Kansas Race Weekend Plays

Qualifying  Matchups

Reutti over Truex +100   .50 unit

Edwards over Biffle +120   .50 unit

Kyle over Gordon +150   .50 unit

Ragan over Menard -105    .50 unit

 

Love these plays, 2 of them I believe are line mistakes, other 2 are value plays. Reutii has out q'd Truex 2 out of 3 this yr on cookie cutters, while also out qing Truex last 2 at Kansas.

Ragan has 1 bad Q run this year (42) with a 1st and an 8th on cookies, but looking further into the numbers, Ragan had the 2nd fastest car that day during practice and simply spun out coming onto the backstretch, simply an unusual qualifying mistake. I know Menard has out Q'd Ragan last 2 races here, but think momemtum is on Davids side right now.

Edwards Q runs on cookies this year are 3rd, 2nd, and 3rd...and I am getting him at Plus odds, can't pass that up with the way he is running right now.

Kyle getting 1 1/2 to 1 odds on out Qing Jeff who he has 2 out of 3 this year, and coming off a bad Q run and bad race run....I will take those odds all day, way too much value to pass on.

Locked In Value Plays

 

Ragan @ +3800   .04 unit

Ambrose @ +5300   .04 unit

Reutti @ +6500   .04 unit

AJ @ +6500   .04 unit

GL Shooter

ADDED

 

Biff @ +975   .12 unit

Ragan @ +4100   .03 unit      (.07 units total)

best of luck     i think jimmy has some value this week @ 8-1  and should beat denny....

Field to win in Nationwide @ +550    .13 unit

 

Like Joey who is running the 20 car this week, last 3 races at Chicago have been won by a JGR car....maybe the 2nd week in a row we see the Field win a nationwide race.

 

DO NOT PLAY THIS

 

Gibbs pulled the 20 car from the field for this weekend, so you have no one running as the field that has any chance in the world to win this. Pissed about this, this line will go up alot more now. Only going to have a 42 car field also. 

Joe Gibbs Racing on Wednesday morning withdrew its No. 20 Toyota entry from Saturday's STP 300 at Chicagoland Speedway, despite that car's 15-point lead in the Nationwide Series owners' points.

 

 

FU Joe, you owe me .13 units 

Odd they pulled car out completely

 

exactly , makes no sense at all. I have to contact dimes back , trying to get it voided. They said they couldn't confirm it yet...I will let you know how I make out. It is bullshit if they don't, line will be 3 to 4 times those odds, only reason they were that low was because of Joey.

Have heard that Joey or Gibbs lacks the sponsorship. I find that hard to believe.

shooter, you have a ton of work on this weekends races . thanks for all you do here. your work is much appreciated. and as always gl.

 

    appreciate the kind words, had some extra time the last few weeks, so I have been putting a little more time into capping and it has been paying off thus far. GL this weekend.

Trucks

Bodine over Horny  +130   .50 unit

Sauter over Horny   +120   .50 unit

Whitt over Peters parlay with Chavez Jr.  +140   .50 unit



Bodine to win @ +850   .10 unit

Dillion to win @ +1100   .05 unit

Whitt to win @ +2200   .05 unit


gonna see about parlaying Kyle or Clint or both with some heavy chalk in Boxing, MMA and Baseball if it presents itself...Hope we see someone other than Clint or Kyle in V lane today, getting sick and tired of seeing Cup guys win in Trucks already. GL

GL Shooter

added

Kyle parlay with multiple chalk  .10 to win 1 unit

Clint parlay with multiple chalk  . 10 to win 1 unit

GL Buddy....Like that bodine matchup, my only one in the race. 2 and 18 should dominate here, my only concern here is getting caught up in lapped traffic, seems like alot of bad trucks out there.

split the Q matchups, picked up about .34 units on the matchups.

gl shooter

Nationwide Early Plays

Bayne @ +1600

Sadler @ +1800

Nationwide

Sadler over Almirola -110   1 unit

Reed over Almirola +100   1 unit


Sadler to win @ +1800   ..06 units

Bayne to win @ +1600   .06 units

Field to win @ +550   .13 units


Dimes wouldn't cancel out the Field bet, even though Joey was pulled from the race, bushleague if you ask me...only reason it was that low was because of him and the fact that JGR had won the last 3 races here. I hope someone in the Field wins just for the fact that they wouldn't void it, if it was a line mistake, you can bet your ass it would have been voided.

nice truck race        maybe steve wallace will win his 1st race ever for u

thanks stats, got a better chance of it snowing the race out tonight before Wallace ever wins a race.