Danica Patrick Prop - Need your insight

The Over / Under on finishing position is 17.5. 

Does anyone here think Danica will finish in 1st - 17th position?  I'm leaning on her finishing in 18th or worst

The reason I'm asking is my book is offering Danica higher then 17.5 position at  2.62 to 1

Also,

 

Only thing I see is the 2 prior weekend races with a lot of front runners not finishing after several green white checkers...could be the case today...go from 22 to 12 finishing position on final lap but pass no one  

Take higher I'd give her about 5% chance to stay in the top 17

I bet higher for $300 bucks.  Now its a waiting game to see if this race is postponed due to rain.  Thanks for your insight

She will not finish top 17

25.5 -145 OVER at 5Dimes. What book is offering that line? OVER is the play, with that much of a discrepancy I would say bet the FARM on principle but my head tells me to tread wisely.

bet the kids college fund on that play!!!!

Holy Shit ! I took the OVER 25.5 on 5Dimes....that line makes me nautious !

I don't know what the drivers are really thinking but Kyle Petty has made it clear that he is sick of hearing about her already. DW told her she is already the face of NASCAR and hasn't ran a lap. I tend to think that the drivers will not be kind to her and will not race with her.

Here is my wager.  Since the race was to start ealier today the bet is not on the board anymore but I'm hopping they post it again before tomorrow's start

Bet Confirmation  - JA07662370I  - Internet   Time of bet:  02/26/2012 12:59:45 Print

Selections

No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result 1 Higher than position 17.5 Daytona 500 - Danica Patrick (Finishing Position) 02/26/2012 None 2.62 To Run Risk:  300.00   To Win:  487.50   Returns:

Total Risk: 300.00   Total Returns:  0.00

WTF??? You can't be serious??? They offered + $$$ at OVER 17.5 ??? I don't believe it, WHAT BOOK???

wow, you could hedge that at dimes with under 25 at plus money and lock in a profit easily and have a shot at the middle. WOW

Exactly. $487 off $300 at that line??? He still hasn't answered book question. I don't believe it, sorry.

300 pays 187   where do you see + money ......

300 bet pays 487.....minus 300 bet = 187 profit   how long have you guys been doing this ?

I'm not sure I understand your comment?  The max I could bet was $300.  They capped the Prop wager limit for all Nascar wagers.  Oh and I have no reason to lie about my book but I'm trying to avoid a flood of wagers on this should they repost the wager tomorrow.  I'd like ad to my wager now that I know this is an amazing line. 

The way the book shows the payout is the winning amount ... not total payout

For this reason $300 pays $487.50 = $878.50

Here is an example from today to show you how they calculate it

Selections

No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result 1 PIT Penguins to score 4th goal CLB Bluejackets @ PIT Penguins (Next Goal) 02/26/2012 None 1.75 Won Risk:  200.00   To Win:  150.00   Returns:  350.00

Total Risk: 200.00   Total Returns:  350.00

then your book dont know how to do math then...something is not right with this entire conversation...not saying anybody is lying just something aint right...numbers dont jive...and if you win it they wont honor it...bad line 

I agree the line is a bad line ( based on what I've seen so far ).  But I used the "live chat" feature before placing the wager to confirm all was good.  I'll be honest, I'm not a Nascar guy which is why I posted the question 1 hour before the races scheduled start this morning.  At that time I had no idea if it was a good wager and which side to hit.

I already had that thought process bro. What's the book???

 

Longer then you. STFU!!!

hopefully you get it tomorrow...i cant I live in the USA

BOOK???