CrazyMilkMan's 2012 NCAA/UAAP Betting Thread

Projected Line for July 22, 2012 (Sunday):
UAAP Season 75
2pm Game: FEU-3.5 v DLSU+2.5
4pm Game: ADMU-7.5 v NU+6.5

MWS LINE:
2pm Game: FEU-5.5 v DLSU+4.5
4pm Game: ADMU-7.5 v NU+6.5

You got to love this UAAP Sunday. FEU v DLSU seem to have a point or two more than my projection. FEU IMO is still as effective as they were last season. The trio of guards Tolomia-Garcia-Romeo will be a tough matchup all afternoon long for the La Salle Guards. They have average front court which the Archers will most likely take advantage. DLSU has benefited from playing two of the bottom teams so far racking two precious wins and building up UAAP experience as a team. I think this is more of a coin flip than anything. With the spread, the easy play looks like DLSU catching the points.

The main event is pretty much a finals preview of Season 75. The line is just right based off last season' ratings and line. I think the lines maker will cut this down to say somewhere around the range of 3-5 points. Two things will be going for Ateneo. 1st is that they will be prepared after an 85-68 beating in Fil-Oil and 2nd they will have learned off two bad showings in their first two games where they let up and allow the team to come back on them. NU obviously is tip to pull a fast one on the defending champions having enough support outside of Parks-Mbe. The local support has been a surprise with Javillonar, Villamor, Neypes and Alolino not to mention they are familiar with the MOA Arena. I have the Eagles winning here by 6. Totally clamping down on Parks and controlling the pace of the game by not allowing NU to run.

Projected Line for July 23, 2012 (Monday):
NCAA Season 88
4pm Game: SSC-14.5 v LPU+13.5
6pm Game: UPHSD-4.5 v JRU+3.5

The Stags are tip to win this outright. They've won by 25 and 12 last season and with almost pretty much the same lineup, it's expected to end up the same. LPU, along with EAC, ranks the lowest in my power ranking. LPU haven't had any significant recruits this season but boast of a more mature team who are feisty and isn't afraid to ball against anyone. The huge difference between the bottom-feeder EAC and LPU is that LPU plays till the end which makes them a scary team specially carrying huge spread like this. Stags seem to be the easy play here but what's scary is SSC tends to relax when they carry huge leads and tend to allow the team to cover the spread in the final minutes.

UPHSD-JRU has some huge turn around in line. Don't be surprised to see UPHSD as dogs from the get go. I've adjusted this line already and should pretty much be out there. JRU matches up well against UPHSD with the latter looking to be suspectible to the pressing defense. UPHSD's only saving grace is the two Nigerians and what's good for JRU is that they are easily getting exposed. I see Vidal still on that shooting slump and easily getting out done by Nate Matute, who cooled down last game. Get as much points on JRU as you can as I see them dropping a good one over the Altas with their suffocating press.