Posted:
#101
What are your lines for tonight game claw?
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2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................
Posted:
#104
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
MY LINES...................................................
MY LINES...................................................
Raptors -6.19 over Pacers
Hawks -5.71 over Celtics
Hawks line up -7 gives us a 1 pt diff on Celtics, have another indicator on Celtics as well but have an indicator on Hawks to, will look into a few things .
May have a play on a total tonight, will post later if I do.
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Posted:
#118
Boy oh boy the Heat let us down big time past 2 games.
Just dreadful............................
One thing we learned over the years.............stay the coarse with the info.....................
MY LINES ................................
Celtics -2.29
However in a closeout game we don't use my lines.
The stronger much better teams will back the 1st closeout chance.
Are the Hawks a much better stronger team ? Well, according to shooting effiency stats the Hawks are playing in that area on a championship level and much better then the Celtics, so we ride the Hawks tonight with a small line if they win SU almost certainly they cover.
Hawks -2 (-118) over Celtics --- 3.54 units to win 3 units
Hawks -1 1st half --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
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Posted:
#120
0-1, lost 11 units on the Heat
2-0, won 5 units on Hawks
Playoffs to Date ---
game ---12-6 ATS, lost .22 units
1st half --- 1-0 ATS won 2 units
totals --- 0-3, lost 8 units
leans 7-1
Losing the 2 bib plays on the Heat really cost us, 12-6 yet we lost .22 units.
It can work the other way as well, we could be around .500 but have won 2 big plays and have a nice units won to show.
We stay the coarse with the info.
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Posted:
#121
MY LINES.....................................
Pacers -1.81
Hornets -2.68
Portland -.74
Clippers with big time injuries so my lines of no use there. We pass .
Closeout game for Raptors and Hornets.
The way the series has played out in Raptors/Pacers indicates Raptors will likely win the series, we back the stronger, much better team, in this series we do not have such a team.
This is the closest matchup according to the key stat battles and Pacers actually better then Raptors in the FG% differential stat, a very important indicator.
In these situations is a bit more likely to go 7 games, I'll pass on the game but would .................................lean Pacers.
The way Heat/Hornets series played-out was indicating Heat to win series, they took a 2-0 series lead and 84% that team will win series, but now with Hornets taking a 3-2 series lead the %'s shift to Hornets.
However, with the Heat being the better team, when teams come back trailing late in a series it's almost always the better team, they can and often do come back to win the series.
We stay the coarse backing the largest mismatch team in the Heat, but because the %'s based on how series has played-out do favor the Hornets now, we lower our play to a 3 unit play.
Will wait out the line and try and get +2 with Heat.
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Posted:
#123
Quote Originally Posted by thelaw88:
Idk man I trust your lines they've been accurate
Idk man I trust your lines they've been accurate
To this point they have been very good, but there are spots where my lines don't work well and one such spot is closeout games for the stronger teams since the line gets jacked-up by the book and my line does not, we could give as much as 4 additional pts to a stronger team in a closeout situation but even then it works better to just back the stronger team depending how they come into the closeout game.
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