2016 NBA PLAYOFFS ................................................

Raptors +8 (-125) 1st half --- 1.25 units to win 1 unit

Raptors/Cavs - OVER 197 (-101) --- 2.02 units to win 2 units

OVER 101 (-108) 1st half --- 1.08 units to win 1 unit 

totals 0-2 , lost 3.1 units

Cavs made their shots again, shooting 57% from the field, you won't lose to often when you do that.

But again, it's not sustainable.

Cavs may wrap it up game 6, if it goes 7 would back Raptors again as Cavs not likely to sustain such shooting at home.

If Cavs do win game 6 and cover which is very possible that sets us up on the West winner even better with Cavs coming off a 39 pt blowout win and then a cover heading into game 1 of finals, great spot to back the West team.

Warriors -7.16 over Thunder game 5

Line at 7.5 now, no play off my lines at this time.

Thunder needed to come from behind in Spurs series and then as the road team in series VS Warriors get a split in games 1 and 2 then hold home court in games 3 and 4.

 To do this takes tremendous, focus, energy and effort and now the Thunder reach a point where all their hard work pays off, they are in the perfect situation a  team could ask to be in and will more then likely breath a sigh of relief happy and satisfied to be in this spot.

While the Warriors back's are against the wall, they will come out with tremendous focus, energy and effort tonight that OKC will  likely not match.

We ride the big Warriors machine tonight.

Warriors -5 (-125)  1st half --- 2.5 units to win 2 units

Lean - OVER 

Lean Warriors team total - OVER

We'll see if public drives it down a bit more.,

Warriors 1st half OVER 112 --- 1.1 units

Warriors team total OVER 113 (-118) --- 2.38 UNITS to win 2 units

Warriors team total 1st half OVER 58 (-123) --- 1.23 units to win 1 unit

Hope it works-out for you, we should be in pretty good shape.........

6 of 12 for 50% to Warriors 4 of 13, Klay and Curry 2 of 9, and we almost got the over.

Seems these 2 should explode at some point in the 2cd half, we should be in real good shape at this time.

Very confident we can sweep the 3 game plays...............................

totals 2-2, won 1.67 units

Raptors -2.64 over Cavs

Close-out game for Cavs, we do not use my lines in close-out games.

Instead, we back the team going for a close-out win if the info points to a strong team , much better than opp.

Cavs better by 1.36 in PR I and 1.17 in PR II.

FG% diff, Cavs better by .5

Shooting efficiency when we factor in 2 pt, 3 pt, FT, TO Cavs better by .52

Cavs the better team but not really by a big diff, somewhat borderline to backing them here, will pass on the game. Let's remain patient and find better spots down the road, they will come along we just need to wait it out and find them.

We should of read......

2-0 ATS won 7 units

totals 2-1-1 , won 2.9 units

OKC -.84 over Warriors 

close-out game for OKC, we do not use my lines.

Historically when the road team wins the series they do it in game 6 coming in just like what OKC has done.

This points to OKC winning tonight.

However, when the better team is down in a series even down 3-1 they have many times come-back and forced a game 7.

We also have a large line adjustment in this game with the book jacking-up the line to favor OKC. Line opened Warriors -2.5 in OKC's 1st home game of the series in game 3, then off 2 big blowouts now the line gets jacked-up to OKC -2 then the public buys in and drives it up to 2.5.

 Your now getting 5 additional points on Warriors in this game.

Buy low, sell high.

By backing OKC you are buying 5 points higher and by backing Warriors you are buying 5 pts lower.

When you see a line get jack-up like this almost always take the value in points as it indicates the book is anticipating the public to over-react to the past 2 games at OKC and sure enough the public did and drove the line higher.

This all tells us a story, it tells us the generally feeling amoungst many people is OKC is a lock to win tonight , and looking around the site you find this same generally feeling amoungst many here, this is indicative that OKC may have peaked and has nowhere to go but down.

They are playing on such a high level that people begin to feel they can not lose, this is more indicative of a peak then anything else.

Durant and Westbrook laughing at Curry's defense is another indication the team is so cocky now they have peaked , it's not sustainable.

When we see the comments of Curry, Ker and other Warriors they are showing altimate respect to their opp this is indicative that they will bring their biggest, best game all season into game 6 where OKC may think this is an easy win because they are playing on such a high level they can not lose especially because Curry can not defend them.

We pass on this game but I would not count Warriors out in this game and would not be surprised if Warriors roll OKC tonight. 

We give each team about a 50-50 shot to win SU, don't really see an egde here, let's wait it out for game 7 or game 1 of finals.

Lean Warriors

Wait-out the line, if it continues to rise we take small action on Warriors.

Curry and Klay finally hit their 3's which was only a matter of time before such great 3 pt shooters would.

While Durant and Westbrook combined to go 1 of 13 and something like 20 of 58 overall.

Westbrook is one of the worst 3 pt shooters in league history, do not be surprised when he shoots terrible.

It never stops him from throwing up those 3 pt shots.

And he is not a very good 2 pt shooter either, should never come as any surprise when he shoots poorly.

Curry and Klay are 2 of the best 3 pt shooters in history, it'd be a bigger surprise if they did not shoot well.

Warriors -7.16 over Thunder game 7

It's very common when great 3 pt shooters struggle over a period of games to explode when they finally find their shots and then shot well over their averages in the next few games.

Happened in game 6 with Curry and Klay combining for almost 55%, well over their ave.

Very possible Warriors put on an historical shooting performance in game 7.

Warriors -7.16 over OKC game 7

Historically teams up 3-1 go on to win the series a very high % of the time, I would not count out OKC winning game 7 SU.

However, the home team wins game 7 also a very high % of the time, favors Warriors.

I don't see any advantage with either team at this time, unless we see a huge line movement giving us big value on the line with 1 team, it looks close to 50-50 either team could win this game.

We will have far better spots down the road then taking a chance with these teams with this line.

There is a large line adjustment on the under with the opening number in game 1 at GS 223 and now we have 5 additional pts of value on the OVER at 218.

Lets wait-out the line and see if the public will drive the line lower and gives us more pts and we take some action on the OVER.

Will be back about 30 minutes before tip-off.