Posted:
#1401
Herbshack baby herbshack
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September Dogs - Starting with $4k
Posted:
#1405
Another doggie before September ends.
But don't wake me up, more dogs in the playoffs lol
For today:
Kansas City Royals +100
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$188 to win $188
SYSTEM OF THE DAY: A Dog off of a a win as a dog where they scored 3 or fewer runs is 758-939 +82.07 units since 2004. - Active to play on the Royals and now up a +87 units!
TEAM TREND OF THE DAY: Under Ned Yost, the Royals have been profitable against tough plus .500 opponents at 214-225 +36.49 units. - This is up at +50.04 units now. Sort of dull, outdated trend a bit, but still good.
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Posted:
#1409
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
Another doggie before September ends.
Another doggie before September ends.
But don't wake me up, more dogs in the playoffs lol
For today:
Kansas City Royals +100
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$188 to win $188
WINNER!
Current Bankroll: $13,791.99
from $4000 (+244.80 units)
Another new all time high reached...and now the playoffs :)
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Posted:
#1414
Herb I just wanted to say that you are a very disciplined and a very patient gambler two of the many traits that most gamblers do NOT have. You are like a bob cat in the dark waiting for that opportunity to pounce on it's prey.
Didn't like the dog at all last night in Minnesota not even with the run line and nothing stood out for you that merited a play....That my friend is Discipline as well as the Patience to wait it out by NOT forcing a play. That is what makes you so successful in your gambling endeavors.
Kudos to you Herb
Your systems and analysis on the game should NEVER be overlooked as they are proven long term and even short term after seeing your profits in the month of September to be profitable and that in itself is a very hard accomplishment in this world of gambling that we all seem to want to beat.
Keep doing what your doing Herb and thanks for the extra 
that you have given us with your high percentage live dogs.
When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
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Posted:
#1416
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
Greinke is a beast as a home favorite. That's my lean for tonight's game.
Greinke is a beast as a home favorite. That's my lean for tonight's game.
I'm taking the D-Backs -1.25 for about +108 odds.
Not super strong play though.
LET'S GET 'EM, HERB. HAPPY TO BE ON THE SAME SIDE AS YOU FOR THIS ONE!
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Posted:
#1417
Quote Originally Posted by justliketoplay:
Herb I just wanted to say that you are a very disciplined and a very patient gambler two of the many traits that most gamblers do NOT have. You are like a bob cat in the dark waiting for that opportunity to pounce on it's prey.
Didn't like the dog at all last night in Minnesota not even with the run line and nothing stood out for you that merited a play....That my friend is Discipline as well as the Patience to wait it out by NOT forcing a play. That is what makes you so successful in your gambling endeavors.
Kudos to you Herb Your systems and analysis on the game should NEVER be overlooked as they are proven long term and even short term after seeing your profits in the month of September to be profitable and that in itself is a very hard accomplishment in this world of gambling that we all seem to want to beat.
Keep doing what your doing Herb and thanks for the extra that you have given us with your high percentage live dogs.
"Bobcat" lol k. I'll take that. <3 Much love brutha. Thanks for the compliments.
I've gotten lucky.
Patience and taking things slow and passing on iffy deals is how you get somewhere. Applies to more than gambling....thought for the day :)
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Posted:
#1418
Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:
LET'S GET 'EM, HERB. HAPPY TO BE ON THE SAME SIDE AS YOU FOR THIS ONE!
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28starter%3DZack%20Greinke%20and%20HF%20and%20line%3C-120%29%20as%20%22Zack%20Greinke%20is%2073-18%2080.2%25%2C%20%2B43.47%20units%20SU%20as%20a%20120%2B%20home%20favorite%20%28career%29.%22&plot_PL=1
I've been riding that since is was that record. Now its at 101-27 78.9% +55.45 units. Good in the playoffs too; especially on the runline.
Good for beer money at least.
