Phoenix Race Discussion

No lines out yet, probably tonight or tomm. we should see something.

Think we see JJ as the opening fav, with Carl right there with him....Value wise, we should see a decent # on Newman.....

I will look to start some open parlays tonight to finish off with JJ and Carl for sure.

Looking at 

forgot hamlin and burton

early leans to the 99 and AJ. I'll put some $$ on AJ before practice as he Q's really well in Phoenix. If my read is good and AJ Q's really well, the early odds will be a fond memory. And, he's in Kurt's equipment which runs decent in the desert for what that's worth.

Newman is money here.

4 straight top 10's and a win I believe.

Like Smoke as well if we can get some value.

think kasey will have value here...

The jack rousch fords and denny hamlin would b my early favorites!

yo stats u stay for that whole race last nite, u close to that jpm explosion!

I'm thinking Early my top 3 in order would be 

I like denny psm, thought he had a shot at the 500, looked like he could do whatever he wanted out there! Yes jimmie should rebound this week, not real big on burton. I just got a gut feeling on jacks cars this week. Thought penske would b stronger but ill have to wait and see at upcoming tracks!

Kouz,

   yes stayed till end didn't get back 2 ocala till 3:45in the morn.        my seats were at the entrance of pit rd. but when that thing exploded good god sounded like an airplane crashing!!!!    

only 44 on the sprint cup entry list   i have a feeling there might b more start and parks then last yr...    the n.wide field is very strong this weekend..   just a few names i remember   kasey,kevin,kyle,denny,brad ,joey   lines shouldn't b that bad with all those names..       think my top3 this week r kahne,jimmy,and denny.   sleeper picks 4 me ryann and joey     think joey has 2 have a good yr.  and win a race or 2 or he could b in trouble...

Stats i can only imagine the traffic leaving the track, my daughters b-day is bristol weekend @ im trying to talk her into going, ill let u know if we get tickets! Psm i was gonna bet kyle @ biffle to win 2012 championship but damn sportsbook in vegas was closed that morning when i left vegas for my flight! probaly get some @ my book.

Stats  i can agree with u on lagano @ kahne a good pick this week also. Did the consessions sell out of beer last nite!

stats, that must have been a blast over there last night.....wish I went. If you got back at 3:45, I probably wouldn't have gotten back till 5 AM.....Agree with Logano, think he has a nice year and wins atleast 1 race and challeges for the chase....

Going to grab some high odd guys when the lines come out for sure, but going to want to watch practice and that too..

  all that was left late was budweiser and i am not a budweiser man...

I talked to my professional handicapper (my girlfriends Dad who raced sprint cars for 25 years...lol).  The guy turned a profit in 30 of the 36 races last year.

He loves newman and kahne.  The other guy to keep an eye on he said is Jeff Gordon.  Says the Hendrick boys are really going to be going for a win to get back after the disasterous finishes of last week.  Kyle Busch might be a guy to look at.  Toyota's looked strong, and Kyle might have some good matchups in some of the books.  Also, there was bad fog that put some of the teams and drivers a little behind getting out of Daytona and to Phoenix.  He said look for an edge on the teams that have been together for a while and know the setup on the car for that track.  Maybe look to fade against drivers on new teams.  Looking at going against Bowyer, Kurt Busch, and especially Logano if there are juicy matchups.  Of the guys on new teams, he likes Allmendinger to have a nice showing...dinger likes that track and is in the best equipment he's been in his entire career.

Jeff Burton had to be the most unlucky driver last year.  It seemed like every race he was in some kind of crash.  Who knows if the luck follows him this year, or if he shook the bug and has all the luck on his side this year.  Something to look at.

Sportsbook

 

Jimmie Johnson+700
Carl Edwards+700
Kyle Busch+700
Tony Stewart+700
Jeff Gordon+800
Kevin Harvick+1000
Kasey Kahne+1000
Denny Hamlin+1000
Matt Kenseth+1200
Brad Keselowski+1500
Greg Biffle+1800
Ryan Newman+2000
Dale Earnhardt Jr+2500
Clint Bowyer+3000
AJ Allmendinger+3000
Martin Truex Jr+3000
Mark Martin+4000
Jeff Burton+4000
Joey Logano+5000
Juan Pablo Montoya+5000
Jamie McMurray+5000
Kurt Busch+5000
Paul Menard+6000
Field (Any Other Driver)+6000
Marcos Ambrose+7500
Regan Smith+10000
Bobby Labonte+50000
David Ragan+50000

 

AJ, Joey, Montoya, newman and Burton will be early plays for sure.

JJ will be locked in too

wow Burton +4000 sign me up.

Quite shocked the odds in general are more in our favor.

Denny +1000 looks good even Biffle +1800 is value

DIMES

Sprint Cup   Subway Fresh Fit 500
Fri 3/2  2:30PM

Carl Edwards      +750
Jimmie Johnson      +850
Tony Stewart      +850
Kyle Busch      +850
Jeff Gordon      +1000
Kevin Harvick      +1050
Denny Hamlin      +1050
Kasey Kahne      +1100
Matt Kenseth      +1300
Brad Keselowski      +1600
Greg Biffle      +1900
Ryan Newman      +2200
Dale Earnhardt Jr      +2700
Jeff Burton      +3100
Clint Bowyer      +3300
Martin Truex Jr      +3300
AJ Allmendinger      +3300
Mark Martin      +4200
Joey Logano      +4200
Jamie McMurray      +4200
Kurt Busch      +4200
Juan Pablo Montoya      +5500

Race Matchups - Subway Fresh Fit 500 - Phoenix International Raceway - Avondale, AZ
Sunday, March 4th, 2:30 PM - Fox

Fri 3/2         8701 Jimmie Johnson #48         -120                  
2:30PM          8702 Tony Stewart #14          -110
                 
Fri 3/2         8703 Jeff Gordon #24         -120                  
2:30PM          8704 Kevin Harvick #29          -110
                 
Fri 3/2         8705 Carl Edwards #99         -115                  
2:30PM          8706 Kyle Busch #18          -115
                 
Fri 3/2         8707 Matt Kenseth #17         -115                  
2:30PM          8708 Brad Keselowski #2          -115
                 
Fri 3/2         8709 Greg Biffle #16         -120                  
2:30PM          8710 Ryan Newman #39          -110
                 
Fri 3/2         8711 Clint Bowyer #15         -125                  
2:30PM          8712 Martin Truex Jr #56      -105
                  
Fri 3/2         8713 Dale Earnhardt Jr #88     -115                  
2:30PM          8714 AJ Allmendinger #22      -115
                 
Fri 3/2         8715 Mark Martin #55         -120                  
2:30PM          8716 Juan Pablo Montoya #42     -110
                 
Fri 3/2         8717 Jeff Burton #31         -140                  
2:30PM          8718 Joey Logano #20          +110
                 
Fri 3/2         8719 Paul Menard #27         -125                  
2:30PM          8720 Marcos Ambrose #9          -105

locked in a few plays and 1 matchup