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2016 NBA Playoffs Ratings & Revenues

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Posted: #501
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

To me this feels more like the Cavs/Raps series where GSW will go up 2-0 in convincing fashion and then Cavs will tie it up at 2-2 at home.

Some pretty damning trends going against the Cavs, though I don't know how to weight these correctly in the playoffs.

Cavaliers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NBA Championship games.

Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.

Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Warriors are 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.

Warriors are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 2 days rest.

Two trends that favor the Cavs:

Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Some very strong trends towards the under, two of which I'll bold.

Under is 74-32-3 in Cavaliers last 109 Sunday games.
Under is 11-5-1 in Warriors last 17 Sunday games.
Under is 21-8-1 in Warriors last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Only trend I could find that favors the over is:

Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

These might mean nothing to you but just throwing them out there 



You can throw out those stats out the window if the league already has Cavs win game 2 planned..
 
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Posted: #502
Never mind then  How do you explain the 10 more FT attempts the Cavs got in game 1 when the refs were 20-8 SU for the home team? It's purely coincidental but best of luck, your picks are very good.
 
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Posted: #503
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

Never mind then  How do you explain the 10 more FT attempts the Cavs got in game 1 when the refs were 20-8 SU for the home team? It's purely coincidental but best of luck, your picks are very good.


Try explaining my last 3 playoff record on winning plays based on ref stats. You couldn't because your mind is not open to the idea that the league may not be as straight up as you perceive it to be. I'm proving further how much this league is corrupt - i'm something like 10-0 basing plays on officiating (don't quote me though i gotta re check the record)


 
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Posted: #504
Cavs s 2.5 games is only -143 on five dimes if you use that book
 
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Posted: #505
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:



Try explaining my last 3 playoff record on winning plays based on ref stats. You couldn't because your mind is not open to the idea that the league may not be as straight up as you perceive it to be. I'm proving further how much this league is corrupt - i'm something like 10-0 basing plays on officiating (don't quote me though i gotta re check the record)



As I say it's pure coincidence that your plays go hand in hand with the ref stats. I.e all nearly the rational trends I just provided would have been relevant in game one two(supporting the Warriors and under strongly). The game had nothing to do with the refs. Cavs went to the line 10 more times but they sucked. I don't see how they go to the line 10 more times when the refs were meant to be favoring GSW. Again, pure coincidental.

I'm not open to the idea because it's absurd to thing they could keep a lid on such a massive fraud for so long lol. Especially when you take into account real cases of corruption(Tim Donaghy) where the beans were spilled and justice was served. 
 
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Posted: #506
looks like 3ballbombers play is Cavs +6.5


 
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Posted: #507
Scott Foster and Tony Brothers officiating tonight, go on then. What do your numbers say?
 
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Posted: #508
Scott Foster: 9-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 1-2 & Cavs 2-0 w/ Foster ref'ing.

Tony Brothers: 5-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 0-1 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Brothers ref'ing.

James Capers: 6-2 SU for the home team. GSW is 3-0 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Capers ref'ing.

Combined: 20-8 SU for home team. GSW 4-2 & Cavs 4-0


Refs combined record for the home team identical to the stats for home team in game 1. This is now a tough situation w/ a heavy lean on Cavs but officiating points to the opposite. Stats has been money so far and it would be dumb of me to go away from the strategy now. I've been emphasizing since after gm1 about public perception on how Cavs have no shot etc. etc. and to fade that common thought...........


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Posted: #509
Scott Foster, Tony Brothers, Capers are the 3. Enough said. Let's go Cavs lol
 
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Posted: #510
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:


As I say it's pure coincidence that your plays go hand in hand with the ref stats. I.e all nearly the rational trends I just provided would have been relevant in game one two(supporting the Warriors and under strongly). The game had nothing to do with the refs. Cavs went to the line 10 more times but they sucked. I don't see how they go to the line 10 more times when the refs were meant to be favoring GSW. Again, pure coincidental.

I'm not open to the idea because it's absurd to thing they could keep a lid on such a massive fraud for so long lol. Especially when you take into account real cases of corruption(Tim Donaghy) where the beans were spilled and justice was served. 


you keep bringing up game 1 but have failed to even address entire finals series for the last 3 seasons, let alone all the games in the conference finals this year! I suggest you read through my past threads. You'd be amazed what of some of the things you may read. But again, if your not willing to open your mind then i can't help ya.

I'm on a nice run here, how about you just sit back & watch this all unfold
 
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Posted: #511
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:



you keep bringing up game 1 but have failed to even address entire finals series for the last 3 seasons, let alone all the games in the conference finals this year! I suggest you read through my past threads. You'd be amazed what of some of the things you may read. But again, if your not willing to open your mind then i can't help ya.

I'm on a nice run here, how about you just sit back & watch this all unfold

It'd take a huge amount of effort and I'd likely see similar things, some games the home team get more calls, other times they don't. 

Also it's kinda ironic, Foster and Brothers are the most profitable road refs currently in the NBA(all time stats) https://account.sportsinsights.com/officials/nba 

Are there any refs with a favorable SU road record? It seems pretty logical to me that most refs are going to have favorable home records because home teams win more often than not. What are these refs ATS stats?

As I say I can't fault your record(apart from the doubling up on plays to pad your stats) My theory is that you know a lot about NBA and make your picks based upon intuition. Generally speaking, it is not that hard to pick playoff games when you have an abundance of knowledge on the sports you are betting.
 
