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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Red Sox/Yankees on the Fox Sports Saturday Game of the Week

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    MrBator
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    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:15 PM ET #1

    By now, betting on or against C.C. Sabathia has become as simple as checking the final score of his most recent start.  According to this season's results, Sabathia appears to bear down following a start where the Yankees struggled to give him some runs.  On the other hand, when they score a lot for him and they win, he comes out in his next start as soft as the bucket of lard he ate for breakfast.  The Yankees are 9-1 this season with Sabathia following a start where they scored less than 5 runs behind him.  But when C.C. is off a start where he got more than 4 runs of support and the Yankees won, the Yankees then.......
     
     
    lost as -230 favorites to the Indians
     
    lost as -130 favorites to the Tigers
     
    lost as -165 favorites to the Phillies
     
    lost as -200 favorites to the Rays
     
    lost as -170 favorites to the Marlins
     
    lost as -300 favorites to the Mariners
     
    lost as -145 favorites to the Angels
     
    lost as -150 favorites to the Rays
     
     
     
     
    Last Sunday, Sabathia didn't pitch all that well but he got plenty of support in getting an 8-5 win over the White Sox in Chicago.  So you know what that means.  It means it's time to fade the Yankees and Sabathia again as vastly overpriced favorites.  Even against the struggling Red Sox, who if I'm to believe what I'm hearing on ESPN's Baseball Tonight, are suddenly a piece of shit. 
     
    I don't expect Clay Buchholz to slow the Yankees down, but I don't expect much better out of Sabathia.  I expect this game to go into the bullpens, at which point the outcome is up in the air.  If I'm right about that, then I'll take my chances at +190 with a game that can tilt either way in the late innings.
     
     
    I'll be adding some Boston alternate runline action, too, as not too many Red Sox/Yankees games are decided by one run (although we've had 3 so far this season in 10 meetings, but none of them happened at Yankee Stadium).
     
     
    Remember, fellow gambling addicts, don't get carried away just because it's Red Sox/Yankees or because the game is on TV.  Make sure you leave some money available for the night games!
     
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    By now, betting on or against C.C. Sabathia has become as simple as checking the final score of his most recent start.  According to this season's results, Sabathia appears to bear down following a start where the Yankees struggled to give him some runs.  On the other hand, when they score a lot for him and they win, he comes out in his next start as soft as the bucket of lard he ate for breakfast.  The Yankees are 9-1 this season with Sabathia following a start where they scored less than 5 runs behind him.  But when C.C. is off a start where he got more than 4 runs of support and the Yankees won, the Yankees then.......
     
     
    lost as -230 favorites to the Indians
     
    lost as -130 favorites to the Tigers
     
    lost as -165 favorites to the Phillies
     
    lost as -200 favorites to the Rays
     
    lost as -170 favorites to the Marlins
     
    lost as -300 favorites to the Mariners
     
    lost as -145 favorites to the Angels
     
    lost as -150 favorites to the Rays
     
     
     
     
    Last Sunday, Sabathia didn't pitch all that well but he got plenty of support in getting an 8-5 win over the White Sox in Chicago.  So you know what that means.  It means it's time to fade the Yankees and Sabathia again as vastly overpriced favorites.  Even against the struggling Red Sox, who if I'm to believe what I'm hearing on ESPN's Baseball Tonight, are suddenly a piece of shit. 
     
    I don't expect Clay Buchholz to slow the Yankees down, but I don't expect much better out of Sabathia.  I expect this game to go into the bullpens, at which point the outcome is up in the air.  If I'm right about that, then I'll take my chances at +190 with a game that can tilt either way in the late innings.
     
     
    I'll be adding some Boston alternate runline action, too, as not too many Red Sox/Yankees games are decided by one run (although we've had 3 so far this season in 10 meetings, but none of them happened at Yankee Stadium).
     
     
    Remember, fellow gambling addicts, don't get carried away just because it's Red Sox/Yankees or because the game is on TV.  Make sure you leave some money available for the night games!
     
     
    usjust2
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:19 PM ET #2

    nice write up
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    nice write up
     
    linewatcher
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:19 PM ET #3

    and it begins...gl
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    and it begins...gl
     
    Mike_NYC
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:19 PM ET #4

    Bator, if this is a Sabathia fade, any opinion on the Sox team total over 4?
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    Bator, if this is a Sabathia fade, any opinion on the Sox team total over 4?
     
    Gambleholic
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:20 PM ET #5

    Sounds good for Overs??
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    Sounds good for Overs??
     
    sharpster_XX
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:22 PM ET #6

    +185/-205 lost a few times as fav at my book this week, good line for boston
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    +185/-205 lost a few times as fav at my book this week, good line for boston
     
    Fairweatherfan
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:22 PM ET #7

    I'd be an idiot not to ride with you here
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    I'd be an idiot not to ride with you here
     
    usjust2
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:23 PM ET #8

    Would you be so kind to post all of your plays in this thread Bator?  Kind f confused now who your on today..lol
     
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    Would you be so kind to post all of your plays in this thread Bator?  Kind f confused now who your on today..lol
     
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:27 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike_NYC:

    Bator, if this is a Sabathia fade, any opinion on the Sox team total over 4?

