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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................

    «First Previous 456 ... 181920 Next Last»
    theclaw
    jpot34
    bombelito
    monstergrit
    PNE168
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 72786
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    «First Previous 456 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2016 - 10:31 PM ET #76

    Blazers +1.5 over Clippers --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
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    Blazers +1.5 over Clippers --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 1:54 AM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    2-0 , won 4 units

    I layed out how to play the 2 games, if Pacers were -.5 or less in closing line then a 3 unit play on Pacers, if line goes to Pacers +2 then a 5 unit play on Pacers.

    We take the Hornets for 1 unit unless line drops then we take Hornets for 2 units.

    Tommorrow I will be at work again, I will lay out how to play the games before I leave.

    You can also check the NBA Contest on the site, my picks will be in there, only diff is the best bet in contest is 5 units, my best bets are 10 units, so I cut the units in half for the contest.

    In other words if I make a 2 unit play in contest, it's a 4 unit play






    Great job, Claw!!!!!   
    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    2-0 , won 4 units

    I layed out how to play the 2 games, if Pacers were -.5 or less in closing line then a 3 unit play on Pacers, if line goes to Pacers +2 then a 5 unit play on Pacers.

    We take the Hornets for 1 unit unless line drops then we take Hornets for 2 units.

    Tommorrow I will be at work again, I will lay out how to play the games before I leave.

    You can also check the NBA Contest on the site, my picks will be in there, only diff is the best bet in contest is 5 units, my best bets are 10 units, so I cut the units in half for the contest.

    In other words if I make a 2 unit play in contest, it's a 4 unit play






    Great job, Claw!!!!!   
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 8:25 AM ET #78

    Nice day yesterday.........3-0 ATS won 6 units

    Playoffs to Date ...............9-3 ATS, won 13.75 units
    Totals ...............................0-1, lost 1.1 units
    Leans................................4-1


    Was pretty confident we'd end with winning record yesterday, lines seemed way off based on 1st 2 games.

    Today I don't see the big advantages of yesterday.

    Will be at work today so here's how we play things.



    MY LINES..........................................game 4's

    Series at 2-1 we give 4 pts to home team. Series at 3-0 we don't use my lines as much, stronger powerhouse teams will get the closeout on the first try most of the time.

    Spurs -10.39
    Warriors -8.06
    Celtics -2.29
    Cavs -2.35


    Spurs in a closeout game will highly likely get it done SU, but it's alot of pts to cover and the public pushing the line higher.

    Spurs a largest mismatch team , but we'll pick our spots on those teams as we've been doing and pass on this game instead of blindly taking those teams.

    Would lean Spurs , teams with all these injuries will catchup to them much like the Mavs last night.


    Warrior/Rockets game we need Rockets +9.5 or higher spread to have on play on the Rockets for 2 units.

    Should be home by the Celtics/Hawks game, but we have a play if Celtics -1 or smaller line for 3 units.




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    Nice day yesterday.........3-0 ATS won 6 units

    Playoffs to Date ...............9-3 ATS, won 13.75 units
    Totals ...............................0-1, lost 1.1 units
    Leans................................4-1


    Was pretty confident we'd end with winning record yesterday, lines seemed way off based on 1st 2 games.

    Today I don't see the big advantages of yesterday.

    Will be at work today so here's how we play things.



    MY LINES..........................................game 4's

    Series at 2-1 we give 4 pts to home team. Series at 3-0 we don't use my lines as much, stronger powerhouse teams will get the closeout on the first try most of the time.

    Spurs -10.39
    Warriors -8.06
    Celtics -2.29
    Cavs -2.35


    Spurs in a closeout game will highly likely get it done SU, but it's alot of pts to cover and the public pushing the line higher.

    Spurs a largest mismatch team , but we'll pick our spots on those teams as we've been doing and pass on this game instead of blindly taking those teams.

    Would lean Spurs , teams with all these injuries will catchup to them much like the Mavs last night.


    Warrior/Rockets game we need Rockets +9.5 or higher spread to have on play on the Rockets for 2 units.

