Posted:
#51
So if you were to play this method and not wait two weeks into the season considering there are no streaks to worry about.. atlanta vs. nationals would be a play?
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Posted:
#55
Quote Originally Posted by BURG2VEGAS:
I played that last year but it cooled down quite a bit after all-star break I believe.this is similar to the sagarin rating system
actually its the same thing also bet under when 2 top 20 pitchers in sagarin rating go heads up
its a good system
We should stop eating bananas.
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Posted:
#56
Quote Originally Posted by Maglio:
I frequent the boards here but don't post. Anyhow I currently bet on baseball almost as a full time profession. If I didn't love my job so much I would bet on baseball only. I met someone about 7-8 years ago and he told me about this system and I've been playing it ever since.
Since playing this and no other sports betting whatsoever since 2005 I have profited somewhere in the $70 000 - $80 000 neighborhood. I wager $50 on all qualified plays no more no less no matter how much I may love or not love the pick (very important imo). I don't even really watch that much baseball. I simply see which games qualify wager on them and come back the next morning to do it all over again.
On top of discipline and money management there are 3 very easy keys to follow to make this work as history has proven.
Just a heads up all wagers are bets on the underdog moneyline.
1. Don't bet against any 3 game streaks whether it be losing or winning streaks.
2. Do no bet any underdog which opens at more than +150.
3. Eliminate all games going up against top 20 pitchers according to ERA.
On a decent day there should be anywhere from 2-8 games that qualify.
Best of luck!
BOL Maglio and thanks for the postI frequent the boards here but don't post. Anyhow I currently bet on baseball almost as a full time profession. If I didn't love my job so much I would bet on baseball only. I met someone about 7-8 years ago and he told me about this system and I've been playing it ever since.
Since playing this and no other sports betting whatsoever since 2005 I have profited somewhere in the $70 000 - $80 000 neighborhood. I wager $50 on all qualified plays no more no less no matter how much I may love or not love the pick (very important imo). I don't even really watch that much baseball. I simply see which games qualify wager on them and come back the next morning to do it all over again.
On top of discipline and money management there are 3 very easy keys to follow to make this work as history has proven.
Just a heads up all wagers are bets on the underdog moneyline.
1. Don't bet against any 3 game streaks whether it be losing or winning streaks.
2. Do no bet any underdog which opens at more than +150.
3. Eliminate all games going up against top 20 pitchers according to ERA.
On a decent day there should be anywhere from 2-8 games that qualify.
Best of luck!
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Posted:
#57
Wow just got home from work and was surprised to see how many replies!
Not going to answer all/any posts right now as I wouldn't mind spending some time with the wife and my daughter.
I asked in an earlier post if someone wouldn't mind volunteering to post the picks on the sight for everyone to follow. Feel free or not to attach the picks to myself if you want as I will stand by them. It should take no longer than 15 min to isolate the contests which fit our criteria.
BOL you won't be dissapointed.
Not going to answer all/any posts right now as I wouldn't mind spending some time with the wife and my daughter.
I asked in an earlier post if someone wouldn't mind volunteering to post the picks on the sight for everyone to follow. Feel free or not to attach the picks to myself if you want as I will stand by them. It should take no longer than 15 min to isolate the contests which fit our criteria.
BOL you won't be dissapointed.
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Posted:
#58
Ok I will answer one post as my wife just went in the shower lol. Someone asked why this works.
Well betting on just underdogs alone in baseball almost works by itself. 43-44 percent I believe is the rate in which an underdog hits in baseball over the course of a random season. By tweaking and eliminating some of the dogs with the key criteria we move our chances up into the 47-49 percent range which is all we need to turn a profit as we are only betting on underdogs.
Patience and money management I cannot stress enough. Find your unit size and stick to it.
Well betting on just underdogs alone in baseball almost works by itself. 43-44 percent I believe is the rate in which an underdog hits in baseball over the course of a random season. By tweaking and eliminating some of the dogs with the key criteria we move our chances up into the 47-49 percent range which is all we need to turn a profit as we are only betting on underdogs.
Patience and money management I cannot stress enough. Find your unit size and stick to it.
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Posted:
#61
Quote Originally Posted by vlady99:
I'm assuming you are referring to streaks of anything above 3 games too either way. Such as a 7 game losing streak, etc.right? Just to be precise here that it is not right at the number 3 only? Rhetorical here I know.....but i've seen crazier things.
I'm assuming you are referring to streaks of anything above 3 games too either way. Such as a 7 game losing streak, etc.right? Just to be precise here that it is not right at the number 3 only? Rhetorical here I know.....but i've seen crazier things.
Yes streaks of 3 or greater. Sorry.
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Posted:
#65
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
He don't make this amount yearly, he said total since 2005Okay so the system in a nutshell is basically betting on the underdog of any near coin flip game where your team isn't facing a top twenty pitcher (based on ERA) and your team isn't facing a team on a winning streak or losing streak (of three games or more). Honestly I don't use a system but that just makes sense of games I would look at too for value. I will watch your system and wish you well but $70k on $50 bets seems pretty crazy. BOL!
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Posted:
#68
i think it's a solid system. i think timing is everything here. i would say 2-3 weeks into the season thru the all star break would be most profitable. (in my opinion.)
i'll definitely be following this system and possibly even tweeking it at little bit. i'll post as much as possible, but i'm sure if i don't others will.. or people can just figure it all out on their own. shouldn't take more than 15 minutes.
thanks for your input.
there's a detailed outline of this system with proof that it works here
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Posted:
#75
The important part of this underdog system is the money management. Do what the article says and don't stray. Bet 1.25% of your bankroll on each play for that day. If you start with a $1,600 bankroll, your plays for that day will be $20. If after a couple of weeks your bankroll has increased to $1,950, your plays for that particular day would be $24 (rounding down). Make the same adjustments if the bankroll goes down ($1,200 = $15 per play) I would wait AT LEAST three weeks to start this so the Sagarin Ratings will have 3-4 starts for the picthers. GL
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