@@@Bombs Away@@@

Have not been here, on this forum for years hard to believe so much time has gone by so quickly. After a spectacular run back than (above) which ended in a slump I think its time to start all over again. Had to take a break from betting it was just too much at some point, break which turned out to be years. Wasn’t betting a lot since than but I was hanging around, kept on looking for a better formula to crack the code of sports betting and well what can I say, here I’m again  but now more experienced, more excited and for sure much older.

Enough talking, lets get things going shall we?

Stats RESET.

New beginning…will be dropping “bombs”for the rest of the NBA season let’s see how it goes.

Who is still here ready for action???

Hornets-Cavaliers,

play Hornets +12

Daily recap:

Hornets 119-Cavaliers 111 (AOT)

(Cavaliers scoreless in OT, I mean big fat O points in 5 minutes)

YTD 1-0-0

——

I’m back, baby. Probably most of you youngsters on this forum have never seen this thread before, well do yourself a favour and spend 5 minutes to study it as this is just the beginning. 

Go to Streak Survivor Contest page:

NBA Results Log – Last 10 Plays

For transparency, here are my last 10 NBA picks, all posted pre-tip.

Record: 7–3 (70%)

Markets: Spreads & Totals only

Stake approach: Flat, single-leg plays

No parlays. No edits. No chasing.

Results:

• CHA +12 vs CLE (W)
• UTA / MEM Over 242.5 (W)
• NO +4.5 vs POR (W)
• SA / LAL Under 240.5 (L)
• MIA / ORL Under 235 (W)
• SA / NO Under 237.5 (L)
• PHI +4.5 vs LAL (W)
• GS +7.5 vs CLE (W)
• DAL +15 vs OKC (L)
• GS +4.5 vs PHI (W)

NBA is a high-variance market, so short runs don’t mean much by themselves. The process stays consistent:

• price > opinion
• numbers > narratives
• patience over volume

I’ll continue posting when the board shows real value, not just action for action’s sake.

@Sidewinder11

 GL sir.. can’t believe how low those totals were back in ‘16. I remember those days, but wow feels so long ago.. Thanks for adding to the forum, looks like you’re very knowledgeable. 

@Sidewinder11

 Any chance you could post earlier? What time are you posting?

NBA Model Update — No Qualified Plays Tonight

Quick transparency update for tonight’s NBA slate.

After running the full board through my model, none of the matchups met my minimum edge criteria. While there are games with movement and narrative appeal, pricing across the slate is efficient and the numbers don’t justify forced entries.

My approach is edge-driven, not action-driven:

• I only release plays when price + context + model alignment are present
• Passing on a slate is part of long-term discipline, not a negative outcome
• Avoiding marginal spots protects ROI just as much as winning bets

There will be nights where the best play is no play.

I’ll continue monitoring late movement and injury news, but as of now it’s a pass slate.

Back tomorrow when the market gives us something to attack.