Posted:
#151
Hawks +8 (-118) over Cavs --- 3.5 units to win 3 units
Lean Hawks ML +335
Lean Hawks ML 1st half +220
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2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................
Posted:
#160
Very nice night, more surprises to come, we have a shocker going down tonight.................................
2-1 ATS, won 5.5 units
2-0 ML , won 6.58 units
Leans 0-2 ML
Playoffs To Date.....................................
game --- 15-7 ATS, won 8.28 units
game ML --- 2-0 , won 6.58 units
1st half --- 2-0 ATS, won 5 units
1st half ML --- 1-0 , won 2 units
totals --- 0-3, lost 8 units
leans --- 9-1
leans ML --- 1-2
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Posted:
#161
MY LINES..................................
Raptors -4.71 over Heat
Warriors -14.56 over Blazers
VALUE MISMATCH........................
Heat +1.62
Raptors -.52
Heat by 2.14
This info tells us which team play on the court is better then their pt margin, in other words the Heat are much better then they look while Raptors are not as good as they look.
The ave of all 5 key stat battles favors the Heat, the info suggest the Heat should get a split here in Toronto,
It's about 50-50 if it'll be game 1 or game 2. Similar situation to Hawks.
We play 2 units on the Heat game 1. Will wait out the line and try to get 5.
I may not be home by game time so that's the play.
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Posted:
#162
BOUNCE FACTOR FADE..........................
This is our first bounce factor fade of the playoffs. This tells us when teams are playing on unsustainable levels of play.
We fade the Warriors tonight.
Blazers +10 (-105) over Warriors --- 3.15 units to win 3 units
Blazers ML +468 --- 1 unit to win 4.68 units
Blazers 1st half +6.5 --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
Blazers ML +305 1st half --- 1 unit to win 3.05 units
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Posted:
#165
Boy oh boy that was brutal , Blazers led almost the entire game and Warriors need to win the 4th by 22 pts for us to lose ATS and they just did it by exactly 22.
I did not see the end of game on who scored last but did see with less than a minute Warriors up by 7.
But hey we still came-out a winner on the night winning 5.05 units on Blazers 1st half and 2 units on Heat, losing 4.15 on Blazers collapse.
2-1, won .85 units
1-1 ML, won 2.05 unit
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Posted:
#173
Cavs ended the game shooting 55.6% to Hawks 40.7% on 3's, they went from outshooting the Hawks by 49% in the 1st half all the way down to just 15% by games end, a diff of 34%.
And we score on the 2cd half.
1-1, lost .3 units
leans ML, 0-2
Same ole Hawks at least to this point, they did have a great chance in game 1 but could not close out the game when the going got tough.
Cavs now off 2 ATS wins and a 25 pt blowout win, game 3 a great spot to back Hawks, especially true if my lines takes Hawks which it will.
Teams trailing 0-2 get 4 additional desperation pts.
Hawks -6.06
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Posted:
#174
MY LINES .....................................
Raptors -4.71 over Heat game 2.
We need the line to hit -3.5 to take the Raptors or -6 to take the Heat.
Heat a largest mismatch team this round, we blindly back them every game or pick and choose our spots. Heat are off 3 ATS wins and a 33 pt blowout win, not a good spot to back the Heat.
Would Lean Raptors as of now.
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