PHOENIX DISCUSSION

 

 

too bad it wasn't Daytona 490 but very impressed how he ran.

sorry to here dennis.. hope eveerything is okay 

Thanks PSM

"Matt Kenseth and his wife, Katie, welcomed their second daughter early Tuesday morning."

Don't drivers seem to have a really good history in the race immediately following having a baby?

SprintCup Motor Racing    Money Line    
Qualifying Matchups - Subway Fresh Fit 500 -
 
Fri 2/25  101 Kurt Busch (Qualifying)   -145         
2:30PM   102 Jamie McMurray (Qualifying)    +115
        
Fri 2/25  103 Jeff Gordon (Qualifying)   -145         
2:30PM   104 Kyle Busch (Qualifying)    +115 
       
Fri 2/25  105 Jimmie Johnson (Qualifying)   -130         
2:30PM   106 Denny Hamlin (Qualifying)    +100 
       
Fri 2/25  107 Ryan Newman (Qualifying)   -155         
2:30PM   108 Greg Biffle (Qualifying)    +125 
       
Fri 2/25  109 Clint Bowyer (Qualifying)   -150         
2:30PM   110 Matt Kenseth (Qualifying)    +120 
       
Fri 2/25  111 Kevin Harvick (Qualifying)   -145         
2:30PM   112 Jeff Burton (Qualifying)    +115
        
Fri 2/25  113 Kasey Kahne (Qualifying)   -155         
2:30PM   114 Brian Vickers (Qulifying)    +125
        
Fri 2/25  115 Joey Logano (Qualifying)   -125         
2:30PM   116 Martin Truex Jr (Qualifying)    -105 

 Lets not forget now, Qualifying will be on Sat. after the 2 friday practices......Q attempts go from slowest in practice to fastest in practice.....just like they did trucks at the end of the year.

I'm tailing on the Q plays.

Fix us up Shooter.

 

been in and out all day, will lock some in tonight if there are any worth playing.  

Couple Q plays I like:

Vickers over Khane in same cars  will take a chance

Logano over Truex

Kyle over Gordon Hard passing up Kyle at + money

This is also a track that weather really effects q-ing.  Clouds really impact this place. The q draw makes a huge difference so in theory underdogs should hold a small bit of value. 

lets be honest here, if your guy has the better practice speed, especially if he is at the top of the charts, chances are you will have a winner as they will be going out later than the slower practice times cars.

I love that they are qualifying that way

Locked In for Q

Biff over Newman +120   .25 unit

Kyle over Gordon +115   .25 unit

 

Locked in martin to win like everyone else also. will start a seperate thread today or tomm.

Biff has a better avg. start last 2 yrs over Newman by nearly 7 spots....not too mention he was right up there on the practice charts with newman last year too.

 

Kyle @ + money  is almost an auto play, plus he has out Q'd Gordon by nearly 4 positions the last 2 yrs.

Love em both.

 

Pretty pumped for this weekend, We should get an idea as to who has done the best work over the off season. I usually don't like making plays before any practice, but I agree with everyone 1 here on Martin. 22-1 is alot of value, another 1 I might bet before practice is Kurt, hes up to 20-1 at dimes see value in that also. As for qualifying, slight lean to Jeff and Jimmie, but may not play em. Want to play Harvick for nationwide, but I'll gamble and hope his odds don't down much after practice.

Martin's best track, it is a must play regradless if he hasn't won in over a year!!!

I am going to play this weekend:

Martin-Must play

J. Gordon-My thoughts at the beginning of this year were he was going to have a "Mark Martin Breakout" with Alan.  With Alan Mark dominated Phx with pole and win to start off the 5 win, 2nd place finish.  I think jeff's road starts right now

Kurt Busch-Addington and him are starting to really gel. Kurt loves Phx from his Southwest days

Logano-I know, like others it is a favorite driver play but he did have 2 top 10's here last year and this is his year.  At that price and he was fast in practice in race trim I will value bet

Q plays fellas:

Locked in Kyle +115 over Jeff the other day.

Now after happy hour we still have Kyle over Gordon up but at a -140. Thats a big swing in lines.  

Also hit JMac over Kurt +100

Risked $100 on each.

good luck tree 

a little FYI

 

Dimes

 

Kyle to win is +500   ........Kyle top 3 is +360

Carl to win is +525   ............Carl top 3 is +440

 

you can also get both of them to finish under 5th or 6th place at + money....

Unless he is playing opposum, the #5 looks off.  Gibbs, Rousch,  Penske, and suprisingly Red Bull look fast.

 

agreed willy 

 

those lines dropped pretty quickly, now down in the +200's for both of them

Fuck, I noticed that as well shooter but before I made my play on Busch it was gone. They must have read your post and it cost me.