SERIOUSLY, what is up with my bad luck?!?!

Quote Originally Posted by Speedup:

Hmm, here's another good question:

What should I consider more than starting pitcher?

Quote Originally Posted by Speedup:

Thanks for the answers guys.   I made a list that I'm gonna use, and everytime I bet I'm gonna go step-by-step following this list to make sure I don't do anything stupid.  Anything I could add to it?

1. No parlays
2. Research
3. Look for other people's opinions.
4. Nothing below -125

Quote Originally Posted by brewcrewsucks:

Quote Originally Posted by Speedup:

The last month I've had little to no GOOD luck when betting. I've never been on the right side of the 3 goal comebacks in ice hockey, while I've lost 3 of those. My parlays get screwed up by stuff like this, and overtime losses. The "safe bets" in MLB turns out to be not so safe and I ALWAYS lose by like 1 point. Today and yesterday, I lost two parlays with HUGE money in the LAST games to shit like this. One 6 game parlay today got F'ed when Phillies lost to Giants, and one 8 game parlay got F'ed yesterday when Celtics lost in NBA.

And that's just a small part of the shit I've been facing this last 30 days. What should I do!? I can't stand the frustration anymore, but I don't wanna give up gambling, because I still love it.

Without exaggerating, I'd say I have had like 95% BAD luck. And with bad and good luck I mean like comebacks, referee screw ups, overtime losses/wins and stuff like that.

What should I do to break this bad trend? Any suggestions?

Quote Originally Posted by robbie0570:

Quote Originally Posted by robbie0570:

Quote Originally Posted by robbie0570:

Quote Originally Posted by highside107:

So let's use Toronoto (Halladay) as an example tomorrow. I currently show odds of Toronoto -160 on the ML and -1.5 +133 on the RL. The ML has too much juice, but let's just say you hate betting on RLs like me. So let's stagger the bets to make it Toronto -1! You do this by making two separate bets: one on the RL and one on the ML (both on Toronto). The amount you bet on the RL is equal to the amount you would WIN by betting on the ML. I did the math already for you, so let's assume your standard bet size is $100. You would place a bet of $61.54 on the ML at -160 (to win $38.46) and that same amount of $38.46 on the RL at +133 (to win $51.15). Note that the amount of these two bets equal your normal bet size of $100 ($61.54 + $38.46).

So what happens if Toronto wins by more than one run tomorrow? You win $38.46 + $51.15 = $89.61. What happens if Toronto only wins by one run? Your ML bet wins, but your RL bet loses. Your ML bet won you $38.46, but this is the same amount you bet on the RL and lost, so you "PUSH". If Toronto straight up loses, you lose your normal bet of $100.

Hope this clears up how this works. Note that this also works in hockey, if you bet that. Also notice the huge juice reduction if Toronto wins by more than one run: you bet $100 to win $89.61, or -112. Only drawback is that if Toronto beats them by one run, you will be kicking yourself for not betting the ML in the first place.

Quote Originally Posted by Vic-Vega: