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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 596061 ... 646566 Next Last»
    herbshack
    WISEGUY36
    dabreeze
    LAC63
    LeopoldsS
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 596061 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posts: 913
    Posted: Aug. 14, 2018 - 2:29 PM ET #1451

    Lean on the Reds, but passing today.

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28Sum%28%28%20line%2B0%3C0%20and%20o%3Apoints%3Cpoints%20%29%2A100%20or%20%28%200%3C0%2Bline%20and%20points%3Co%3Apoints%20%29%2A%28-100%29%20or%20%28%20runs%20is%20not%20None%20%29%2A%28line%2B0%29%40team%20and%20season%20and%20line%3C-105%29%5Bteam%20and%20season-1%20and%20line%3C-105%5D%3E1200%20and%20site%3Daway%20and%20line%3E%3D-130%29%20as%20%22For%20608-831%20-157.32%20%28%2B89.06%20units%20to%20fade%29%201.%20Last%20season%2C%20the%20team%20made%20backersover%20%2B%241%2C200%20%28%24100%20bets%29%20as%20favorites.%202.%20Now%2C%20they%27re%20a%20cheap%20look%20road%20favorite%20of%20-130%20or%20more%20or%20road%20underdog.%22 - Take the Reds
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    Lean on the Reds, but passing today.

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28Sum%28%28%20line%2B0%3C0%20and%20o%3Apoints%3Cpoints%20%29%2A100%20or%20%28%200%3C0%2Bline%20and%20points%3Co%3Apoints%20%29%2A%28-100%29%20or%20%28%20runs%20is%20not%20None%20%29%2A%28line%2B0%29%40team%20and%20season%20and%20line%3C-105%29%5Bteam%20and%20season-1%20and%20line%3C-105%5D%3E1200%20and%20site%3Daway%20and%20line%3E%3D-130%29%20as%20%22For%20608-831%20-157.32%20%28%2B89.06%20units%20to%20fade%29%201.%20Last%20season%2C%20the%20team%20made%20backersover%20%2B%241%2C200%20%28%24100%20bets%29%20as%20favorites.%202.%20Now%2C%20they%27re%20a%20cheap%20look%20road%20favorite%20of%20-130%20or%20more%20or%20road%20underdog.%22 - Take the Reds
     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2018 - 2:32 PM ET #1452

    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    dabreeze
    dabreeze
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2018 - 7:13 PM ET #1453

    DaBreeze
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    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2018 - 1:35 PM ET #1454

    Crunching it out now. will follow up if I have anything or best lean...
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    Crunching it out now. will follow up if I have anything or best lean...
     
    LAC63
    LAC63
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2018 - 1:43 PM ET #1455

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Crunching it out now. will follow up if I have anything or best lean...
    Ty

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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Crunching it out now. will follow up if I have anything or best lean...
    Ty

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2018 - 4:28 PM ET #1456

    Baltimore Orioles +1 +290 
    vs Cleveland Indians
    $55 to win $159.50
    • MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with a team win record 26% less than opponent are https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=WP%2B26%3Co%3AWP+and+op%3AW+and+D+and+p%3Amargin%3C2+and+p%3ASII%3C%3D3&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ avg line: 146.2 / -161.0 on / against: +$6,950 / -$10,981  ROI: +10.5% / -10.3% if that opponent is off of a win. (Take the Orioles for big return today)

    • https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DIndians%20and%20H%20and%20date%3E%3D20180707%29%20as%20%22The%20Indians%20are%209-10%20AGAINST%20since%20Jul%2007%2C%202018%20at%20home%22&plot_PL=1


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    Baltimore Orioles +1 +290 
    vs Cleveland Indians
    $55 to win $159.50
    • MLB TREND OF THE DAY: In database history, dogs with a team win record 26% less than opponent are https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=WP%2B26%3Co%3AWP+and+op%3AW+and+D+and+p%3Amargin%3C2+and+p%3ASII%3C%3D3&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++ avg line: 146.2 / -161.0 on / against: +$6,950 / -$10,981  ROI: +10.5% / -10.3% if that opponent is off of a win. (Take the Orioles for big return today)

    • https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DIndians%20and%20H%20and%20date%3E%3D20180707%29%20as%20%22The%20Indians%20are%209-10%20AGAINST%20since%20Jul%2007%2C%202018%20at%20home%22&plot_PL=1


     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2018 - 5:08 PM ET #1457

    Have a lean on the D-Backs as well. Maybe the -0.75 runline.
    Probably pass. we'll see...

