Indy 500 Odds

I think Power shows up again this year, if you recall, last year he was one of the stronger cars till the end when he F'd up and wrecked the car.  Helio for the win looks like a good value play also.

 

The question is, how many cars actually have a shot at winning on Sunday?  I would guess maybe 5 or 6 tops....

thinking about locking Power and Heilo in tonight, still debating.  

can't argue against backing Penske, but it bares mentioning that Power has never won on an oval. I tend to agree with your guess as to how many actually have a shot at winning, naturally more with a screwed up pit/fuel strategy possibility. Another thing to consider when looking for matchups is that Franchitti has led 239 out of a possible 600 laps in the last three indy 500's. An even more impressive stat is that he has 60 top five finishes out of 105 career starts, along with 17 wins. We'll see what we got once they attach some numbers to these matchups. 

Match ups at the greek, captjohn,do you think Kanaan has value at +100 over Marco?


Helio Castroneves  -125      
Ryan Briscoe     +100     
 
Ryan Briscoe     -160     
Marco Andretti     +130
    
Danica Patrick     -120     
Marco Andretti     -105
    
Marco Andretti     -125      
Tony Kanaan     +100
    
 Tony Kanaan     +115     
 Danica Patrick     -140
    
 Ed Carpenter     -140     
 Vitor Meira         +115     
 
 John Andretti     -160     
 Bruno Junqueira  +130
    
 Thomas Sheckter    -180     
 John Andretti     +150     

 

Lugs, i certainly do, but prefer Danica @ -120 over Marco more. Danica is a much more consistent driver than Marco, and this is arguably her best track. (3rd + a 5th finish). Though one can argue it's not the wisest choice to play with turd matchups, it would be hard to argue taking john andretti (+150) vs scheckter (-180). Not only did he qualify better, but:

john: 1 top 10 in last 9 races and running at the end in 6 of the 9

sheckter: 3 top 10's in last 23 races and running at the end in only 13 of the 23

just seems like +150 is prolly worth a shot on this one....locked in on danica -120 vs marco for now...will try and dig depper this evening

one more thing...how do you think Bruno Junqueira feels today  

https://www.indycar.com/news/show/55-izod-indycar-series/43014-hunter-reay-replaces-junqueira-for-race/

What ya'll think about Danny at +1300

He won it in 05 and has finished 2nd  in 09 and 2nd in 010 I believe.

I'll prob be on him to win it although I agree its Penske's race to lose.

 

Can't wait for the best racing day of the year fellas!

  

IndyCar Motor Racing    Money Line    
Race Matchups - Indianapolis 500 - Indianapolis Motor Speedway - Speedway, IN - Sunday, 11:00 AM EST - ABC

Thu 5/26   9001 Scott Dixon   -125         
12:00PM    9002 Dario Franchitti    -105 
       
Thu 5/26   9003 Scott Dixon   -160         
12:00PM    9004 Will Power    +130 
       
Thu 5/26   9005 Dario Franchitti   -150         
12:00PM    9006 Will Power    +120
        
Thu 5/26   9007 Will Power   -125         
12:00PM    9008 Alex Tagliani    -105
        
Thu 5/26   9009 Alex Tagliani   -160         
12:00PM    9010 Oriol Servia    +130
         
Thu 5/26   9011 Oriol Servia   -130         
12:00PM    9012 Dan Wheldon    +100
        
Thu 5/26   9013 Dan Wheldon   -105         
12:00PM    9014 Helio Castroneves    -125
        
Thu 5/26   9015 Helio Castroneves   -130         
12:00PM    9016 Ryan Briscoe    +100
        
Thu 5/26   9017 Ryan Briscoe   -160         
12:00PM    9018 Marco Andretti    +130
        
Thu 5/26   9019 Danica Patrick   -125         
12:00PM    9020 Marco Andretti    -105
        
Thu 5/26   9021 Marco Andretti   -130         
12:00PM    9022 Tony Kanaan    +100
        
Thu 5/26   9023 Tony Kanaan   +115         
12:00PM    9024 Danica Patrick    -145  
      
Thu 5/26   9025 Ed Carpenter   -145         
12:00PM    9026 Vitor Meira    +115
        
Thu 5/26   9027 John Andretti   -160         
12:00PM    9028 Bruno Junqueira    +130 
       
Thu 5/26   9029 Tomas Scheckter   -180         
12:00PM    9030 John Andretti    +150 

Tree, solid crafty veteran that knows his way around this track.  Has been running at the end of 88% of his last 51 races in the past three years. Thinking out loud about him vs Tags (82% btw).  No juice play with 131 career starts vs 29 almost begs for attention from a numbers standpoint alone. Tags seemed to disappear last year and was sitting on a damn good car at that time as well. Seemed like he was Sunday driving when it got hairy. Forgot to mention that Wheldon also has five top 5's in eight career starts here.     

my apologies, got my wires crossed. Servia has seven top 5's in 25 career starts and finished running in 22 of them.(88%) Wheldon info is correct...my bad  

 vitor meira + 115 vs ed carpenter -145  historical/career breakdown:

vitor - top 5's , 23.7%                           eddie 4.8% 

          top 10's, 55%                                         27%

          running at finish 75.4%                          72.8%

history at indy only: vitor averages an 11.25 place finish and eddie a 14.28 finish, though eddie has finished much better the last two years.

Considering their qualifying efforts (vitor 11th, eddie 8th) and overall practice performances, i lean to a dog play here. 

 

danica -120 vs marco -105 historical/career breakdown:

danica- top 5's, 18.6%                           marco 26.7%

              top 10's, 53.9%                                     47.6%

              running at finish 88.2%                         69.7%

history at indy only: danica averages an 8.5 place finish and marco averages 12.4.....marco either runs very well here or shits the bed, while danica has finished 8th or better in 5 of her 6 career starts

danica qualified 25th and marco 27th...

               

jumped on 2 plays, meira over Carp and marco over Briscoe...both at plus money for 1/2 a unit each.

i'll be with you on meira  

Wow, what a finish....that was exciting at the end there. Great Indy 500 this year. love the double file restarts....Great Job IRL

 that was an awesome indy, no doubt

Tree  

race under review