Pocono

What's up guys? My lines are up & I decided to jump on Jamie Mac. I brought this up in the other thread, but he's been a real threat to win over 5 times already this season. Last week was his 3rd 2nd place finish in the last 5 races, and he was also a factor in the All-Star race. He's been dominant on big speedways this year, and he's a much better flat-track driver than you would think. Unlike many others, who seem to always get in trouble or fade late, McMurray has a knack right now of making it to the front at the right time, and putting himself in position to win races. I got this at 25-1, and that's great value, imo.

I can wait to bet on Hamlin if need be. Even if he looks great in practice, we should still be able to get like 4-1.  I'll also be keeping my eye on Kurt Busch, Jeff Burton, & Kyle Busch. On a little hot streak...hit the last 4 points races, and should've had the all-star race too. Hoping I can keep it going this week. We'll see how practice goes, but for now this is all I played.

 

#1  Jamie McMurray  +2500  1 unit   

 

 GL this weekend

  hes also had 4 finishes of 30th or worse and a 29th @ atlanta..  best finish @ pocono is 9th (twice)   there is a reason he is part of the field this wk..   best of luck

So what if he's had some bad finishes stats? I'm not betting him to win the championship, I'm betting on him to win Pocono. The fact is, he's been at least 2nd in over 35% of the races this year. I also think this track suits his car & the way that he's been running. I know he had some top 15 finishes here last year as well, and he didn't run well last year, so those were pretty good runs for him. I can always count on you for the negativity stats. Then you'll tell me to take someone ridiculous like Mears who has absolutely no shot of winning anything.

 i dont care who u play..  just think jamie is a bad play @ pocono  fyi try 30%   not 35 dont try making urself look better then the stats prove...    what kind of track suits mcmurray???  because daytona and dega r nothing like pocono     darlington is a track like no other on the circuit   and char. is like atl. where he finished 29th...   best of luck this weekend make sure 2 play a couple of other drivers so u have a chance at winning

You're right. I stand corrected. For some reason, I thought he had 4 2nd's yday. Other than that, we'll see.  Time will tell if it's a bad pick. You're a class act stats. GL to you as well.  

Droc, don't waste the coin on Kyle this week either, he is absolutely terrible at this place.....He would probably tell you that himself. GL on whatever you end up playing

Look who started to figure it out today. McMurray had a nice couple practices. He's got some good mojo working, so maybe he can come through. This looks likes it's definately going to be between Jimmy & Denny, though, but there's a few other cars looking strong if they should somehow leave the door open. Burton & Bowyer really stood out to me, and I may play 1 or both of them. Gotta wait to see the new odds, but those are the other 4 I'm considering right now.

Good luck buddy Im gonna go with Hamlin to win and Kurt Busch top 3 jus waiting for the lines to come out

Montoya WILL be there tomorrow.  I know you are awaiting him to gain some mojo but don't wait on him.  BOL

 

Good luck Jeff! I'll definately have something on Hamlin with you. Just haven't decided exactly how much yet.

 

lol. sorry MillerLite. I know he's fast again, but until he puts a full race together, and closes the deal, he will not be getting any of my $. Besides, his price will not even come close to reflecting the true odds of him winning, imho. BOL to you though, and thanks for the thought!!  

What do you think of Kurt this weekend???

 

I like Kes tonight obviously im thinkin bout playing 250 on him from the 500 i hit off of the Bodine pick last night....

Do you think anyone hangs tough with Kes tonight?

 

I think Brad can definately win. No question, he's the class of the field, but I'm not so sure he will. I'd be more inclined to go with Trevor Bayne & Justin Allgaier tonight.  Unfortunately, I use a local & he doesn't have odds for Nationwide, so I haven't really played that series much this year.

I had my eye on Kurt in practice. I was thinking I was going to add Denny & Kurt. It's not that he looked that bad, but I just thought there's quite a few cars that look better that are also good here.

    probably a monday race noooo   only time will tell    good luck with mcmurray???   throw a sprinkle on the 14 and 39???     u can throw this play up in my face next wk but 20 to win 5k  on hornish ( value bet )      2 matchups    39 over 20     and   14  over  99.....        best of luck DRocNJ

 

Nooo. Say it ain't so. not another rainout. Oh, well. I just hope it's not shortened cause of rain. Hornish play is definately worth it. He ran great here last year, and with the rain, you never know. He may just have to be the best of the bunch willing to stay out. I decided I'm going with the 48 & 31, but best of luck!

Alright guys. Couldn't get myself to play the #11. I don't think it's a slam dunk for him today by any means, and I think the value is gone at 3-1.  Besides, I'm still pissed at him & would love to see him in the wall, so maybe Jimmy & Kyle still feel the same way and put him there.  The Childress cars all looked strong, and Burton was the best of the bunch. Wouldn't surprise me to see any 1 of them win, but I went with the 31. Even though we all hate the 48, he was 1st, 1st, & 2nd in 3 practices, and I'm not going to ignore that.  He definately doesn't want to keep hearing about his recent struggles.

 

Final Card:

 

#48  Jimmie Johnson  +600  1 unit 

#31  Jeff Burton  +1200  1 unit 

#1  Jamie McMurray  +2500  1 unit 

 

I like the Burton play.  He was fast all day.  Montoya going to be there as well. 

I really like that Burton play as Im lookin at putting a bet on either him or Kurt to finish top 3

I hope you are right about Jamie Mac...I got him at 28-1 as a field bet...cmon rain, produce any unlikely winner!

Only 10% chance of rain. nice. too bad I'm going to miss most of the race. Have to DVR it, and watch it later.

good luck DROC,

gl droc, jamie mac is 75-1 now, grabbed a little on him at that price.

Lol, Love Burton myself