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FADING the public!

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Posted: #26
bol tonight 
 
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Posted: #27
gl buddy..still unsure about the Bulls, although I think they are dude for a blowout. Will be on the Magic with yea


 
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Posted: #28
DUE* for a blowout
 
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Posted: #29
based on reading your comments for the Magic game it seems like the over would be a better bet than the under...your thoughts?
 
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Posted: #30
Bulls in a rout
 
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Posted: #31
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

bodio -- don't you think that the average 3 point percentage that ORL has against ATL specifically is more relevant than their overall 3 point percentage this year? I ask because in the 8 games the squads have played this year, ORL is averaging a putrid 22% from three (total of 40-180). Isn't that a function of ATL playing Howard straight up? I mean I understand the regression to the mean thinking, but I believe you are using the wrong mean (season-long 3PM%) as opposed to the more accurate mean (season-long 3PM% against Atlanta).


Not necessarily.  ATL vs ORL is only 8 games.  I like the sample-size of 82 games a bit better.  Sure the Hawks are playing them well, but I feel some of it has to do with ORL being 'cold'.  I see them 'heating up' tonight
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by ghostfaceripper:

well, either everybody is gonna win (public plays) or everybody is gonna lose.  I dont see everybody winning............smart plays.  also puttn a little down on D.Rose 33-points/assists-over.  I think he is playn possum.......wants everybody to think he lost a step and they will until he blows by them in the lane for an easy 2.  suckers


Hope you're right.  D-Rose for 40+ points tonight!!  :)
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by THESHOOTER:

surprise to see you got off the atl/orl und train


Action WAGER for tonight:  OVER 178 ATL/ORL...actually a little more than my typical 'action wager'..  
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by KinGProP:

Bodio, what do yout think about Chicago/Indiana Total 186.5??

Lean OVER
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by brucelee7:

based on reading your comments for the Magic game it seems like the over would be a better bet than the under...your thoughts?

Yes I agree...I actually really liked that OVER initially, but someone 'talked me out of it'

I have an action wager on it though.  GL
 
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Posted: #38

GL sir.

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by claude_gir0ux:

GL sir.


You too buddy.  None of the hockey games qualified today but I'm assuming you're on a few.  GL and go HAWKS!!!
 
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Posted: #40
bodio
 
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Posted: #41
 
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Posted: #42

On other sides tonight, IND D has been fabulous, this series could be a lot different if Ind could close a game, possibly worst in history at closing games. Expect another close game, have at +10. Atl 8-0 ATS vs spread vs ORL, can't go against a team that has other teams number ORL is too dependent on 3. Thanks for your writeups

 
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Posted: #43

Some good Playoff info https://nba-point-forward.si.com/2011/04/25/monday-musings-lessons-of-playoff-ball/?hpt=T2  GL

 
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Posted: #44
CMM is on the opposite of both plays  , and he is on fire this year playoff 
 
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Posted: #45

im hearing you....im on bulls and over, orlOver and lean Orl....Lakeshow by 13+.....think dogs get whooped tonight for all the barking theyve been doin i hear chi town wind gusty....over12.5 cubs with Russell looks mighty tasty

 
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Posted: #46
a lot of late money flooding in on the Magic on Pinny..went from -106 to -115
 
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Posted: #47
Good luck tonight sir!  

I like both of your plays as I see DD victories for both teams... I just hate laying down so many points, so I'm just sticking with my CHI/IND under 187 (now at 186 -105) tonight.

MVP!  MVP!  MVP!  If he shoots 50%+ from the field, this could get ugly for Indy real quick.

Enjoy the games! 
 
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Posted: #48
Glad you are on the same side bodio.

As per usual, nice write ups.

 
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Posted: #49

NICE PLAYS TONIGHT BODIO.  I CAN ALREADY TELL THAT ATLANTA WANTS TO GO BACK HOME AND WIN THIS SERIES.  THE OWNER PROLLY TOLD THEM THEY NEED TO BRING IT BACK TO SELL TICKETS.......

BULLS AT HOME AND READY TO PUT THESE FOOLS AWAY......

LOOKS LIKE SMOKE DOG POSTED 2 LOSERS TONIGHT......

SMOKE OUT.....

 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by K9Special:

NICE PLAYS TONIGHT BODIO.  I CAN ALREADY TELL THAT ATLANTA WANTS TO GO BACK HOME AND WIN THIS SERIES.  THE OWNER PROLLY TOLD THEM THEY NEED TO BRING IT BACK TO SELL TICKETS.......

BULLS AT HOME AND READY TO PUT THESE FOOLS AWAY......

LOOKS LIKE SMOKE DOG POSTED 2 LOSERS TONIGHT......

SMOKE OUT.....


Probably to help pay for Joe Johnson's ridiculous salary.
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