Passing this along to you. Fade the road team if they have scored two or fewer runs in 2 straight games, while on the road and are at least a (+150) dog tonight. This system is going for 22 in a row tonight. Falcon Sports
what does fade mean bet against them?
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Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
Passing this along to you. Fade the road team if they have scored two or fewer runs in 2 straight games, while on the road and are at least a (+150) dog tonight. This system is going for 22 in a row tonight. Falcon Sports
Not trying to be rude but if your really interested in this. Take 5 minutes, go to YouTube and find Professor MJ. Its called the scoring drought system. He explains it in detail. It will take 5 minutes max.
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@mlblake
I'm not saying anything.
Not trying to be rude but if your really interested in this. Take 5 minutes, go to YouTube and find Professor MJ. Its called the scoring drought system. He explains it in detail. It will take 5 minutes max.
Both Cleveland and Toronto scored 3 runs last game, so no matter which way you’re looking at that matchup, it’s wrong.
The system says FADE (as in, bet AGAINST) a road team of +150 or higher* when they have scored 2 or less runs in their last two games. I don’t believe that is combined so if it helps then do it like this:
Road team with odds +150 or better? Did they score 2 or less runs in their last game? Did they score 2 or less runs in the game before that?
If the answer to all 3 is yes, you bet against them. That’s what the system says.
*I am actually not sure what the correct way to speak about this is. Does “higher” mean higher pay out or higher chance of hitting. I will make my point as clear as possible with examples. +145, +140, +135 etc do NOT qualify. +150, +155, +160 and so on do qualify.
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@mlblake
Both Cleveland and Toronto scored 3 runs last game, so no matter which way you’re looking at that matchup, it’s wrong.
The system says FADE (as in, bet AGAINST) a road team of +150 or higher* when they have scored 2 or less runs in their last two games. I don’t believe that is combined so if it helps then do it like this:
Road team with odds +150 or better? Did they score 2 or less runs in their last game? Did they score 2 or less runs in the game before that?
If the answer to all 3 is yes, you bet against them. That’s what the system says.
*I am actually not sure what the correct way to speak about this is. Does “higher” mean higher pay out or higher chance of hitting. I will make my point as clear as possible with examples. +145, +140, +135 etc do NOT qualify. +150, +155, +160 and so on do qualify.
Hey Falcon...question for ya... I think it was you who said you had sometimes faded the Streak Survivors who were at 13 or better in there streak b/c it was difficult to keep a streak that long? I read your recent threads, which is where I thought I had read it, but can no longer find it. If it was you, would you reiterate, and also, would you fade 'thinline' today? Just curious. TIA!
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Hey Falcon...question for ya... I think it was you who said you had sometimes faded the Streak Survivors who were at 13 or better in there streak b/c it was difficult to keep a streak that long? I read your recent threads, which is where I thought I had read it, but can no longer find it. If it was you, would you reiterate, and also, would you fade 'thinline' today? Just curious. TIA!
I would fade thinline to lose (within the next 3 - 4 plays) as it is highly unlikely that they will get to 21. No offence to thinline, but it's probability and knowing the contest. It is a ballsy call that they're picking the chisox to win against oakland and it's a coin toss. That's what's so great about the contest with high winners, you think you're on the right side (yeah, can Oakland take the first 3 games of a road series again, when they're shit?) and then blamm!!! Unpredictability unloads all over your face.
7PM EST tonight. Book it. Watch it just to root for thinline or Survivor contest loss probability. I know I have nothing else to do tonight. :)
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@TDHCentral
I would fade thinline to lose (within the next 3 - 4 plays) as it is highly unlikely that they will get to 21. No offence to thinline, but it's probability and knowing the contest. It is a ballsy call that they're picking the chisox to win against oakland and it's a coin toss. That's what's so great about the contest with high winners, you think you're on the right side (yeah, can Oakland take the first 3 games of a road series again, when they're shit?) and then blamm!!! Unpredictability unloads all over your face.
7PM EST tonight. Book it. Watch it just to root for thinline or Survivor contest loss probability. I know I have nothing else to do tonight. :)
I had been thinking about this betting style recently. Margins would be small though but profit is profit. Bankroll would also be a huge factor as at 6-7 losses the bets would be getting up there in size.
But as you say with historical data and picking certain spots there could be potential for a long run
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@tvigilante2020
I had been thinking about this betting style recently. Margins would be small though but profit is profit. Bankroll would also be a huge factor as at 6-7 losses the bets would be getting up there in size.
But as you say with historical data and picking certain spots there could be potential for a long run
@TDHCentral I would fade thinline to lose (within the next 3 - 4 plays) as it is highly unlikely that they will get to 21. No offence to thinline, but it's probability and knowing the contest. It is a ballsy call that they're picking the chisox to win against oakland and it's a coin toss. That's what's so great about the contest with high winners, you think you're on the right side (yeah, can Oakland take the first 3 games of a road series again, when they're shit?) and then blamm!!! Unpredictability unloads all over your face. 7PM EST tonight. Book it. Watch it just to root for thinline or Survivor contest loss probability. I know I have nothing else to do tonight. :)
Thanks! I knew I had I read this! It's something I will decide on as an educated guess, but I totally understand the mathmatical probability that you are speaking! As time permits, I'll run a little test on it! Thanks! looking foward to seeing how it does!
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Quote Originally Posted by tvigilante2020:
@TDHCentral I would fade thinline to lose (within the next 3 - 4 plays) as it is highly unlikely that they will get to 21. No offence to thinline, but it's probability and knowing the contest. It is a ballsy call that they're picking the chisox to win against oakland and it's a coin toss. That's what's so great about the contest with high winners, you think you're on the right side (yeah, can Oakland take the first 3 games of a road series again, when they're shit?) and then blamm!!! Unpredictability unloads all over your face. 7PM EST tonight. Book it. Watch it just to root for thinline or Survivor contest loss probability. I know I have nothing else to do tonight. :)
Thanks! I knew I had I read this! It's something I will decide on as an educated guess, but I totally understand the mathmatical probability that you are speaking! As time permits, I'll run a little test on it! Thanks! looking foward to seeing how it does!
The thing is you're almost always laying juice in this vicinity . I did a little back testing using the -1.5 runline but it came out to be virtually the same for profits . It's just that I have aways refused to lay those kind of odds in any sport .
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@lopez021130
The thing is you're almost always laying juice in this vicinity . I did a little back testing using the -1.5 runline but it came out to be virtually the same for profits . It's just that I have aways refused to lay those kind of odds in any sport .
thinline won handily yesterday and now the Yankees just gifted TB 2 runs in the bottom of the first. We'll see how the rest of the game goes. Don't know if the Yankees can win with already 2 errors. If you look at box scores, the team with an error or more is more often the losing team. But, we'll see. I've seen weird things happen in the contest when people have streaked this high. Game looks like they're gonna win, and then all hell breaks loose in the 2nd half of the game and they lose.
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@PUSSYGALORE333
advise to start small on chase
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Exactly. It's not fool proof....back test it.
thinline won handily yesterday and now the Yankees just gifted TB 2 runs in the bottom of the first. We'll see how the rest of the game goes. Don't know if the Yankees can win with already 2 errors. If you look at box scores, the team with an error or more is more often the losing team. But, we'll see. I've seen weird things happen in the contest when people have streaked this high. Game looks like they're gonna win, and then all hell breaks loose in the 2nd half of the game and they lose.
....i have not watched mr mj yet but thx mitm 
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