September Dogs - Starting with $4k
Posted:
#1451
Lean on the Reds, but passing today.
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28Sum%28%28%20line%2B0%3C0%20and%20o%3Apoints%3Cpoints%20%29%2A100%20or%20%28%200%3C0%2Bline%20and%20points%3Co%3Apoints%20%29%2A%28-100%29%20or%20%28%20runs%20is%20not%20None%20%29%2A%28line%2B0%29%40team%20and%20season%20and%20line%3C-105%29%5Bteam%20and%20season-1%20and%20line%3C-105%5D%3E1200%20and%20site%3Daway%20and%20line%3E%3D-130%29%20as%20%22For%20608-831%20-157.32%20%28%2B89.06%20units%20to%20fade%29%201.%20Last%20season%2C%20the%20team%20made%20backersover%20%2B%241%2C200%20%28%24100%20bets%29%20as%20favorites.%202.%20Now%2C%20they%27re%20a%20cheap%20look%20road%20favorite%20of%20-130%20or%20more%20or%20road%20underdog.%22 - Take the Reds
Lean on the Reds, but passing today.
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28Sum%28%28%20line%2B0%3C0%20and%20o%3Apoints%3Cpoints%20%29%2A100%20or%20%28%200%3C0%2Bline%20and%20points%3Co%3Apoints%20%29%2A%28-100%29%20or%20%28%20runs%20is%20not%20None%20%29%2A%28line%2B0%29%40team%20and%20season%20and%20line%3C-105%29%5Bteam%20and%20season-1%20and%20line%3C-105%5D%3E1200%20and%20site%3Daway%20and%20line%3E%3D-130%29%20as%20%22For%20608-831%20-157.32%20%28%2B89.06%20units%20to%20fade%29%201.%20Last%20season%2C%20the%20team%20made%20backersover%20%2B%241%2C200%20%28%24100%20bets%29%20as%20favorites.%202.%20Now%2C%20they%27re%20a%20cheap%20look%20road%20favorite%20of%20-130%20or%20more%20or%20road%20underdog.%22 - Take the Reds
Posted:
#1456
Baltimore Orioles +1 +290
vs Cleveland Indians
vs Cleveland Indians
$55 to win $159.50
- MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with a team win record 26% less than opponent are https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=WP%2B26%3Co%3AWP+and+op%3AW+and+D+and+p%3Amargin%3C2+and+p%3ASII%3C%3D3&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ avg line: 146.2 / -161.0 on / against: +$6,950 / -$10,981 ROI: +10.5% / -10.3% if that opponent is off of a win. (Take the Orioles for big return today)
- https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DIndians%20and%20H%20and%20date%3E%3D20180707%29%20as%20%22The%20Indians%20are%209-10%20AGAINST%20since%20Jul%2007%2C%202018%20at%20home%22&plot_PL=1








Baltimore Orioles +1 +290
vs Cleveland Indians
vs Cleveland Indians
$55 to win $159.50
- MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with a team win record 26% less than opponent are https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=WP%2B26%3Co%3AWP+and+op%3AW+and+D+and+p%3Amargin%3C2+and+p%3ASII%3C%3D3&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ avg line: 146.2 / -161.0 on / against: +$6,950 / -$10,981 ROI: +10.5% / -10.3% if that opponent is off of a win. (Take the Orioles for big return today)
- https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DIndians%20and%20H%20and%20date%3E%3D20180707%29%20as%20%22The%20Indians%20are%209-10%20AGAINST%20since%20Jul%2007%2C%202018%20at%20home%22&plot_PL=1








Posted:
#1460
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...
Posted:
#1462
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
I "think" you got a fair shake on a +290 dog!!!
If I would've laid the massive chalk on Cleveland and only won by 1 run....it would be a value ripoff in my view.
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud
I "think" you got a fair shake on a +290 dog!!!
If I would've laid the massive chalk on Cleveland and only won by 1 run....it would be a value ripoff in my view.
Posted:
#1463
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +122
vs Seattle Mariners
$55 to win $67.10
vs Seattle Mariners
$55 to win $67.10
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20100%3C%3Dline%3C175%20and%20po%3Aruns%3E8%20and%20op%3Amargin%3E6%20and%206%3Ctotal%3C10%20and%20season%3E2009%20%29%20as%20%22Home%20Dogs%20of%20%2B100%20to%20%2B170%20are%20just%2035-93%20SU%20-48.51%20units%20%2B25.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%20after%20allowing%20over%208%20runs%20vs%20a%20team%20that%20just%20won%20by%207%2B%20runs.%22&plot_PL=1 (Fade the Mariners)