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Posted: #512
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Scott Foster: 9-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 1-2 & Cavs 2-0 w/ Foster ref'ing.

Tony Brothers: 5-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 0-1 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Brothers ref'ing.

James Capers: 6-2 SU for the home team. GSW is 3-0 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Capers ref'ing.

Combined: 20-8 SU for home team. GSW 4-2 & Cavs 4-0


Refs combined record for the home team identical to the stats for home team in game 1. This is now a tough situation w/ a heavy lean on Cavs but officiating points to the opposite. Stats has been money so far and it would be dumb of me to go away from the strategy now. I've been emphasizing since after gm1 about public perception on how Cavs have no shot etc. etc. and to fade that common thought...........


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3BB What'syour final pick at gsw -6 vs cavs?



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Posted: #513
In the previous playoffs Foster favored Cavs, and he was road ref.
quote from 2015 3BallBomber thread: 
So after that game 2 Cavs/GSW game......Foster reffing Lebron is now 17-6 since 2006. Lebron is  3-0 so far this playoffs w/ Foster.  Foster is 11-1 in favor of the ROAD team these playoffs.
Foster was reffering game 2 in 2015 and Cavs won that game. History repeats?
 
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Posted: #514

with you here bomber... you're a pimp...what a run and people still just keep banging their head against the wall...

stats, trends, stats, trends repeat

heres a stat- home boy bomber is winning a sh.it ton of games...study that trend

 

 
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Posted: #515

with you here bomber... you're a pimp...what a run and people still just keep banging their head against the wall...

stats, trends, stats, trends repeat

heres a stat- home boy bomber is winning a sh.it ton of games...study that trend

 

 
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Posted: #516
Quote Originally Posted by scottdawg:

with you here bomber... you're a pimp...what a run and people still just keep banging their head against the wall...

stats, trends, stats, trends repeat

heres a stat- home boy bomber is winning a sh.it ton of games...study that trend

 


 
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Posted: #517
3ballbomber is the hottest capper in the united states right now
 
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Posted: #518
Scott Foster scares the hell out of me. He hates the Warriors.
There is also a difference between a fix and being partial, but either way it affects the game.
GL guys, it is a shame you have to figure out the dirty angles of the game.


 
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Posted: #519

bomb.... a lot of chatter about foster going around....

 

League might cover there behind with a gsw win..

still LOVE clev +6 but not so sure about the ML

 
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Posted: #520
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Scott Foster: 9-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 1-2 & Cavs 2-0 w/ Foster ref'ing.Tony Brothers: 5-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 0-1 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Brothers ref'ing.James Capers: 6-2 SU for the home team. GSW is 3-0 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Capers ref'ing.Combined: 20-8 SU for home team. GSW 4-2 & Cavs 4-0Refs combined record for the home team identical to the stats for home team in game 1. This is now a tough situation w/ a heavy lean on Cavs but officiating points to the opposite. Stats has been money so far and it would be dumb of me to go away from the strategy now. I've been emphasizing since after gm1 about public perception on how Cavs have no shot etc. etc. and to fade that common thought..................................



Let us know when you solidify your picks! Thanks again, been tailing you playoff's. keep it up. im a die hard gsw fan but ... i follow where the money goes! you should definitely have some sorts of tips/donations page set up lol. id figured since im winning so much off of you, might as well share it with the man himself right? haha im sure others feel the same way too. just wanna give credit where its due.

-bystander
 
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Posted: #521
I'm confused. 25m until tip. Did he post a play? Seems like he was on cavs then contradicted himself when refs were announced so what way do we go!?!?
 
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Posted: #522
Bombers no fool. I anticipate him taking cle +6 and staying away from the clev ml in case they keep Foster on a leash before this sh.it gets blown up publicly lol
 
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Posted: #523
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Scott Foster: 9-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 1-2 & Cavs 2-0 w/ Foster ref'ing.

Tony Brothers: 5-3 SU for the home team. GSW is 0-1 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Brothers ref'ing.

James Capers: 6-2 SU for the home team. GSW is 3-0 & Cavs 1-0 w/ Capers ref'ing.

Combined: 20-8 SU for home team. GSW 4-2 & Cavs 4-0


Refs combined record for the home team identical to the stats for home team in game 1. This is now a tough situation w/ a heavy lean on Cavs but officiating points to the opposite. Stats has been money so far and it would be dumb of me to go away from the strategy now. I've been emphasizing since after gm1 about public perception on how Cavs have no shot etc. etc. and to fade that common thought...........



Play:

GSW -5.5


I can't go away from what's been successful. I continue to trust the process. If i'm wrong so be it......we re-evaluate for the next game. Gm1 was just too easy, surely it can't be this easy again simply taking Cavs in a bounce back where Lebron is like 9-0 in gm2's after losing gm1 and Foster sent in to ref, who Lebron has a positive record with. Could it be that simple to take the Cavs? i certainly did prior to ref assignment release.

Tread carefully if blindly tailing. Go w/ your gut. In no way am i confident w/ this play as i'm going against my own instincts - yet again i've done that many times and have won the play.

Good Luck all

 
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Posted: #524
Oh wow
 
 
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Posted: #525
Oh no. I don't like this at all because of how much of a pimp you have been so far. I'm already locked in! I thought we were on the same side for sure now I'm kicking myself in the behind lol.

Best of luck man!

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