    Should be home by the Celtics/Hawks game, but we have a play if Celtics -1 or smaller line for 3 units.




     
    bombelito
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 9:33 AM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Blazers +1.5 over Clippers --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

    Nice pick there, I went for Portland -3,5 + OKC ML   so good man
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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Blazers +1.5 over Clippers --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

    Nice pick there, I went for Portland -3,5 + OKC ML   so good man
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 8:36 PM ET #80

    Will pass on Cavs/Pistons game 4.
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    Will pass on Cavs/Pistons game 4.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 8:39 PM ET #81

    Well, we ended with 1 play on Celtics with the line closing at Celtics +1, game in OT now.

    Warriors line closed at -8.5 so no play as we needed -9.5.

    And we did hit our lean on Spurs............5-1 now with leans.
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    Well, we ended with 1 play on Celtics with the line closing at Celtics +1, game in OT now.

    Warriors line closed at -8.5 so no play as we needed -9.5.

    And we did hit our lean on Spurs............5-1 now with leans.
     
    monstergrit
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 9:37 PM ET #82

    claw
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    claw
     
    PNE168
    PNE168
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2016 - 9:48 PM ET #83

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    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 7:51 AM ET #84

    1-0 ATS, won 3 units
    Leans 1-0


    Playoffs to Date --- 10-3 ATS, won 16.75 units
    Totals --- 0-1, lost 1.1 units
    Leans 5-1 



    MY LINES ..................................................

    Hornets -2.68 over Heat
    OKC -12.16 over Mavs
    Blazers -.74 over Clippers


    Will be back before game time with the plays.

    I should be home by at least 6:30 eastern time, possibly before.

    We'll be on Heat and over,and Blazers.

    OKC in a closeout game but off a 29 pt blowout win then cover, not a good spot to back OKC, will pass on the game, may lean Mavs if line stays -14 or higher.
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    1-0 ATS, won 3 units
    Leans 1-0


    Playoffs to Date --- 10-3 ATS, won 16.75 units
    Totals --- 0-1, lost 1.1 units
    Leans 5-1 



    MY LINES ..................................................

    Hornets -2.68 over Heat
    OKC -12.16 over Mavs
    Blazers -.74 over Clippers


    Will be back before game time with the plays.

    I should be home by at least 6:30 eastern time, possibly before.

    We'll be on Heat and over,and Blazers.

    OKC in a closeout game but off a 29 pt blowout win then cover, not a good spot to back OKC, will pass on the game, may lean Mavs if line stays -14 or higher.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 7:57 AM ET #85

    Celtics game yesterday saw a huge line movement to Hawks, opening at Celtics -3 then closing at Celtics +1, a 4 pt movement.

    In a case like this would have upped my play a couple of units.


    The public %'s are still on a monster roll, going 3-1 ATS yesterday with the 2 largest % games of the playoffs both winning on Spurs and Warriors.

    This may be indication they have peaked.

    They are 23-7 ATS in the playoffs thus far. 

    We'd be opposite every game tonight at this point anyway.
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    Celtics game yesterday saw a huge line movement to Hawks, opening at Celtics -3 then closing at Celtics +1, a 4 pt movement.

    In a case like this would have upped my play a couple of units.


    The public %'s are still on a monster roll, going 3-1 ATS yesterday with the 2 largest % games of the playoffs both winning on Spurs and Warriors.

    This may be indication they have peaked.

    They are 23-7 ATS in the playoffs thus far. 

    We'd be opposite every game tonight at this point anyway.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 6:53 PM ET #86

    Heat +3 (-120) over Hornets --- 8.4 units to win 7 units

    Heat/Hornets over 194.5 --- 3.3 units to win 3 units
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    Heat +3 (-120) over Hornets --- 8.4 units to win 7 units

    Heat/Hornets over 194.5 --- 3.3 units to win 3 units
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 7:49 PM ET #87

    Would lean Mavs and the over
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    Would lean Mavs and the over
     
    ykim49
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 7:52 PM ET #88

    Thanks for insight
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    Thanks for insight
     
    pinballwizard
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 9:40 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Heat +3 (-120) over Hornets --- 8.4 units to win 7 units

    Heat/Hornets over 194.5 --- 3.3 units to win 3 units

    Ouch!!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Heat +3 (-120) over Hornets --- 8.4 units to win 7 units

    Heat/Hornets over 194.5 --- 3.3 units to win 3 units

    Ouch!!!!

     
    thelaw88
    thelaw88
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 9:48 PM ET #90

    didn't understand your play on miami +3? according to your system their was not a 1 point difference in the vegas line and the line your numbers gave

    explain?
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    didn't understand your play on miami +3? according to your system their was not a 1 point difference in the vegas line and the line your numbers gave

    explain?
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 10:16 PM ET #91

    Blazers +4 (-120) over Clippers --- 3.6 units to win 3 units
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    Blazers +4 (-120) over Clippers --- 3.6 units to win 3 units
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 10:18 PM ET #92

    Brutal 1 pt loss with the Heat. 

    Heat were a largest mismatch off a SU loss. Now off 2 SU losses.
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    Brutal 1 pt loss with the Heat. 

    Heat were a largest mismatch off a SU loss. Now off 2 SU losses.
     
    thelaw88
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 10:34 PM ET #93

    so the clippers of a SU loss is different?

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    so the clippers of a SU loss is different?

     
    thelaw88
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2016 - 11:47 PM ET #94

    Forgive me, just trying to better understand your system. Been following this thread all playoffs and am thoroughly impressed.
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    Forgive me, just trying to better understand your system. Been following this thread all playoffs and am thoroughly impressed.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 1:59 PM ET #95

    1-1 ATS , lost 5.4 units
    totals 0-1, lost 3.3 units
    leans 2-0



    PLAYOFFS to DATE --- 11-4 ATS, won 11.35 units
    TOTALS -----------------------0-2 ATS, lost 4.4 units
    LEANS-------------------------7-1 


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    1-1 ATS , lost 5.4 units
    totals 0-1, lost 3.3 units
    leans 2-0



    PLAYOFFS to DATE --- 11-4 ATS, won 11.35 units
    TOTALS -----------------------0-2 ATS, lost 4.4 units
    LEANS-------------------------7-1 


     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 2:09 PM ET #96

    MY LINES...................................................

    Raptors -6.19 over Pacers
    Hawks -5.71 over Celtics


    Hawks line up -7 gives us a 1 pt diff on Celtics, have another indicator on Celtics as well but have an indicator on Hawks to, will look into a few things .

    May have a play on a total tonight, will post later if I do.
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    MY LINES...................................................

    Raptors -6.19 over Pacers
    Hawks -5.71 over Celtics


    Hawks line up -7 gives us a 1 pt diff on Celtics, have another indicator on Celtics as well but have an indicator on Hawks to, will look into a few things .

    May have a play on a total tonight, will post later if I do.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 2:11 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by thelaw88:

    so the clippers of a SU loss is different?


    Heat are a largest mismatch team in the key stats, Clippers are not.

    Go back and read the first few post.
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    Quote Originally Posted by thelaw88:

    so the clippers of a SU loss is different?


    Heat are a largest mismatch team in the key stats, Clippers are not.

    Go back and read the first few post.
     
    georgie7
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 2:18 PM ET #98

    Should we take Miami now for the 5th game? Line is going down... And after 2 SU losses and largest mismatch team we should take them, am I wrong? Thanks
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    Should we take Miami now for the 5th game? Line is going down... And after 2 SU losses and largest mismatch team we should take them, am I wrong? Thanks
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 2:19 PM ET #99

    GAME 1....................Spurs VS OKC

    MY LINES....................

    Spurs -6.5..............looks like line opened 6.5, I'd lean Spurs at this time.
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    GAME 1....................Spurs VS OKC

    MY LINES....................

    Spurs -6.5..............looks like line opened 6.5, I'd lean Spurs at this time.
     
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2016 - 2:20 PM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by georgie7:

    Should we take Miami now for the 5th game? Line is going down... And after 2 SU losses and largest mismatch team we should take them, am I wrong? Thanks

    Yes
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    Quote Originally Posted by georgie7:

    Should we take Miami now for the 5th game? Line is going down... And after 2 SU losses and largest mismatch team we should take them, am I wrong? Thanks

    Yes
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