YTD (MLB PLAYOFFS): 4-1 (BIG PLAY!!!: 2-0)
Great day yesterday losing only the Yankees even though I have never been a fan. But the analysis about the starting pitching and inept hitting was correct, unfortunately for me so was the analysis on their bullpen. But that's how things go and I can complain with the other winning plays being for more units. We are officially into October baseball.
The Dodgers were a great call especially the F5 as I had made mention of how bad Greene was on the road and how good Snell was at home. They will get it done tonight as well, the Reds really shouldn't be in the playoffs but are and the matchup with LA was not really good for the way they are built.
I still have the play on the Guardians to win the series but am going to add a couple more. I think Tanner Bibee sends this game to a decider though Casey Mize has been solid this year. The real decider for me in this particular matchup is the run support that Tanner Bibee gets when pitching as well as how good he has been of recent. Moreover, he has a strong ERA both during the day and at home. I'd play this game and take the generous -1.5 run line which seems to have the most value imo.
For today, here is what I am backing:
OVER 6.5 (SD/CHC)...BIG PLAY!!!: Going to get straight to it, I really love this play. I know Imanaga will be pitching just after Kittredge serves as the starter, he's been awful in the first inning but really great after that. But, he has NOT been great of late period and is not quite the same pitcher he was last year when he dominated. He's also not unhittable neither during the day nor at home at Wrigley. But this is more of a fade given the situation he will be thrown into and the desperation of the Padres hitters. Additionally, Dylan Cease has been some sort of awful on the road, though very good in the day, so not sure which version we will get. This is low enough with bullpens having been used yesterday that I am confidently backing this result to get the Cubs facing the Brewers and the Padres back in California. They will need to figure out their road play for next year.
LAD -1.5 (-130): I just do NOT see how the Reds win this game the Dodgers are locked in and focused and the reds just dont' match up very well. Yamamoto is definitely better on the road than at home but that won't matter much if he can't be hit. The Reds haven't been playing their best baseball and backed into the playoffs b/c both the Mets and Diamondbacks played worse. But I just think the Dodgers have been down this road before and know how critical it is to get the added rest before facing a Phillies team they don't generally do great against. I might bump this up to a big play a bit later but starting with it as just a normal play.
I have to add my take on the BOS/NYY game but am again restricted due to the length of the thread. I'll hop back on to do so but I'm truly hoping we can again bang out a few winners. Eyeing the early game under on the first 5 so might add but otherwise, as always, keep comments positive and, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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