SJP: "On extremely rare occasions, I will lay -200 or more on a game."

This is a horrible play sarah and you know it. This is a play that does not win enough times in a season to gain a profit. I'm on the padres, philles bad at closing out the sweep and in a huge look ahead spot to the giants. Cliff lee is also only on 4 1/2 days rest. The phillies could win, but that is a shitty line to be taking and risking that much in a game that will clearly mean nothing to the phillies.

Against whom though?  I read the same preview but honestly ESPN doesn't give alot of H2H stats. I mean I can't say they lose, but laying that sortof juice is just extremely difficult for me esp in the NL where anything 'can happen'.  Course, that could be said for any MLB game.  I know we aren't the best of friends Sarah, but I thought I would at least post some insight into your thread to spark some discussion on the game itself.  No need to respond to me personally.

At least its house money

  what r u the fucking gambling coach  

Cameron Maybin doesnt think so......kid is locked in.....and the team is rallying behind him it seems......DaddyLongLegs is finally showing some of that potential.........

And he's right the Phillies have a 6 game lead...... with that staff theres no way they dont atleast get the wildcard.......Harang knows he can beat this team......

I know this play is out of the norm for me, especially since I've only played 18.5% "favorites" and only 3 favorites above -140. 

Nope just trying to make sure people don't get slaughtered tomorrow. High juice on half the games on the card, ohhh the bookies gonna be like this tomorrow night

that's because the bookies r the smart ones not the ones playing  4game fucking parlays with every team near -200

Ok you lost me there......

Honestly, as a Braves fan, I can say that the NL has very limited 'superior offenses'.  The stat ESPN gave was as that park for only his last 5 starts.  That's hardly a staggering statistic.  Phillies actually match up well with Braves, Pads, Marlins, etc over several years running and while I can see 'why' you think Philly might prevail here, I cannot justify a play on them myself. I wish you luck on the play esp cause you are laying the juice, but I cannot.  GL

It's hardly ever the big favorite that you can make a case for the dog that actually comes through IMO and from my experiences.

I don't think that logic gets trumped enough for it to be a profitable strategy but it sounds interesting......

Yeah but the Phillies offense was just as good if not better when Harang won 7 of 9 vs them........

That is not a misconception nowhere did i say they were all gonna lose. I just said the bookies were gonna be real happy tomorrow night. You have 5 huge favorites. 3 of those huge favorites are not in the best of spots. 2 of those 5 could lose and its all good. Not to mention you throw on top of that that every donk in the world will parlay all 5. Yea its gonna be a booky day tomorrow. Don't be surprised if it's not a blood bath on the ones with the most exposure as the ones with the most exposure are gonna be the yanks/phils/red sox. Some people will hit the braves but there will be people who actually recognize the pirates are doing well.

Mariners, royals and padres are gonna get no respect tomorrow.

Gio did not have a great case today. a's havent won back to back games since i was born, yanks awesome in the day time and crush lefties. Anyone who thought gio had a case today was sippin too much gio koolaid. Yea he has an awesome era an a massive park good for him.

Rangers bit a lot of people tonight, now people are on edge and are looking for the dog to bet. 

Ok firstly 50% of 10 people isn't shit. This board will be full of phillies backers tomorrow, and im prdicting about an 80%/20% split. It cliff lee in philly, every donk in the country saw the same stats as you. Those of us who wanna play a sharp play are gonna play padres based soley on the situation and pray that it hits. It's not likely but if it does we'll look damn smart. Just can't lay that juice in this situation.

Secondly the royals deserve more respect then you might think. The red sox are on of my favorite teams and lester has not been dominant most of this year, he is coming off the DL and will most likely have a pitch count, the bull pen for boston has been used this wknd.

The mariners are only gonna get love from the garcia -200 wtf crowd. There will still be plenty of money on the yankees. Mariners losers of 15 in a row will not get any respect. Although they have scored quite a few runs and have been in most of those games so they deserve a lot more then what they'll get. Same with astros.