Money Ball 4.02.2013

I guess you would have to compare lines. If the road team is paying back less on the 4.5 line than a 5 inning line then you are being penalized for that 1/2 inning. If the payback is comparable it would be a nice advantage. Still, I will mostly have road underdogs so if you got +125 instead of +135 that might be worth it, but if it were +125 instead of +145 I think I would play a 5 inning line.

They never beg you to do anything other than play. The line will seek its own level by the action received, not because the books want to gamble against anyone. They aren't gamblers, they are brokers.

BOL Bud

Mariners (+127) (Iwakuma / Parker)

Sorry I had to go out and didn’t get back in time to post Orioles F5 but it’s not carved in stone yet anyway (up 2-0). I am very high on this Mariners club though and they are the only F5 play I will make today.

BOL

Liked your plays and analysis last year. Wondering why you don't see value in HOU today? Considering how good Harrell was at home last year and the form he's been in this spring seems like HOU is undervalued in what could very well be a 1 run game.

Thoughts?

so action iwakuma?? or mariners

I have Mariners posted 5 & 9 both.

GL Key may add Mariners

I guess the value is there, IF they win, but I don't see a very high probability of that. Looks like a rangers rebound to me but anything can happen. Rangers don't look good either to be honest. I will pass. BOL if you play it.