Posted:
#1376
You're a god, herb! Keep it up!
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September Dogs - Starting with $4k
Posted:
#1377
How funny, I work in accounting as well. Is sports betting a necessary evil that comes with being mathematically inclined?
Great call Herb! Don't know why but I'm always reluctant on betting those ROI stats. I guess the way I see it is to really capture the positive return one must bet all those types of bets, or maybe I just need to grow a pair haha.
Let me know if you ever start a thread on the queries. Sounds interesting!
Great call Herb! Don't know why but I'm always reluctant on betting those ROI stats. I guess the way I see it is to really capture the positive return one must bet all those types of bets, or maybe I just need to grow a pair haha.
Let me know if you ever start a thread on the queries. Sounds interesting!
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Posted:
#1380
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
And other things too maybe
i've followed a lot of your plays successfully. didn't have a side on that one b/c had other games in play, so it didn't really make a difference to me. i just noticed that your trend was based on a certain type of play from teams and wanted to note that the rule change *could* effect that. information sharing is the real value of these forums.
keep 'em coming
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Posted:
#1381
Philadelphia Phillies +1 +116
vs Washington Nationals
$117 to win $135.72
I don't recommend the moneyline here. At the very least, use the calculator and do a +0.75 wager, but, and this is rare, I actually like the full +1.5 runline here as I believe the game will be very close. If the Nats win, it'll be a lazy, didn't really need it or want it a ton win being clinched and the Phillies feeling non-threatening and all.
SYSTEM OF THE DAY: Home underdogs (sub .400) are 94-91 +33.17 units SU and solid on the runline after winning SU as home underdogs against the same opponent as last game.
TEAM TREND OF THE DAY: The Nationals are 2-17 RL as a road favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they held the lead. -- Consider the +1 or +1.5 runline here on the Phillies here!
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Posted:
#1382
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
i've followed a lot of your plays successfully. didn't have a side on that one b/c had other games in play, so it didn't really make a difference to me. i just noticed that your trend was based on a certain type of play from teams and wanted to note that the rule change *could* effect that. information sharing is the real value of these forums.
keep 'em coming
i've followed a lot of your plays successfully. didn't have a side on that one b/c had other games in play, so it didn't really make a difference to me. i just noticed that your trend was based on a certain type of play from teams and wanted to note that the rule change *could* effect that. information sharing is the real value of these forums.
keep 'em coming
"not the first time" = You stirred the pot in the thread before for, sorry, but a dumb reason: "What happened to the dogs" -- This time a math error. Math error is fine and human. Let's keep truckin' -- as you say, we are indeed all in this together in a way. I appreciate your feedback, but some of it is pointless and drama causing.
Its all good, and I'm glad to hear you're winning. Bottom line again: you've made more positive contributions than negative, and you have my thanks along with everyone else who shares additional insight.....which, by the way, if I don't respond, know this: once a week, I do sit down and read everything and keep specific notepads of ideas that weren't mine. Some of my best betting ideas, weren't mine.
I always tell people (and yes I run a service "PCG" that does those raw numbers to help you do your own betting), you guys don't really need me because the picking of plays is never the hard part in betting. The only things that makes things difficult are human error and our human nature, lack of discipline and money management. That's really where they getcha! :)
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Posted:
#1384
Quote Originally Posted by dallasm:
As I've said in the past, best thread on Covers.
As I've said in the past, best thread on Covers.
Cheers, to that brutha. I don't look at any of the others. Curious to know what I'm doing right so I know to keep on doing that. :)
And don't say "winning" because we're a little down from the last thread long high, but not by too much :P
Personally, I like to think that the most valuable thing for you guys would be the systems I share as, if I ever stopped this thread (and I eventually will of course) it'll mostly be due to you having enough to keep on doing the same thing in the future. I always, honestly hoped you guys would share some stealthy systems or MM strategies too a bit more. Maybe we'll get some of that going or in another thread.
GO PHILLIES!
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Posted:
#1387
Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:
You don't play every trend you have only certain games even if there's multiples options? What's the strategy
You don't play every trend you have only certain games even if there's multiples options? What's the strategy
Quality over quantity.
I believe passing is King.
Best bet you'll ever make is one you don't make. Remember that. Took me a long while to realize.
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Posted:
#1393
Quote Originally Posted by royboymiami:
Herb how's everything with the situation u had a week or so ago? Hoping all is well bud
Herb how's everything with the situation u had a week or so ago? Hoping all is well bud
Oh, you know. Each day's better than the next...
For today:
Kansas City Royals +138
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$185 to win $255.30
SYSTEM OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28p%3AWOW%20and%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20WP%20%3E%2050%29%20as%20%22Plus%20.500%20Teams%20off%20of%20a%20walk%20off%20win%20are%20433-356%20SU%20-103.72%20units%20%28%2B54.12%20units%20to%20fade%29%20against%20sub%20.500%20teams.%22 against sub .500 teamshttps://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28p%3AWOW%20and%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20WP%20%3E%2050%29%20as%20%22Plus%20.500%20Teams%20off%20of%20a%20walk%20off%20win%20are%20433-356%20SU%20-103.72%20units%20%28%2B54.12%20units%20to%20fade%29%20against%20sub%20.500%20teams.%22 (Active to Fade the Nats and D-Backs)
Add to that, https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28starter%20%3D%20Zack%20Greinke%20and%20A%20and%20180%3Eline%3E%3D-155%20and%206.5%3Ctotal%3C10.5%29%20as%20%22FILTER%3A%20Zack%20Greinke%20is%20just%2042-81%20-45.32%20units%20SU%20on%20the%20road%20as%20neither%20a%20big%20favorite%20or%20a%20big%20dog%20and%20total%20between%206.5%20and%2010.5.%22&plot_PL=1
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Posted:
#1396
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
Oh, you know. Each day's better than the next...
For today:
Kansas City Royals +138
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
$185 to win $255.30
SYSTEM OF THE DAY: https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28p%3AWOW%20and%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20WP%20%3E%2050%29%20as%20%22Plus%20.500%20Teams%20off%20of%20a%20walk%20off%20win%20are%20433-356%20SU%20-103.72%20units%20%28%2B54.12%20units%20to%20fade%29%20against%20sub%20.500%20teams.%22 against sub .500 teamshttps://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28p%3AWOW%20and%20o%3AWP%20%3C%2050%20and%20WP%20%3E%2050%29%20as%20%22Plus%20.500%20Teams%20off%20of%20a%20walk%20off%20win%20are%20433-356%20SU%20-103.72%20units%20%28%2B54.12%20units%20to%20fade%29%20against%20sub%20.500%20teams.%22 (Active to Fade the Nats and D-Backs)
Add to that, https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28starter%20%3D%20Zack%20Greinke%20and%20A%20and%20180%3Eline%3E%3D-155%20and%206.5%3Ctotal%3C10.5%29%20as%20%22FILTER%3A%20Zack%20Greinke%20is%20just%2042-81%20-45.32%20units%20SU%20on%20the%20road%20as%20neither%20a%20big%20favorite%20or%20a%20big%20dog%20and%20total%20between%206.5%20and%2010.5.%22&plot_PL=1
I have been eyeing on this one too, as Kennedy has been trash of late, he's due for a win and it might be tonight! 
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