Posted:
#1
$214 Diamondbacks, +127 (Bradley/Latos)
BOL
Full update later, I have to go out, short on time.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Money Ball 5-21-2015
Posted:
#13
Quote Originally Posted by MrShowtime:
I don't see how a bad team sweeps a 4 game set on the road vs another bad team w out their best player.
How did the Dbacks beat the Marlins the first 3 games when Goldy posted the following:
2-13, 1 Run, 0 RBIs
The bet isn't for a bad team to sweep a 4 game series on the road. The bet is for a bad team to beat another bad team today. I took the same wager before lineups were posted and, while I would prefer Goldy to be in the lineup (though he is 2 for his last 16), i still like the line.
I don't see how a bad team sweeps a 4 game set on the road vs another bad team w out their best player.
How did the Dbacks beat the Marlins the first 3 games when Goldy posted the following:
2-13, 1 Run, 0 RBIs
The bet isn't for a bad team to sweep a 4 game series on the road. The bet is for a bad team to beat another bad team today. I took the same wager before lineups were posted and, while I would prefer Goldy to be in the lineup (though he is 2 for his last 16), i still like the line.
Posted:
#17
5-20
$214 Brewers, +136 (Lohse/Greene) L
$214 Phillies, +116 (Gonzalez/Butler) W
YTD 42-36, +$2,129.67 (+13.38% RoR)
5-21
$214 Diamondbacks, +127 (Bradley/Latos) W
$214 Rangers, +149 (Rodriguez/Bucholz)
BOL
Diamondbacks: The thread contains a lot of theory on how and why I landed on this pick. Most of it is conventional thinking or popular speculation but none of it is very close. I do things in an unconventional manner and occasionally I get a chance to write it up, but sometimes not, then the speculation begins. No harm done, no offense, no foul, but when the write up is not there no one is likely to be close to all the extensive reasons that led me to forsake conventional wisdom for the true probability and risk-reward ratio I played for.
Rangers: The Red Sox are not the power most folks expected them to be, but two things I told the hot stove crowd in here last winter are playing out. The offense is not a monster regardless of who was added, and the starting pitching sux. Bucholz is a major part of the problem, and two outstanding performances in an eight game stretch does vault him into any elite category. He is a perfect fit for his team, a slightly below average pitcher on a slightly below average team. Said team should not be laying -159 which requires a win probability of at least 61.4% even before you start thinking about turning a profit.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Posted:
#25
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Diamondbacks: The thread contains a lot of theory on how and why I landed on this pick. Most of it is conventional thinking or popular speculation but none of it is very close. I do things in an unconventional manner and occasionally I get a chance to write it up, but sometimes not, then the speculation begins. No harm done, no offense, no foul, but when the write up is not there no one is likely to be close to all the extensive reasons that led me to forsake conventional wisdom for the true probability and risk-reward ratio I played for.
Please don't give them so much credit..we need the public to stay strong!
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