CrazyMilkMan's 2012 NCAA/UAAP Betting Thread

Projected Line for July 21, 2012 (Saturday):
NCAA Season 88
4pm Game: AU+8.5 v MIT-9.5
6pm Game: CSJL+7.5 v SBC-8.5

AU and MIT tangles as both team played pretty close last season. I got a feeling this line is pretty accurate with MIT getting this much respect from the lines maker. The addition of Banal and Co will take in effect in this game. They obviously don't have that much chemistry yet as seen in their last game. AU has won 2 in a row now and trend would say they'd lose this next one. As long as they keep on draining their FTs they are good for the cover.

SBC line is off last season's. They have less potent offense and isn't as unforgiving. Letran has matured as a team and I feel that we can see a line lower than what I posted. Letran obviously is looking ahead to playing the defending champs and will have the same intensity as they did in their opener. I say this line will be pretty much up there with only the "masa" siding the defending champs thinking this line is pretty short.

Projected Line for July 21, 2012 (Saturday):
UAAP Season 75
2pm Game: UE+11.5 v ADU-12.5
4pm Game: UP+9.5 v UST-10.5

MWS LINE:
2pm Game: UE+11.5 v ADU-12.5
4pm Game: UP+7.5 v UST-8.5

If Sumang can get as much support on both ends of the floor from his team mates, this line is very cover-able. Red Warriors have a number of mental lapses and has looked to have given up on possessions and this is where the Falcons will hammer them. AdU had a good first half against the Eagles only to yield in frustration later. They are as steady as last season and can pounce on the Warriors' mistakes. They've destroyed the Warriors by an average of 25 last season and will probably do so again unless the Warriors play less 1 on 1 and move the ball like they did in some parts against DLSU.

The MWS line is two/three points lower of where it should be. Value is already there on a UST play with an average winning margin of 13 from last season. I'd be very careful wagering in this game as State U is depends so much on their outside shooting. If it starts to fall, even a win wouldn't be a dream for them. UST is a streaky team and will pretty much take advantage of the Maroon's spotty defense. If UST gets their transition game going this one's pretty much an easy cover.

Again, UAAP afternoon games for today, July 21, have been suspended. #UAAP75