    I'll post if I take them.
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    Have a lean on the D-Backs as well. Maybe the -0.75 runline.
    Probably pass. we'll see...

    I'll post if I take them.
     
    LeopoldsS
    LeopoldsS
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2018 - 5:11 PM ET #1458

    Thanks for sharing Herb. Just stumbled onto your thread. Unbelievable record! Will look out for more of your picks. 

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    Thanks for sharing Herb. Just stumbled onto your thread. Unbelievable record! Will look out for more of your picks. 

     
    monkeebooger
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2018 - 11:19 PM ET #1459

    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 
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    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2018 - 12:25 PM ET #1460

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 

    Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...
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    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 

    Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...
     
    theDodgies
    theDodgies
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2018 - 12:46 PM ET #1461

    you the man herb!
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    you the man herb!
     
    Qwan61
    Qwan61
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    Posts: 1882
    Posted: Aug. 18, 2018 - 1:06 PM ET #1462

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 
    Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...

     

    I "think" you got a fair shake on a +290 dog!!!

    If I would've laid the massive chalk on Cleveland and only won by 1 run....it would be a value ripoff in my view.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Thanks for the insight Herb. Love ya bud 
    Love ya too booger. Close but no cigar on the O's, but 1-2; that's a push. I'll follow up if I have anything here soon. Crunching the numbers right now...

     

    I "think" you got a fair shake on a +290 dog!!!

    If I would've laid the massive chalk on Cleveland and only won by 1 run....it would be a value ripoff in my view.

     

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2018 - 2:18 PM ET #1463

    Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +122 
    vs Seattle Mariners
    $55 to win $
    67.10

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20100%3C%3Dline%3C175%20and%20po%3Aruns%3E8%20and%20op%3Amargin%3E6%20and%206%3Ctotal%3C10%20and%20season%3E2009%20%29%20as%20%22Home%20Dogs%20of%20%2B100%20to%20%2B170%20are%20just%2035-93%20SU%20-48.51%20units%20%2B25.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%20after%20allowing%20over%208%20runs%20vs%20a%20team%20that%20just%20won%20by%207%2B%20runs.%22&plot_PL=1 (Fade the Mariners)



    I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
    Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.

    Cheers
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    Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +122 
    vs Seattle Mariners
    $55 to win $
    67.10

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28H%20and%20100%3C%3Dline%3C175%20and%20po%3Aruns%3E8%20and%20op%3Amargin%3E6%20and%206%3Ctotal%3C10%20and%20season%3E2009%20%29%20as%20%22Home%20Dogs%20of%20%2B100%20to%20%2B170%20are%20just%2035-93%20SU%20-48.51%20units%20%2B25.6%25%20roi%20to%20fade%20after%20allowing%20over%208%20runs%20vs%20a%20team%20that%20just%20won%20by%207%2B%20runs.%22&plot_PL=1 (Fade the Mariners)



    I liked the A's, but the public moved them from dogs to favs.
    Still if you can get the -2 asian handicap on the A's at +280 odds, I was able to get that and I think still available.

    Cheers
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 4:47 PM ET #1464

    For today:

    Chicago White Sox -0.75 RL +128 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $146 to win $186.88

    As with last season, you can PM message me for the asian handicap runline calculator or just look at my covers blog for the link.

    • MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Play on sub .500 to .400 division dogs off of a win - https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1 +11.0% roi SU (Take the White Sox today!)https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1

    • The Twins are 4-9 AGAINST since May 29, 2018 as a road favorite
    • https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DTwins%20and%20A%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20180529%29%20as%20%22The%20Twins%20are%204-9%20AGAINST%20since%20May%2029%2C%202018%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22&plot_PL=1The White Sox are 11-10 ON since Jul 11, 2018 as a dog

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    For today:

    Chicago White Sox -0.75 RL +128 
    vs Minnesota Twins
    $146 to win $186.88

    As with last season, you can PM message me for the asian handicap runline calculator or just look at my covers blog for the link.

    • MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Play on sub .500 to .400 division dogs off of a win - https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1 +11.0% roi SU (Take the White Sox today!)https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28DIV%20and%20D%20and%20p%3AW%20and%2040%20%3C%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20month%21%3D7%20and%20n%3Aseries%20game%3C4%20%29%20as%20%22Play%20on%20sub%20.500%20to%20.400%20division%20dogs%20off%20of%20a%20win%20-%20602-614%20%2B133.58%20units%20%2B11.0%25%20roi%20SU%22&plot_PL=1

    • The Twins are 4-9 AGAINST since May 29, 2018 as a road favorite
    • https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DTwins%20and%20A%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20180529%29%20as%20%22The%20Twins%20are%204-9%20AGAINST%20since%20May%2029%2C%202018%20as%20a%20road%20favorite%22&plot_PL=1The White Sox are 11-10 ON since Jul 11, 2018 as a dog

     
    LeopoldsS
    LeopoldsS
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    Posts: 124
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 6:03 PM ET #1465

    Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ? 

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    Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ? 

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 6:35 PM ET #1466

    Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:

    Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ? 


    Sure thing. Could you PM me? 
    I linked to it on my Covers blog. I think if you just click my username you'll see it. But if you can't find me, PM me and I'll help.

    I have two more small plays. Very high return dogs.
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:

    Hey Herb, can you provide me the asian runline calculator ? 


    Sure thing. Could you PM me? 
    I linked to it on my Covers blog. I think if you just click my username you'll see it. But if you can't find me, PM me and I'll help.

    I have two more small plays. Very high return dogs.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 7:46 PM ET #1467

    Sorry games went off. Royals and Rangers it was.
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    Sorry games went off. Royals and Rangers it was.
     
    LeopoldsS
    LeopoldsS
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 8:03 PM ET #1468

    No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you? 

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    No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you? 

     
    africaaa
    africaaa
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    Posts: 95
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 9:04 PM ET #1469

    sent you a friend request herban_praise and thank you for the A's pick a few days ago. GL today

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    sent you a friend request herban_praise and thank you for the A's pick a few days ago. GL today

     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2018 - 5:13 PM ET #1470

    Washington Nationals -1.25 +129
    vs Philadelphia Phillies
    $170 to win $219.30

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Take the Nationals today)
    Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.

    I might add the Royals as well...


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    Washington Nationals -1.25 +129
    vs Philadelphia Phillies
    $170 to win $219.30

    MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade the +150 and up road July / August dog starting a pitcher giving up 5.8 hits or fewer per start.. In database history this is SU: 174-51 (+2.0 rpg, +16.6% Roi, 77.3%). (Take the Nationals today)
    Since 2013, the Tampa Bay Rays are 15-31 -26.29 units SU after they've limited opponents to 2 or fewer runs in two games straight.

    I might add the Royals as well...


     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2018 - 5:14 PM ET #1471

    Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:

    No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you? 


    I accepted everyone's friend requests that were pending. Apologies. Again, the link to the calculator (it is an Excel file) I put last year in my blog.
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeopoldsS:

    No worries. Can you accept my friend request so i can pm you? 


    I accepted everyone's friend requests that were pending. Apologies. Again, the link to the calculator (it is an Excel file) I put last year in my blog.
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2018 - 5:46 PM ET #1472

    It is there now in my profile. If you already had it, you might want to download the new version I just fixed some bugs.

    Cheers!
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    It is there now in my profile. If you already had it, you might want to download the new version I just fixed some bugs.

    Cheers!
     
    santa813
    santa813
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2018 - 11:31 PM ET #1473

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    herbshack
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2018 - 1:04 PM ET #1474

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

     
    Washington Nationals -1.25 +129 WINNER!
    vs Philadelphia Phillies
    $170 to win $219.30

    A new all time high for this thread...

    Current Bankroll: $13,826.40
    from $4000 (+245.66 units)

      
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

     
    Washington Nationals -1.25 +129 WINNER!
    vs Philadelphia Phillies
    $170 to win $219.30

    A new all time high for this thread...

    Current Bankroll: $13,826.40
    from $4000 (+245.66 units)

      
     
     
    SBT
    SBT
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2018 - 1:33 PM ET #1475

    Didn't Washington only won by 1? At -1.25, wouldn't that be a loser?

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    Didn't Washington only won by 1? At -1.25, wouldn't that be a loser?

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