SJP's MLB Roundtable (WEDNESDAY---July 20th, 2011)

A slight win a win after taking the Rangers under for 1 unit.  4 quick 1 Unit plays for today

Mets - ML By Friday in Florida, my belief is the Mets will look different and begin a fade train for me, but with Reyes and Beltran in the lineup,

Twins- - ML Blackburn's career numbers vs the Tribe are very good, i.e. 7-3 and in only two of the last 10 has he allowed more than 2 earned runs

Mariners - ML Not a great team here but better than the record shows in the last 10 and the Jays are much stronger versus righties than lefties. 

Rangers - "we're going streaking".  It may end tonight, but lot's of streaks in play, Holland coming off two complete game shutouts, team at 12 and counting.....Haren less than special last time out and not wild about his career second half splits

BOL SJP and all the positive karma posters

Good LUck $JP  

 

you would keep fading the pirates - Karstens hottest pitcher in baseball gonna #deal

Balla!

I like the play, GL SJP

TRY THE REDS AGAIN,,,,

GOOD LUCK

 

IM ON THE SWEEP

 

lets go BUCCOS

Good luck on your play SJP. Any insight? Only thing I'm really noticing is Cueto pitches better than his average splits away and during the day. Hoping it works out for you!

GL

Hey SJP,

 

Good Luck on ur Reds today, I like it,

I'm 4-1 posting in ur forum, I may have a play for u all later,

Cheers

Like the play... GL

SJP!!! I wanna pick the reds but fuck me have taken them the last two days and they seem so pathetic! Tough call cause I know they shouldn't get swept but how do I endorse this pathetic team?? Fucking Pittsburgh!! lol

You aren't the first and won't be the last to call out SJP... she's the covers golden goose though. Basically untouchable. Don't bother.

There are a couple angles on the Reds game that I like:

Obviously, I'm sure everyone has read the splits on Karstens and Cueto lifetime VS the opposing team featured on ESPN. I'm not much of a stat junkie though. I especially don't like stats when, to me, these two teams are completely different from what they've been pitching against. How do you stack up Cueto's numbers VS Pittsburgh when Pittsburgh is obviously on a new level right now?

I line up teams by my own RPI and the Reds, although they are mired in a mini slump, are still in the same grouping as the Pirates. We're coming up on the 7th straight win for the Pirates against the Reds, and that's very difficult to do against an equal opponent. In sport, most realize it's tough to beat the same team 3 times in a row, let alone 7.

The Reds bats have been cool as of late, but if you've followed my threads, I believe in the law of averages. These guys CAN hit. They are capable of being a run producing machine as much as they've been anemic lately.

I'm banking on a solid performance from Cueto (very nice day/night, home/away splits) along with the Reds attacking their familiarity with Karstens.

That's my reasoning in a nutshell: Statistics backing Cueto, relative law of averages on the Cincinnati bats, and a belief that two evenly matched teams can not conclude with the same result 7 times in a row.

Best of luck to everyone today.

on it and LOVE the play...lets go REDS!!!!!

I just want to remind everyone that this is not an endorsement for anyone to blind tail. If you like Pittsburgh, then play Pittsburgh. If you like Cincinnati, then play Cincinnati.

Don't get tied up with the dollar value on the play. If you wager $50 on standard plays, then this is the equivalent of a $100 bet. If you wager $3000 on standard plays, then this is the equivalent of a $6000 bet. Use your own value system. If I win, I'll chalk it up and move on. If I lose, I'll chalk it up and move on. That's how it should be for everyone.

Lets keep this thread positive today if at all possible. I appreciate it.

I'm going back to sleep now.



SJP

unda unda unda in bucco matinee

Keep your head up S J

GL SJP

One last thing:

I like the Cubs/Phillies OVER 11 today. That number jumped out and me, and I saw Worley/Dempster as the pitching match-up. "WTF?" thoughts ensued. Screams Under when Dempster has been lights out at home and Worley has been lights out everywhere.

Worley was drilled in a day start earlier this year, and Dempster has mediocre numbers VS the Phillies.

Just an angle to consider.

Okay, night.

reds are a bad road team thats run into a buzzsaw named the pirates

not the time to be chasing losses taking the reds here

never a time to raise your unit base bet

youll learn 

also tailing the Over in the BOSOX game which has moved to 11

Happy to see you on the Reds.  Last night was tough.  Let's get this.  Could you take off that Miami Heat jersey please? lol

I dunno about these reds...