     

     

    Obviously I would like the Red Sox team total over 4 runs.  In those eight gruesome losses I listed above, the opponent scored at least 4 runs in every game and averaged 6.5 runs per game.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike_NYC:

    Bator, if this is a Sabathia fade, any opinion on the Sox team total over 4?

     

     

    Obviously I would like the Red Sox team total over 4 runs.  In those eight gruesome losses I listed above, the opponent scored at least 4 runs in every game and averaged 6.5 runs per game.

     
    BarkingSpider
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #10

    Should know early if C.C. is on his game.
     
    For his first 15 pitches his numbers are
     
    18.1 IP 18H 18R 18ER 3BB 11K  8.84ERA
     
    Then he calms down a bit.
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    Should know early if C.C. is on his game.
     
    For his first 15 pitches his numbers are
     
    18.1 IP 18H 18R 18ER 3BB 11K  8.84ERA
     
    Then he calms down a bit.
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by usjust2:

    Would you be so kind to post all of your plays in this thread Bator?  Kind f confused now who your on today..lol
     

     

     

    No need for confusion as I've only mentioned three games so far - this one, the Mariners over the Rays, and the play of the day, the heroic Washington Nationals in a romp over the disheartened Diamondbacks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by usjust2:

    Would you be so kind to post all of your plays in this thread Bator?  Kind f confused now who your on today..lol
     

     

     

    No need for confusion as I've only mentioned three games so far - this one, the Mariners over the Rays, and the play of the day, the heroic Washington Nationals in a romp over the disheartened Diamondbacks.

     
    Thegoat5522
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:30 PM ET #12

    Bator,

    Based on your writeup, the over seems logical as well, yes?
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    Bator,

    Based on your writeup, the over seems logical as well, yes?
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:31 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Debator:

    So boston is a lock? Time to unload boys!

     

     

    You unload at your own risk, chief.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Debator:

    So boston is a lock? Time to unload boys!

     

     

    You unload at your own risk, chief.

     
    Doxshund
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:31 PM ET #14

    staying away from a side, but got action on the over
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    staying away from a side, but got action on the over
     
    JFEEZEE
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:31 PM ET #15

    SOFT AS THE BUCKET OF LARD HE ATE FOR BREAKFAST..WELL SAID AS HE  HAS BURNED MY POCKETS THIS YEAR     BUT I CANT BACK CLAY EITHER AS YANKS SHOULD PLAY WALL BALL JUST AS BALT DID LAST OUTING
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    SOFT AS THE BUCKET OF LARD HE ATE FOR BREAKFAST..WELL SAID AS HE  HAS BURNED MY POCKETS THIS YEAR     BUT I CANT BACK CLAY EITHER AS YANKS SHOULD PLAY WALL BALL JUST AS BALT DID LAST OUTING
     
    EDDIEW
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:31 PM ET #16

    Must bring up a point I heard on radio today Mr Bator  In the past week the sox have used up their bullpen twice   Not very well rested ,while the yanks aren't quite as badly off
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    Must bring up a point I heard on radio today Mr Bator  In the past week the sox have used up their bullpen twice   Not very well rested ,while the yanks aren't quite as badly off
     
    jivany6
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:31 PM ET #17

    Very nice angle you found there. I will ride along with you. If you want a nice little play for tonight, pm me. I'll let you know more. I don't want to post it here though because, well, I don't want to hear haters and criticism. Rather deal with people one on one. Plus, people don't really look at my plays, which is a shame...because these plays aren't even from me. Anyways, let me know bud.

    GL, and I will be riding with ya for a small play.
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    Very nice angle you found there. I will ride along with you. If you want a nice little play for tonight, pm me. I'll let you know more. I don't want to post it here though because, well, I don't want to hear haters and criticism. Rather deal with people one on one. Plus, people don't really look at my plays, which is a shame...because these plays aren't even from me. Anyways, let me know bud.

    GL, and I will be riding with ya for a small play.
     
    golfandgamble
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:33 PM ET #18

    Yanks RL here, but best of luck on your CC fade...
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    Yanks RL here, but best of luck on your CC fade...
     
    jonesappraiser
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:34 PM ET #19

    BOL MrB
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    BOL MrB
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:34 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Thegoat5522:

    Bator,

    Based on your writeup, the over seems logical as well, yes?

     

     

    I suppose so, but that's not where my money will be.  Good luck on however you play it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Thegoat5522:

    Bator,

    Based on your writeup, the over seems logical as well, yes?

     

     

    I suppose so, but that's not where my money will be.  Good luck on however you play it.

     
    sailing58
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:35 PM ET #21

    Mr. B what do you think about OVER in that Boston game, should be a slugfest if CC is off?
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    Mr. B what do you think about OVER in that Boston game, should be a slugfest if CC is off?
     
    kweese
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:36 PM ET #22

    do you guys think that teh PED /ORTIZ media distraction can side track BOston?

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    do you guys think that teh PED /ORTIZ media distraction can side track BOston?

     
    chowdertime
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:36 PM ET #23

    u da man good luck
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    u da man good luck
     
    sailing58
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:38 PM ET #24

    Sorry late post above  disregard please.
     
    Question so your playing Boston with the Butcher pitching?
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    Sorry late post above  disregard please.
     
    Question so your playing Boston with the Butcher pitching?
     
     
    usjust2
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    Posted: Aug. 8, 2009 - 3:39 PM ET #25

    Is the LAA over a play still Bator?
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    Is the LAA over a play still Bator?
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