I have a system against the D-Backs though:
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28115%3C%3Dline%3C270%20and%20int%28str%28date%29%5B4%3A%5D%29%3E%3D919%20and%208%3Ctotal%3C9.5%20and%20conference%3Do%3Aconference%29%20as%20%22%2AMAIN%20LATE%20SEASON%20SYSTEM%20%3A%20291%20-%20316%20%2B121.08%20units%20SU%20%2B19.9%25%20roi%20-%20Very%20late%20season%20or%20playoffs%20%2B115%20to%20%2B270%20conference%20dog%3B%20total%20is%208.5%20or%209%22&plot_PL=1 (Active to play on the Rockies)
Also,
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DRockies%20and%20A%20and%20D%20and%20date%3E%3D20170826%29%20as%20%22The%20Rockies%20are%207-3%20ON%20since%20Aug%2026%2C%202017%20as%20a%20road%20dog%22&plot_PL=1 - That's kind of crazy. The Rockies scare me, but I still trust Greinke a lot. He's a total freak anomaly.
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Posted:
#1420
Quote Originally Posted by bojangles804:
AZ pulled it off, great call again Herb!
AZ pulled it off, great call again Herb!
Thanks. Haven't seen many dogs I like in the playoffs so far.
I have a runline plus odds play though. Keep it small:
Washington Nationals -1.25 +133
vs Chicago Cubs
$77 to win $102.41
KEY TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2015, in the second half of the season + playoffs, home favorites -120 to -250 are 797-438 +109.49 units as long as they didn't just shut out their last opponent and their last game's margin was between -6 and 4 (now extreme blowout wins or losses; just a normal situation): ACTIVE Today to Play on the Nationals!
TEAM TREND OF THE DAY: The Cubs are 0-15 SU as a 140-plus dog when opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 1.925 on the season.
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Posted:
#1421
...and I'm taking the Chargers +3 for plus odds in the NFL this weekend as my Top play. I usually do well on those...
Not sure if I'm going to have time to run a separate NFL/NCAAF thread yet. Most likely will just adjourn here till next year when MLB ends I think. Important to take breaks! Sometimes it gets to be too much and you have to remember to enjoy what you've reaped!
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Posted:
#1423
Chicago Cubs +115
vs Washington Nationals
$98 to win $112.70
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28D%20and%20p%3AD%20and%20p%3AW%20and%20p%3Aruns%20%3C%3D%203%29%20as%20%22A%20Dog%20off%20of%20a%20a%20win%20as%20a%20dog%20where%20they%20scored%203%20or%20fewer%20runs%20is%20758-939%20%2B82.07%20units%20since%202004.%22&plot_PL=1
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Posted:
#1424
Haven't been betting the playoffs much. Sweet hit on the Chargers though as 3.5 dogs last week in NFL.
For today though in MLB I like this one, but go light or pass:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.25 +124
vs Chicago Cubs
$154 to win $190.96
TREND OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28playoffs%3D1%20and%20tS%28W%2CN%3D3%29%3E%3D2%20and%20oS%28W%2CN%3D3%29%3C%3D2%29%20as%20%22Since%202004%2C%20in%20the%20playoffs%2C%20a%20hot%20team%20off%20of%202%2B%20straight%20wins%20in%20their%20last%203%20games%20is%20243-197%2055.2%25%20%2B50.57%20units%20SU%20%2B9.1%25%20roi%20when%20facing%20a%20cold%20team%20off%20of%202%20or%20fewer%20wins%20in%20their%20last%203%20games.%22&plot_PL=1 Now at +56.88 units and active on the Dodgers today!
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DDodgers%20and%20H%20and%20date%3E%3D20170924%29%20as%20%22The%20Dodgers%20are%207-0%20ON%20since%20Sep%2024%2C%202017%20at%20home%22&plot_PL=1
Since 2004, when favorites win in the playoffs, the runline is historically, the better option: 183-0 +64.2% roi for the ML vs. 106-38 +79.6% roi for the RL
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