I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.
Cheers
I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.
Cheers
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +122
vs Seattle Mariners
$55 to win $67.10
vs Seattle Mariners
$55 to win $67.10
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20100%3C%3Dline%3C175%20and%20po%3Aruns%3E8%20and%20op%3Amargin%3E6%20and%206%3Ctotal%3C10%20and%20season%3E2009%20%29%20as%20%22Home%20Dogs%20of%20%2B100%20to%20%2B170%20are%20just%2035-93%20SU%20-48.51%20units%20%2B25.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%20after%20allowing%20over%208%20runs%20vs%20a%20team%20that%20just%20won%20by%207%2B%20runs.%22&plot_PL=1 (Fade the Mariners)




I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.
Cheers
I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.
Cheers
Posted:
#1464
For today:
vs Minnesota Twins
$146 to win $186.88
As with last season, you can PM message me for the asian handicap runline calculator or just look at my covers blog for the link.
- MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Play on sub .500 to .400 division dogs off of a win - https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1 +11.0% roi SU (Take the White Sox today!)https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1
- The Twins are 4-9 AGAINST since May 29, 2018 as a road favorite
- https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DTwins%20and%20A%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20180529%29%20as%20%22The%20Twins%20are%204-9%20AGAINST%20since%20May%2029%2C%202018%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22&plot_PL=1The White Sox are 11-10 ON since Jul 11, 2018 as a dog


For today:
vs Minnesota Twins
$146 to win $186.88
As with last season, you can PM message me for the asian handicap runline calculator or just look at my covers blog for the link.
- MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Play on sub .500 to .400 division dogs off of a win - https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1 +11.0% roi SU (Take the White Sox today!)https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1
- The Twins are 4-9 AGAINST since May 29, 2018 as a road favorite
- https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DTwins%20and%20A%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20180529%29%20as%20%22The%20Twins%20are%204-9%20AGAINST%20since%20May%2029%2C%202018%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22&plot_PL=1The White Sox are 11-10 ON since Jul 11, 2018 as a dog


Posted:
#1466
Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:
Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ?
Sure thing. Could you PM me?
I linked to it on my Covers blog. I think if you just click my username you'll see it. But if you can't find me, PM me and I'll help.
I have two more small plays. Very high return dogs.
Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:
Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ?
Sure thing. Could you PM me?
I linked to it on my Covers blog. I think if you just click my username you'll see it. But if you can't find me, PM me and I'll help.
I have two more small plays. Very high return dogs.
Posted:
#1470
Washington Nationals -1.25 +129
vs Philadelphia Phillies
vs Philadelphia Phillies
$170 to win $219.30
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Take the Nationals today)
Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.
I might add the Royals as well...







Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.
I might add the Royals as well...
Washington Nationals -1.25 +129
vs Philadelphia Phillies
vs Philadelphia Phillies
$170 to win $219.30
MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Take the Nationals today)
Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.
I might add the Royals as well...







Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.
I might add the Royals as well...
Posted:
#1471
Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:
No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you?
I accepted everyone's friend requests that were pending. Apologies. Again, the link to the calculator (it is an Excel file) I put last year in my blog.
Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:
No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you?
I accepted everyone's friend requests that were pending. Apologies. Again, the link to the calculator (it is an Excel file) I put last year in my blog.
Posted:
#1474
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


Washington Nationals -1.25 +129 WINNER!
vs Philadelphia Phillies
vs Philadelphia Phillies
$170 to win $219.30
A new all time high for this thread...
Current Bankroll: $13,826.40
from $4000 (+245.66 units)
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


Washington Nationals -1.25 +129 WINNER!
vs Philadelphia Phillies
vs Philadelphia Phillies
$170 to win $219.30
A new all time high for this thread...
Current Bankroll: $13,826.40
from $4000 (+245.66 units)
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