2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................

MY LINES................................................

teams down 0-2 get 4 additional desperation pts.

Raptors -6.64 over Cavs

Teams down 0-2 and picked  by my lines are 8-2 ATS (80%).

We did lose game 2 on Raptors of a SU and ATS loss and trailing in the series.

What we learned over the years is....stay the coarse with the info.

We will hit some rough spots here and there but if we stay the coarse another good run will come our way and things will workout in the end.

We ride the Raptors again game 3. 

Lets wait-out the line, I do see a 6 out there, I can get 7 at -125 and may grab that soon.

Will lean the over and likely take some action at some point. 

Some times we need to stand like a rock on a island staying strong with the info that is against all others ways of thinking.

Raptors 1st half +2.5 (-105) --- 3.15 to win 3 units

Raptors ML +240 --- 1 unit to win 2.4 units

Raptors ML 1st half +140 --- 1 unit to win 1.4 units

Raptors/Cavs --- OVER 199 (-120) --- 4.8 units to win 4 units

 1st half OVER 101 (-118)  --- 2.36 units to win 2 units 

2-0 ML, won 3.8 units

totals - 1-1, lost 2.8 units

And that's why we ...stay the coarse with the info.

Cavs don't look so great when their shots stop going in. Love and Irving combined for 4 of 28 or 14%. They shot a dreadful 35% on the game as a team.

Of coarse they look unbeatable when they make shots way better then their abilities.

That'd be 2.2% below their regular season ave of 36.3% They could not sustain their inflated 50.7% they shot VS Hawks.

LBJ has been dreadfully bad shooting just 12.5% on 3's. This season he has been one of the worst 3 pt shooters in the league and even one of the worst in history with so many atts.

Yet despite this he keeps clanking them up and does not seem to figure out he is hurting the team, hey when they are winning it all seems good.

LBJ shot 21.1% VS Pistons, then 42.1% VS Hawks and now well below his regular season ave of 30.9% VS Raptors shooting a pathetic 12.5%.

So he had a moment, of shooting 3's well so he likely reasons just maybe he'll have another moment.

LBJ shooting just 28.3% from 3's in the playoffs, below his regular season pathetic 3 pt shooting % of 30.9%.

But hey he had a moment of 42.1% so let's keep clanking up more 3's in hopes for another moment.

When your winning and 10-0 those pathetic shooting % are ignored.

This team is heading for a beat-down by the West team.

OKC -.84 over Warriors

game 3's with the series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines. We back the team to win the series ...if... we have strong info they will.

Here, Warriors much better in PR I but OKC  slightly better in PR II, we can not count out OKC from winning this series.

We pass on the game but lean Warriors.

If Warriors win that's set-up a great spot  on OKC in game 4.

Lean Warriors

Lean OVER

May take some action on the over.

1st half - OVER 110 (-118) --- 2.36 units to win 2 units

Lean Warriors -3

A big step for them to grab the series lead VS a great team.

If they do we pass on game 4, if they do not we ride the Thunder game 4. 

We could get some great spots coming depending what happens tonight.

Yes, sorry about that, was in a hurry and tried posting quick because getting late just before start of game.

leans 0-1 

Raptors -2.64 over Cavs game 4.

We ride the Raptors again in game 4. Will not play the ML, could see either team winning SU, we should be able to get at least  1 more cover with Raptors in the next 2 games.

Did see a couple of 6.5 out there, seems the line wants to go up so we wait it out, but as can happen late money may be doing the same ready to back Raptors on any move up.

Thunder put there size and length on display completely dominating the Warriors inside.

Curry and Thompson went just 5 of 19 from 3 pt land, not likely we see that again game 4, and OKC shot a bit better overall then their regular season ave, but not that great on 3's.

The team leading 2-1 goes on to win the series a fairly high %, something like 70-75% of the time, but when the better team in at least one of my PR's is trailing they can come back from that 2-1 deficit.

All the Warriors need is a split in games 3 and 4 to gain back home court, it does not matter which game they win or by how much they lose a game.

This is the type of series where the losing team may be the play in the next game ATS, being much more evenly matched.

OKC really needs to hold home court and win game 4, if they do we ride Warriors game 5.

If they don't game 5 becomes very interesting to see if OKC can win again in GS.

Raptors 1st half +3 (-115) ---  1.15 units to win 1 unit

Raptors -2.64 over Cavs 

Cavs don't look so good now that their shots stopped going in.

 Any team shoots over 50% from 3 pt land while taking a good number of 3's will look very good, unbeatable, that is not the question, your asking the wrong question, of coarse they'll look unbeatable.

The right question is, is it sustainable ?

We found out the past 2 games.

The very best 3 pt shooting teams in history can not sustain such shooting over long periods of games, but now this ave 3 pt shooting  Cavs team will ?

LBJ is one of the worst 3 pt shooters in the league this season. That does not stop him from jacking up 3's even though he hurts the team with them.

LBJ, Love, Irving and JR Smith shot something like 9 of 29 on 3's, can not sustain such torrid rate of 3's, they are now returning to their ave by shooting below them. 

Cavs not as good as they look, not in the class of teams in the West, we'll see the line in game 5 might lean Raptors if the line gets jack-up in anticipation that Cavs returning home will shoot lights out again and the public biting and driving it higher.

OKC -.84 over Warriors game 4

My lines favor OKC tonight.

Historically teams up 2-1 go on to win series at a good rate, which favors OKC, as OKC needs to hold home court to win series as the road team.

Historically teams better in a PR as Warriors are in PR Ido come back down 2-1 , Warriors just need a split in games 3 and 4 to get home court back.

Will pass on the game and look for better spots down the road.

No plays on the total.

Cavs -5.36 over Rators

Raptors off 2 SU and ATS wins, not the best of spots but Cavs off 2 home wins and covers.

When home team in series is 2-0 ATS at home going into game 5 and my lines fade them  seems to be a great spot with a higher probability of a win for my lines.

We ride the Raptors tonight but will wait out the line, will be a small 2 unit play.