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trap plays ???

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Posted: #51
the % of bettors isn't important, the actual % of money is but nobody but the books have that info
 
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Posted: #52
Cubs won again for us.
 
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Posted: #53
Cubs look appealing again today but it is too early to tell...
 
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Posted: #54
playing with books money today...cubs...again

cubs +1.5 -157
 
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Posted: #55
Another winner. Thanks Cubbies !
 
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Posted: #56
bumping it for some people. i am still winning.


 
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Posted: #57
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The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
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Posted: #58
two candidate games for thursday but i will not make my decision until later today...
 
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Posted: #59
btw 3-0 trap plays
 
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Posted: #60
houston +1.5 -115

 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by AllSportCapper:

houston +1.5 -115



4-0 !


 
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Posted: #62
where is underthetotal ?
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by davidq91306:

where is underthetotal ?


probably waiting for me to lose one and then he will be back...dont worry
 
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Posted: #64
lets do it again...

nationals laying relatively short number after upsetting detroit twice, against a team they demolished in a 4 game series last season. not a surprise that everyone likes washington, everythere i look...the problem i have with detwiller is that his obp of .336 is the 2nd or 3rd worst of all top 50 era pitchers in the majors and his whip is getting worst with 20 runners on bases in 10 innings in his last 2 starts. samardzija lost 4 straight decisions but he pitched well enough to pick at least 3 wins during that 0-for run. and cubbies are playing better ball lately, giving us 3 straight runline winners.

ch.cubs +1.5 (-170)


 
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Posted: #65
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by davidq91306:

where is underthetotal ?

''There has been a lot of talk on this site lately about ''Trap games'', ''Reverse line movement betting'', ''Betting against the public consesus %''. and People that get their panties in a bundle thinking that it is such a huge factor when looking at game.....So lets get the facts straight.

People seem to be under the impression that if Team A has a higher percentage of people wagering on them then the line should move accordingly. And that if it doesnt, or it actually moves the opposite way then Team B is the play.

FALSE.

Vegase moves lines based on the percentage of money each side has on it....They do not move lines based on the percentage of people betting a certain side. Vegase wants equal action on each game, they make their money on the juice, not on winning and losing wagering.

So basically just because more PEOPLE are betting a certain side does not mean that the line will or should move that way. The only true way to see if there is reverse line movement would be to see what percentage of money each side has on them (which is impossible).

 So the next time I see someone say that 65% of the public is on side A, but the line hasnt moved please remember that it doesnt neccessarily mean shi.t.''

 
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Posted: #67
just look today. 90% public was on Washington Nationals with Nats opening as a low home favorite of -135. some started to call there is a trap. and guess what? Nationals trashed Cubbies.


SAME WAS WITH STL FEW DAYS AGO. STL WON VS THE CUBBIES


NO TRAP GAMES IN MLB
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by underthetotal:

just look today. 90% public was on Washington Nationals with Nats opening as a low home favorite of -135. some started to call there is a trap. and guess what? Nationals trashed Cubbies.


SAME WAS WITH STL FEW DAYS AGO. STL WON VS THE CUBBIES


NO TRAP GAMES IN MLB


exactly and now people are getting really silly ie calling the angels at -155 in houston a trap lmao
 
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Posted: #69
hahaha underthetotal is back as soon as i lost one...just as predicted !
 
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Posted: #70
4-1
 
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Posted: #71
Miami +1.5 -125


Waiting you underthetotal to tell me if I am on good or bad side here. LOL
 
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Posted: #72
Minnesota +1.5 -159
 
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Posted: #73
i like it
 
 
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Posted: #74
Padres +1.5

Pirates +1.5
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