CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

NBA YTD: 223-152-8
Sunday: 5-2

This one is an easy one. Miami Heat -9.0. Thea heat is showing bad signs of slowing down and is a bit complacent nowadays knowing that they can turn around ball games whenever they want. You never want to bet on teams like that (and yes Lakers are that very same team). Good thing they are playing a supposedly uptempo team. Charlotte Bobcats has the makings of an uptempo team but seem to not be able to sustain it after the first 2 quarters. With the way they are playing, it's almost impossible for them not to get caught up with the Heat tempo which is very dangerous. The Cats' D is still there but them running with the Heat is not gonna be healthy. Miami and Charlotte combines for 11-22-0 home-road O/U. I see the game going to hit 180+ easy. Miami is bound to get to 90-100 points in this game and Charlotte given their current pace plus the Heats' defense I say they score 80-90 points. With the steady drop from the opening line at 192.0 total it seems like a lot of people is shooting the UNDER. I personally like the OVER here but will probably wait for a good line. Right now, get the Heat before they go up by a point.

It was refreshing to see the Warriors up and running again against the Heat but somehow they ended up laying an egg in the second half and stop running like they should have. The combined home-road O/U for both is 15-20-1 which isn't saying a lot. Orlando right now is scoring 107 ppg in their last 5 games/wins. 112ppg if you remove the Boston game which is the lowest they point total they scored. Warriors are barely making it to the century mark but allowing almost 106ppg. With not much significant roster injuries for the Warriors, the Magic will be without Brandon Bass who is nursing a knee injury and that is 11ppg gone. I'm gambling on the UNDER but won't pull the trigger yet. Something in me is telling me that this game can go either way. As for the side, I can't seem to trust the Magic with a double digit spread so I'd take the points if I have to. Right now, this isn't that important of a game so may pass up or make the call later in the afternoon/evening.

Last game of an 8-game road trip for Philadelphia and they shouldn't be as fatigued as any team going for that long of a trip. The 76ers is one heck of an ATS team this season and is now standing at 22-10-1 even with a 13-20 SU card. New Orleans is staying afloat in the wild west and is on a two game streak t(both on the road) then coming back home. I like the Philadelphia 76ers +6.0 here and possibly an ML play. Because they match up well against the Hornets. The UNDER 188.0 is supposedly an easy bet but will pass up on it since I can't put a finger on what type of game both teams will play. Both are capable of scoring and tightening up on defense as well. I believe we'll either see the match fall somewhere in the 170ish or even go past 188 to around 195ish. The margin is rather big so will most likely be playing only the side. In their first meeting this season, the Hornets played through a 23 point first half which ultimately cost them the game. They'll look through it in their pre-game and will like to start early focusing on gaining the tempo of the game. I believe Elton Brand will somehow be spectacular because this will have a slow to average pace en route to conquering the paint for the 76ers.

As for the late game, I'm taking the Denver Nuggets -7.0. Houston gets over the slump when they play the Blazers next. I always like betting on the Nuggets when a visiting team is playing back to back road games.



What do you think fellas?



BOL.

i wait all night for ur picks!

lets go heat!! 

Milk Love your Heat and 6ers picks!!! Lean under in Heat though:

 

I feel the Bobcats are not going to be able to keep up w/ the Heat....both teams can really clamp down D and slow the tempo of the game down....but I beleive the Heat are better at converting.... The Cats are ailing right now, and if Wallace doesn't play that will make them even more offesively challanged....  9 points on the road is a lot, but I really feel the Heat win by 15+.... 95-80 type game....

 

I also lean heaviily to the under 190...can't see the Cats reaching more than 90 which will have to happen for this game to go over...

u like philly even tho iggy is out?

sixers

what is your favorite pick?

No Wallace for Charlotte, might be Heat cover.

Why are overnight threads 20 hours in advance of games done? I'm new to the site and just trying to understand the understanding of the understatement......

I will wait 20 hours for your response if I have to

because here in Europe is 8AM... were not all from US

Jean e us

 

But the game still starts at the same time right?

im playing with the orlando game. i still remember how their last game went over against new york. that 62 point fourth quarter really burned me. and contrary to most posts ive read, i dont think orlando is worse defensively. the magic was never a match-up defensive team, it was always team oriented, which they still imploy since the back bone of that system is still there.

meant to say playing the UNDER on the orlando game. im still thinking about if i should put money on golden state or not. i can visualize the magic winning by a blow out, but at the same time, golden state has enough fire power to get a back door cover with such a huge spread.

I may go with the Under as well but still pondering about it. Wallace will be out and Tyrus is expected right back in.

Yes. Very much. I failed to put it up in my write up. 76ers is believe it or not better without him.

Miami like everyone else.

I'm here for the exchange. I write down how I feel and what I think about games and if you drop by this thread from time to time you'd see other people discussing the games. That's why I mostly reply on inquiries and sensible posts.

I'm from the Philippines and the best way to bet here is through a local so there won't be a lot of juice. Most of us here bet before 10pm or 11pm, our time. That's say 8 to 10 hours before the game.

I think we're on the same line of thinking with the UNDER. Yes, Orlando can go blow them away the first 3 quarters but I'm still not too confident if the Warriors can stage a comeback or not. Then again, the Knicks were down a lot and still manage to cover the spread.

CMM, my question to you is...

david lee vs amare...?

knicks were able to knock down a lot of jumpers....

GSW 1st half might be a good play

on the under.

i know what you mean, ive been back and forth when it comes locking in my gsw play. im wondering between, them, the heat, or the sixers. thing thats shaking me off the philly play is the fact that Jrue Holiday has been a big part of their ability to stay in the game, and chris paul seems to be feeding on these young up and comming point guards. then their coaches tell them to learn from him. maybe miami is the best play of the 3. it just seems like sucha  huge spread on a home team

I am on Miami -9.

Keep up the good work CMM