopefully a low scoring game

For now i have:

Hawks - 2.5
5.5 units (to win 5) (writeup in previous post)

Add:

Grizzlies/Pacers - Under 183.5
5 units (to win 4.55)

Really don't think that i can catch this under on better line from now... the public will activate bets in next hours and the line logically will drop more... I don't expect RLM here...Best defense in East hosts best defense in West. Only probable OT scares me (i still remember last night game at OKC...) here.

My leanings so far:

Wolves/Clippers - Under (no line yet) This is 100% bet for me... just waiting for open lines and movement...
Grizzlies + 6.5 Expect very close game until end with 170-180 points combined and maybe Grizz + 6.5 has a shot... Public love is on Pacers now so if this line ups to 7 or 7.5 that will be golden value...

hmmm i got mem +7.0 was thinking about it for a very long time and decided to go follow you wit dis and play at least 1 unit.

im leaning towards under on the pacers/memphis game, but i might lay off the spread. pacers is on a mission this year and is playing at a high level. tayshuan is not going to slow down george, and we all know it's tough to play pacers at home due to the crowd. memphis doesn't look better than last year and their defensive got weaker as well. i'm not saying blowout but it looks like a nailbiter, which means plenty of defense so under looks like the better play.

heathunter881 yeah George will have the easier mission tonight but under the dash Hibbert and West will face first "real" challenge this season (i mean big couple which play each other from years): Gasol and Randolph. Grizzlies are not team that Pacers could blowout easily and after slow start of the season i expect their defense to improve... it's gonna be a great game... that is my choice for watching tonight!

Line is out, 208.0 on my book.

My has it at 208 too... so now i'm waiting for changes... up up up

Keeping my fingers crossed for 210!

One of my early leanings (first post for the day) Cavs + 8 has RLM... now it's + 7.5... i think Cavs could keep this game close... hm

Are you sure the public is on the Bulls?

Hey Funky

shing02 it's almost 50:50 ATS but ML are nearly 95:5 in favor of Bulls so i think more money will goes to Chicago tonight. Line is back to + 8 so not sure if there is classic RLM anymore... still waiting with line changes and percentages...

pratt181 Yeah i saw it... the line goes where i expect... still waiting for better line... public pulls the trigger hard on Over (about 80% of bets) so i'm not hurrying yet...

play over or not on the clippers game funk?

Funk

I had two plays for now (previous posts)

My leanings and probably future bets so far:

Wolves/Clippers - Under 210 This is 100% bet for me... just waiting for lines movement...Here i got shot to take it even better line... waiting
Grizzlies + 6.5 Expect very close game until end with 170-180 points combined and maybe Grizz + 6.5 has a shot... Public love is on Pacers now so if this line ups to 7 or 7.5 that will be golden value... 75 % chance to play it

Leanings which won't be included in my record (probably no play on them or just small amount of my side cash... just for fun):

Pistons/Blazers - Over  198
Like them earlier on line 197.5... now it ups to 198 but the public is on under... classic RLM which is the reason that i don't like the over anymore... i love it! But i really hate to put big money on overs so maybe this is worth just my pocket money... just for fun.

Cavs + 8
Just a feeling

Start following Nuggets/Jazz ATS line... very interesting things happen there.

Yeah, thinking about betting Utah tonight... Looks suspicious.

Final monday card:


Hawks - 2.5
5.5 units (to win 5)
----------------------------------------------------------
Grizzlies/Pacers - Under 183.5
5 units (to win 4.55)
----------------------------------------------------------
Wolves/Clippers - Under 210.5
5.5 units (to win 5)
----------------------------------------------------------
Grizzlies + 6.5
5 units (to win 4.55)
----------------------------------------------------------
Jazz + 2.5
5 units (to win 4.55)

Little worry about Hawks cause the line dropped to - 2 (RLM) i don't expected that on this game... hope that ATL will cover Not recommended this bet yet.

Leanings which won't be included in my record (probably no play on them or just small amount of my side cash... just for fun):

Pistons/Blazers - Over  198
Like them earlier on line 197.5... now it ups to 198 but the public is on under... classic RLM which is the reason that i don't like the over anymore... i love it! But i really hate to put big money on overs so maybe this is worth just my pocket money... just for fun.

Cavs + 8
Just a feeling

It's gonna be a dog day in my opinion.